Tornadoes · United States · Pennsylvania · 2011

EF1 tornado, East Waterford to Academia, Pennsylvania, April 28, 2011

From East Waterford to Academia, this EF1 tornado ran 8.5 miles across Juniata County on April 28, 2011, touching down at 2:53 AM EDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $25,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
April 28, 2011
Touchdown
2:53 AM EDT (06:53 UTC)
Lifted
3:00 AM EDT (07:00 UTC)
On the ground
7 minutes
Path length
8.5 miles (13.6 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$25,000
County
Juniata County
Touchdown point
40.380, -77.590
Lift-off point
40.467, -77.476
Record number
1104280053-01

The damage survey

4 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS CTP, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The highest wind the damage implies is 74 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A total of six tornadoes were confirmed over from the early evening on the 27th through the early morning hours of the 28th. This was the most significant tornado outbreak in central Pennsylvania since 2005. The last event with 6 confirmed tornadoes was September 2004 with Hurricane Ivan. The large scale weather pattern that contributed to this outbreak featured a fast-moving upper level impulse and attendant surface low pressure system that moved across the Great Lakes Region. An unseasonably warm and relatively moist air mass /surface temperatures in the 70s to low 80s and dewpoints in the upper 50s/ resided over central Pennsylvania in advance of this system and aided in strong destabilization. Moderate instability combined with strong vertical wind shear profiles promoted a convective environment favorable for organized thunderstorms with supercells and bowing line segments. Although large hail and damaging winds were the main threats, sufficient low-level wind shear was present to support isolated tornadoes. A tornado watch was issued around 1500 EDT on 27 April 2011. The tornado threat continued through the evening and into the overnight and early morning hours on 28 April 2011. By this time, thunderstorms had evolved into largely north-south oriented clusters or broken lines with embedded supercell structures. The storms finally exited the region by mid-morning on 28 April 2011.

The NWS in State College confirmed an EF1 tornado near East Waterford in Juniata County. The tornado occurred between 0253 and 0300 AM EDT on 28 April 2011. The EF1 tornado first produced damage on the east side of East Waterford, then skirted northeast along SR 75 producing sporadic damage along a well-defined path from Honey Grove to Seven Pines in Spruce Hill Township. The Hancock farm in Honey Grove sustained the most significant damage, as the farm house roof and several barns and farm sheds were destroyed. Numerous tree damage was observed along the tornado track which covered approximately 8 miles. Two barns were also damaged along Laurel Run near SR 850 at Burnt Church Road. Additional barns along SR 75 suffered minor to moderate roof damage, with roof debris scattered up to 200 yards away from its source location. The damage indicators, primarily those observed at the Hancock farm, were consistent with a maximum wind speed between 105 to 110 mph, putting the tornado in the upper-bound of the EF1 rating category.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 03:50 UTC and running to 08:51 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:12 UTC00:54 UTCTornado WatchCTP
21:52 UTC22:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP
23:12 UTC00:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP
00:00 UTC10:36 UTCFlash Flood WatchCTP
03:50 UTC08:51 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchCTP
06:52 UTC07:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP
06:55 UTC10:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryCTP
07:37 UTC07:56 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningCTP
10:47 UTC13:45 UTCFlood AdvisoryCTP
21:00 UTC11:00 UTCFlood WarningCTP

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 06:09 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), 12:00Z

5.1 hours after it, 162 km from the path. April 28, 2011.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2011-04-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 482 joules per kilogram, CIN -47, lifted condensation level 670 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD at 12:00Z on 2011-04-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 371 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 56 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
482 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Surface CAPE
487 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
670 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
371 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
401 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
5.5
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 06:53 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
06:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGBoalsburgCentre, PATREES DOWN.
06:30 UTCTORNADOBroad Top CityHuntingdon, PASURVEY RATED THE DAMAGE AS EF1 MAGNITUDE. PATH LENGTH 4 MILES. TWO HOMES SUSTAINED MINOR DAMAGE. MANY TREES DAMAGED OR UPROOTED.
06:40 UTCTSTM WND DMGCentre HallCentre, PATREES DOWN.
06:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGLucy FurnaceMifflin, PATREES DOWN.
06:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGBoalsburgCentre, PATREES DOWN.
06:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGCentre HallCentre, PATREES DOWN.
06:57 UTCTSTM WND DMGLucy FurnaceMifflin, PATREES DOWN.
06:58 UTCTORNADO1 Ne East WaterfordJuniata, PASURVEY RATED THE DAMAGE AS EF0 MAGNITUDE. PATH LENGTH 8.4 MILES. PATH NOT CONTINUOUS. MANY TREES DAMAGED. SEVERAL BARNS SUSTAINED MINOR TO MODERATE ROOF DAMAGE.
07:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGEast WaterfordJuniata, PANUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND BUILDING DAMAGE
07:07 UTCTSTM WND DMGLewistownMifflin, PATREES DOWN ON ROUTE 22
07:20 UTCTSTM WND DMGMcalistervilleJuniata, PATREES DOWN
08:00 UTCFLASH FLOODArendtsvilleAdams, PARTE 234 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER
08:00 UTCHAIL 1DauphinDauphin, PA
08:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGBiglervilleAdams, PATREES DOWN
09:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGBiglervilleAdams, PALARGE APPLE BINS DAMAGED BLOWN UPHILL...UTILITY POLE AND TREES UPROOTED...WIRES DOWN.
09:30 UTCFLASH FLOODBiglervilleAdams, PASMALL STREAM FLOODING...WATER RESCUES...BASEMENTS FLOODED...WATER FLOWING OVER BLOCKING ROADS

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2011 tornado in PennsylvaniaEvery tornado in Pennsylvania since 1950Warnings in force in Pennsylvania nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of April 28, 2011

39 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
April 282:12 AM EDTEF2Rockingham, VA33.5400$450,000
April 282:17 AM EDTEF1Augusta, VA4.0150$100,000
April 282:20 AM EDTEF1Huntingdon, PA2.950$10,000
April 282:50 AM EDTEF1Putnam, GA6.7200$1.0 million
April 283:01 AM EDTEF1Rockingham, VA0.950$50,000
April 283:20 AM EDTEF2Chenango, NY7.4400$625,000
April 283:22 AM EDTEF1Caldwell, NC4.51001
April 283:33 AM EDTEF1Alexander, NC4.375
April 283:39 AM EDTEF1Warren, GA7.8440$1.0 million
April 283:45 AM EDTEF0Frederick, VA4.3175$25,000
April 283:55 AM EDTEF1Rockingham, VA2.6150$75,000
April 283:58 AM EDTEF1Chenango, NY3.4150$75,000
April 284:58 AM EDTEF1Chenango, NY3.5100$50,000
April 285:04 AM EDTEF1Herkimer, NY2.9250
April 285:50 AM EDTEF0Susquehanna, PA1.080$40,000
April 284:50 AM CDTEF1Jackson, FL3.0150$500,000
April 285:55 AM EDTEF2York, PA2.6100$50,000
April 286:20 AM EDTEF1Lebanon, PA1.9100$10,000
April 286:30 AM EDTEF2Lebanon, PA1.1200$15,000
April 286:45 AM EDTEF0Montgomery, MD0.850$2,000
April 287:37 AM EDTEF0Carroll, MD0.750$5,000
April 287:37 AM EDTEF1Calhoun, SC4.7440$250,000
April 287:50 AM EDTEF1Sumter, SC10.8220$48,000
April 288:09 AM EDTEF0Baltimore, MD1.150$5,000
April 288:18 AM EDTEF0Sumter, SC1.680$18,000
April 289:54 AM EDTEF0Baltimore, MD1.175$1,000
April 2810:15 AM EDTEF1Hanover, VA2.5150$25,000
April 2811:25 AM EDTEF1Saint Mary's, MD3.4150$35,000
April 2811:41 AM EDTEF0Calvert, MD1.750$7,000
April 283:00 PM EDTEF1Duplin, NC1.4100$10,000
April 283:43 PM EDTEF0Columbus, NC0.620$27,000
April 284:07 PM EDTEF1Pender, NC0.360$66,000
April 284:10 PM EDTEF0Pender, NC6.350$33,000
April 284:20 PM EDTEF0Craven, NC0.150
April 284:22 PM EDTEF0Glynn, GA0.01
April 284:29 PM EDTEF1Pender, NC3.160$105,000
April 284:30 PM EDTEF0Martin, NC0.130
April 284:38 PM EDTEF0Pender, NC0.230$12,000
April 285:23 PM EDTEF0Beaufort, NC0.330

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.