Tornadoes · United States · Tennessee · 2025

EF0 tornado, Rogers Spgs to Lisbon, Tennessee, March 15, 2025

From Rogers Spgs to Lisbon, this EF0 tornado ran 2.7 miles across Hardeman County on March 15, 2025, touching down at 7:56 AM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $10,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
March 15, 2025
Touchdown
7:56 AM CDT (12:56 UTC)
Lifted
8:02 AM CDT (13:02 UTC)
On the ground
6 minutes
Path length
2.7 miles (4.3 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
County
Hardeman County
Touchdown point
35.097, -89.002
Lift-off point
35.111, -88.958
Record number
2503150656-01

The damage survey

11 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MEG, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An upper low over the Central Plains moved into the Upper Mississippi Valley during the evening hours of Friday, March 14, 2025. Increasing moisture advection ahead of an approaching cold front lifted dewpoints into the low to mid 60s. This coupled with increasing height falls and a mid-level 80 knot jet rotating around the main upper low supported severe thunderstorm development. Large looping hodographs, MLCAPE values over 2000 J/kg, 60 knots of bulk shear, and 0-1 km SRH values between 250 and 350 m2/s2 supported an all hazards threat. Storm mode during the overnight hours was supercellular with large hail, damaging winds and several tornadoes, a few of which were strong (EF2+), mainly across northeast Arkansas, the Missouri Bootheel and northeast Mississippi. ||The main upper low lifted into the western Great Lakes Region by early Saturday morning, March 15, 2025. The cold front stalled just to the west of the Mississippi River. Simultaneously, a neutrally-tilted longwave trough moved across the Southern Plains and pushed a 100 knot mid-level jet into the region. This placed West Tennessee and north Mississippi beneath the left exit region of the jet with widespread lift and diffluence available. As a result, showers and thunderstorms rapidly redeveloped across north Mississippi and parts of West Tennessee Saturday morning. Storms quickly formed into a line that slowly moved east. The line of storms produced damaging winds, large hail and a weak tornado Saturday morning. The airmass ahead of the line became even more favorable for severe storms by Saturday afternoon with MLCAPE values increasing to 1500 J/kg and 0-1km SRH values reaching 300 m2/s2 as a surface low moving along the cold front and backed surface winds across northeast Mississippi. Discrete supercells formed ahead of the line during the afternoon producing a couple of weak tornadoes and damaging winds over parts of northeast Missisisppi. Flash flooding was also common due to the slow moving nature of the system.

A weak tornado developed near Callahan Road lifting a few miles to the east along Wellington Road just south of Cub Creek Tree Farm Lake. Only minor tree damage was noted along the short path. Peak winds were estimated at 75 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

1 minute of warning. NWS MEG issued a tornado warning for this county at 12:55 UTC, 1 minute before the tornado touched down, in force until 13:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 11:01 UTC and running to 18:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:34 UTC08:54 UTCTornado WatchMEG
11:01 UTC18:00 UTCTornado WatchMEG
11:31 UTC12:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEG
12:00 UTC00:50 UTCFlood WatchMEG
12:08 UTC13:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEG
12:53 UTC13:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEG
12:55 UTC13:45 UTCTornado WarningMEG
13:38 UTC14:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEG
14:04 UTC17:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryMEG
16:10 UTC19:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryMEG
18:39 UTC21:45 UTCFlood AdvisoryMEG

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 05:34 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), 12:00Z

0.9 hours before the tornado, 93 km from the path. March 15, 2025.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2025-03-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -68460, lifted condensation level 3142 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2025-03-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -80 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 43 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-68460 J/kg
Surface CAPE
20 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3142 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-58 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), 00:00Z

11.1 hours after it, 93 km from the path. March 16, 2025.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2025-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -101299, lifted condensation level 2609 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2025-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -21 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 87 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-101299 J/kg
Surface CAPE
30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2609 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
87 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
9.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Bolivar (M08), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
11:15 UTC6862.6150° 7 kt12999.7
11:35 UTC6864.4170° 8 kt999.3
11:55 UTC6864.4100° 3 kt998.6
12:15 UTC66.264.450° 4 kt10998.6BR
12:35 UTC64.462.6 5 kt13999BR
12:50 UTC64.462.690° 8 kt998BR
13:15 UTC64.462.60° 0 kt999.3BR
13:35 UTC62.662.60° 0 kt998.3BR
13:55 UTC62.662.6100° 7 kt999.3BR
14:15 UTC62.660.870° 4 kt999.7BR
14:30 UTC62.662.6310° 8 kt1000.3BR
14:50 UTC62.660.80° 0 kt10999.7BR

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 85 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 12:56 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
12:27 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 E PocahontasMcnairy, TNwinds lofted a carport in Pocahontas.
12:56 UTCTORNADO5 Nw MiddletonHardeman, TNEF-0 tornado occurred in Hardeman County on Saturday morning. Only minor damage to trees was observed.
13:36 UTCHAIL 0.752 Sw Holly GroveHaywood, TNReport from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2025 tornado in TennesseeEvery tornado in Tennessee since 1950Warnings in force in Tennessee nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 15, 2025

49 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 151:03 AM CDTEF1New Madrid, MO4.550$900,000
March 151:12 AM CDTEF1Lake, IN0.9200
March 152:14 AM EDTEF1Parke, IN2.775$350,000
March 151:15 AM CDTEF2Johnson, IL15.6150$1.0 million
March 151:19 AM CDTEF0Lake, IN4.9200
March 151:25 AM CDTEF1Calhoun, MS8.2300$110,000
March 152:53 AM CDTEF2Gibson, IN57.5400$4.3 million
March 154:45 AM EDTEF1Orange, IN11.050
March 154:53 AM EDTEF0Lawrence, IN6.2100$120,000
March 155:01 AM EDTEF0Lawrence, IN1.025$70,000
March 155:14 AM EDTEF1Jackson, IN2.250$25,000
March 1510:22 AM CDTEF2Issaquena, MS19.51,600
March 1512:17 PM CDTEF4Tylertown tornado, Louisiana and Mississippi67.21,40066$5.5 million
March 1512:27 PM CDTEF1Chickasaw, MS3.0150$25,000
March 1512:47 PM CDTEF0Simpson, MS0.4100
March 151:16 PM CDTEF0Monroe, MS2.050$10,000
March 151:24 PM CDTEF3Walthall, MS26.188012$5.0 million
March 151:32 PM CDTEF0Newton, MS3.575
March 151:41 PM CDTEF1Newton, MS6.7300
March 151:54 PM CDTEF2Covington, MS16.175011
March 152:11 PM CDTEF2Jefferson Davis, MS12.6600
March 152:21 PM CDTEF1Lauderdale, AL2.363$109,000
March 152:38 PM CDTEF1Jasper, MS8.4300
March 153:03 PM CDTEF2Marion, MS18.21,16011
March 153:08 PM CDTEF1Greene, AL26.51,200
March 153:20 PM CDTEF1Bedford, TN4.5300$1.0 million
March 153:27 PM CDTEF1Covington, MS6.8580
March 153:46 PM CDTEF1Jasper, MS2.6320
March 154:00 PM CDTEF1Tuscaloosa, AL11.5600
March 154:09 PM CDTEF2Jasper, MS13.0300
March 154:12 PM CDTEF2Tuscaloosa, AL39.51,000
March 154:17 PM CDTEF1Saint Tammany Parish, LA7.750
March 154:32 PM CDTEF2Pickens, AL21.6950
March 154:33 PM CDTEF1Clarke, MS13.3400
March 155:20 PM CDTEF2Sumter, AL3.3650
March 156:38 PM CDTEF0Hale, AL21.6700
March 157:39 PM CDTEF0Bibb, AL7.675
March 157:57 PM CDTEF1Shelby, AL7.5250
March 158:00 PM CDTEF1Shelby, AL2.5150
March 158:20 PM CDTEF1Washington, AL6.3200
March 158:42 PM CDTEF2Talladega, AL3.650011
March 158:48 PM CDTEF1Clarke, AL13.9240
March 158:50 PM CDTEF3Autauga, AL24.31,00022
March 159:10 PM CDTEF0Clarke, AL1.4200
March 159:33 PM CDTEF1Coosa, AL12.0200
March 1511:41 PM EDTEF1Paulding, GA11.6200
March 1510:48 PM CDTEF3Tallapoosa, AL20.4800
March 1511:02 PM CDTEF2Pike, AL21.31,4003
March 1511:59 PM CDTEF0Chambers, AL3.8100

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.