Tornadoes · United States · Pennsylvania · 2022

EF1 tornado, Blooming Glen to Dublin, Pennsylvania, March 31, 2022

From Blooming Glen to Dublin, this EF1 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Bucks County on March 31, 2022, touching down at 9:48 PM EDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 31, 2022
Touchdown
9:48 PM EDT (01:48 UTC)
Lifted
9:52 PM EDT (01:52 UTC)
On the ground
4 minutes
Path length
2.0 miles (3.2 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Bucks County
Touchdown point
40.379, -75.227
Lift-off point
40.399, -75.199
Record number
2203311948-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A warm front moved through the mid-Atlantic on the morning hours of March 31. This was associated with a strong area of low pressure moving through the Great Lakes, which had brought widespread severe weather to the Southeast US in prior days. Behind the warm front, widespread cloud cover and scattered showers lingered for most of the day over the eastern mid-Atlantic. Despite temperatures that still warmed to above average values, this greatly limited instability. However, more sunshine and subsequent instability developed further west over central Pennsylvania and northern Maryland. As a cold front approached by late afternoon, forcing for ascent increased, and strong wind fields were in place across the region in the warm sector of the Great Lakes low. Widespread convection developed over the interior mid-Atlantic, some of which became strong to severe. Convection generally favored a linear evolution with some embedded supercell structures. Because of the orientation of mid and upper level winds and the decreasing instability to the east, thunderstorms were very slow to move east and gradually lost intensity with time. In the local area, reports of severe weather were mostly isolated and confined to eastern Pennsylvania. However, a short-lived EF1 tornado did touch down over Bucks County, producing a 2 mile path of tree, utility, and some structural damage. Shower and thunderstorm activity continued through much of the night, slowly making its way to the coast, but was well below severe limits over New Jersey and Delmarva in the later hours of the night.

A tornado began in Hilltown Township along Souderton Road about a |half mile west of Route 313/Dublin Pike. The tornado continued to |the northeast along Souderton Road where it uprooted and snapped |numerous trees and also caused primarily cosmetic damage to a few |homes. The CVS Pharmacy at the intersection of Souderton Road and |Route 313 also sustained minor cosmetic damage, including the front |door being blown out. Also near this intersection, a home sustained |minor cosmetic damage and a number of trees were uprooted and |snapped where the tornado crossed into Bedminster Township. The |tornado continued northeast along Bedminster Road weakening |somewhat, but still uprooting and snapping several trees and causing |cosmetic damage to some homes, especially near the intersection of |Bucks Road.||The tornado continued northeast toward Elephant Road while |continuing to cause mainly sporadic tree damage, including uprooting |several trees in front of a home. The tornado passed over the |Bedminster Municipal Authority complex, where it blew off roof |shingles from several well constructed buildings and uprooted a few |small trees nearby. The tornado crossed Elephant Road about 700 feet |south of Irish Meetinghouse Road where it caused some more |substantial tree damage. At least a dozen or more healthy trees were |uprooted or snapped along a driveway, one of which fell onto a |parked vehicle. The home on this property sustained minor cosmetic |damage and had some roof shingles blown off. The tornado then |continued into a wooded area with homes paralleling Irish |Meetinghouse Road where the tree damage became more sporadic once |again, and no additional structural damage was noted. The tornado |then crossed just north of Irish Meetinghouse Road where it uprooted |a few small trees in an open field then dissipated.||No known injuries or fatalities occurred from this tornado.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:20 UTC and running to 03:20 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:20 UTC03:20 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPHI
00:40 UTC01:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI
00:47 UTC01:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI
01:36 UTC02:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI
01:49 UTC02:05 UTCTornado WarningPHI
02:21 UTC03:22 UTCFlood AdvisoryPHI
02:23 UTC02:48 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHI

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:40 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The surface observations

Perkasie (CKZ), 7 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
23:55 UTC64.462.6180° 7 kt20998.3
00:15 UTC64.462.6190° 10 kt19998.3
00:35 UTC64.462.6190° 8 kt16998.3
00:55 UTC64.464.4180° 7 kt998.3
01:15 UTC64.464.4190° 7 kt998
01:35 UTC62.662.6200° 6 kt998-TSRA
01:55 UTC60.860.8220° 11 kt20998.6VCTS +RA
02:15 UTC57.257.2210° 4 kt998.3-TSRA
02:35 UTC57.257.2200° 4 kt998.6VCTS -RA
02:55 UTC57.257.2220° 3 kt999
03:15 UTC57.257.2210° 3 kt998.3
03:35 UTC57.257.2200° 3 kt998.3VCTS

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 84 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 01:48 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:12 UTCTSTM WND GST 54Whitehall TwpLehigh, PA
00:13 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sw ClaussvilleLehigh, PATREE DOWN ON WIRES ON WERTMAN RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
00:30 UTCHAIL 0.25NazarethNorthampton, PA
00:36 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nw Palmer HeightsNorthampton, PATREE LIMBS DOWN ON WIRES ON HECKTOWN RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
01:10 UTCHAIL 0.7PottstownMontgomery, PA
01:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 W South Coventry TwpChester, PADOWNED TREE OR LIMBS ON WIRES NEAR GRACE RD AT COVENTRYVILLE RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
01:20 UTCTSTM WND DMGBallyBerks, PATREE DOWN AT SYCAMORE RD AND N CHURCH ST. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
01:48 UTCTORNADO1 Wnw DublinBucks, PAA CONFIRMED TORNADO IN PORTIONS OF HILLTOWN TOWNSHIP AND BEDMINSTER TOWNSHIP IN BUCKS COUNTY WAS RATED AN EF1 WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 100 MPH. IT OCCURED FROM 9:48 PM TO 9:52 PM. NUMEROUS TREES WERE SNAPPED AND UPROOTED, W
01:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ssw BedminsterBucks, PAWIRES DOWN WITH POLES SNAPPED IN BEDMINSTER TWP. TREES ALSO SNAPPED AND UPROOTED. SOME ROADS REPORTED IMPASSABLE. KDIX INDICATED TDS. PROBABLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
01:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 N DublinBucks, PAWIRES DOWN AT ELEPHANT ROAD & BEDMINSTER ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM KDIX.
01:50 UTCHAIL 0.75SkippackMontgomery, PATIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2022 tornado in PennsylvaniaEvery tornado in Pennsylvania since 1950Warnings in force in Pennsylvania nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 31, 2022

7 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 314:09 AM CDTEF3Washington, FL12.120021$600,000
March 3111:47 AM EDTEF2Armstrong, PA8.6350
March 311:22 PM EDTEF2Anson, NC7.2200$600,000
March 313:49 PM EDTEF1Durham, NC0.2100$100,000
March 314:38 PM EDTEF1Lycoming, PA9.15001$300,000
March 318:22 PM EDTEF0Fairfax, VA0.130$20,000
March 318:41 PM EDTEF0Fairfax, VA0.150$200,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.