Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2010

EF3 tornado, Westville to Elm Spgs, Oklahoma, December 31, 2010

From Westville to Elm Spgs, this EF3 tornado ran 21.1 miles across Adair, Washington and Benton counties on December 31, 2010, touching down at 6:05 AM CST and reaching 500 yards wide. It killed 4 people and injured 10, and did $1.9 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mphthis tornado

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF3
Date
December 31, 2010
Touchdown
6:05 AM CST (12:05 UTC)
Lifted
6:27 AM CST (12:27 UTC)
On the ground
22 minutes
Path length
21.1 miles (33.9 km)
Path width
500 yards (457 m)
Deaths
4
Injuries
10
Property damage
$1.9 million
Counties
Adair, Washington and Benton counties
Touchdown point
35.998, -94.566
Lift-off point
36.198, -94.282
Record number
1012310605-01

The damage survey

34 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TSA, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF3. The highest wind the damage implies is 142 mph.

  • 13 large wood utility poles snapped in a line here and to the west of here
  • 4 automobiles rolled 20 to 50 yards
  • roof damage, broken windows; appears home was on the northern periphery of the tornado
  • Lot that the mobile home where two people died originally resided; some of the tie downs are evident in the foreground

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Unseasonably warm and moist air spread into eastern Oklahoma ahead of a cold front. Scattered thunderstorms developed in the late evening and early morning hours ahead of the cold front as a weak upper level disturbance passed through the region. Large hail and damaging wind gusts occurred with some of these storms. Another round of storms developed on the cold front as it moved into eastern Oklahoma a few hours before sunrise. Weak to moderate instability combined with very strong low level wind shear created an environment that supported supercell thunderstorm structures. Several supercells developed resulting in large hail and damaging wind gusts in the hours just before and after sunrise on the 31st. One of these supercells produced a long-track, strong tornado that began in Adair County, Oklahoma, and moved into Washington County, Arkansas, where it killed four people in and near the town of Cincinnati.

Unseasonably warm and moist air spread into northwestern Arkansas ahead of a cold front. Scattered thunderstorms developed in the late evening and early morning hours ahead of the cold front as a weak upper level disturbance passed through the region. Large hail and damaging wind gusts occurred with some of those storms. Another round of storms developed on the cold front over eastern Oklahoma as it pushed into the area. Weak to moderate instability combined with very strong low level wind shear created an environment that supported supercell thunderstorm structures. Several supercells developed resulting in large hail and damaging wind gusts in the hours just before and after sunrise on the 31st. One of these supercells produced a long-track, strong tornado that killed four people in and near the town of Cincinnati in Washington County. Debris was transported by the tornado into northern Benton County and was reported in Bella Vista and Pea Ridge. The Northwest Arkansas Regional Airport (XNA) was closed for three hours to remove the debris from the flight line. Another supercell produced a short-lived, weak tornado in Carroll County that moved into Missouri.

This segment is the first of six segments of this long-track tornado. A tornado developed just northeast of Westville and moved rapidly northeastward damaging a home, tossing or rolling four vehicles, snapping at least 13 large power poles, and snapping or uprooting large trees. Estimated maximum wind based on this damage was 125 mph. This tornado continued into Washington County, Arkansas.

This segment is the second of six segments of this long-track tornado. The tornado moved into Washington County snapping numerous trees as it approached the town of Cincinnati. In Cincinnati, the tornado destroyed several permanent homes, destroyed the volunteer fire station, destroyed a mobile home, damaged several other permanent homes, snapped or uprooted numerous trees, snapped numerous power poles, and destroyed barns and outbuildings. Two people were killed in the mobile home that was destroyed and a third person was killed either in or near a barn while he was tending to his cattle. At least seven injuries also occurred. The tornado was about 300 yards wide when it went through town. The maximum estimated wind speed in the tornado based on this damage was 140 mph.||The tornado continued to move rapidly northeastward and widened to about 500 yards northeast of Cincinnati. Several permanent homes were severely damaged, several mobile homes were destroyed, at least four chicken houses were destroyed, outbuildings were destroyed, numerous trees were snapped or uprooted, and power poles were snapped. A woman in one of the mobile homes that was destroyed was transported to a hospital with serious injuries. She later died from those injuries on January 4th.||The tornado continued into Benton County, Arkansas.

This segment is the third of six segments of this long-track tornado. The tornado severely damaged a couple permanent homes, destroyed a mobile home, destroyed barns, snapped or uprooted numerous trees, and snapped power poles in this portion of Benton County. Two injuries occurred in the mobile home that was destroyed on Winwood Ranch Road. The maximum estimated wind speed based on this damage was 130 mph.||The tornado continued into Washington County, Arkansas.

This segment is the fourth of six segments of this long-track tornado. Numerous trees were snapped or uprooted in this segment. Estimated maximum wind speed based on this damage was 125 mph.||The tornado moved northeastward and crossed back into Benton County, Arkansas.

This segment is the fifth of six segments of this long-track tornado. The tornado severely damaged a permanent home, destroyed a barn, snapped or uprooted numerous trees, and snapped power poles. The maximum estimated wind speed in this segment of the tornado based on this damage was 125 mph.||The tornado moved northeast and back into Washington County, Arkansas.

This segment is the sixth of six segments of this long-track tornado. The tornado overturned a box truck on Highway 412, injuring its driver, severely damaged a couple permanent homes, severely damaged a mobile home, snapped or uprooted numerous trees, and snapped numerous power poles. The maximum estimated wind speed in this segment of the tornado based on this damage was 125 mph.

The deaths

4 direct deaths are recorded for this tornado, each with what Storm Data knows of it.

AgeSexWhereKind
88MMobile/Trailer HomeDirect
78FMobile/Trailer HomeDirect
95FMobile/Trailer HomeDirect
78MOutside/Open AreasDirect

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

5 minutes of warning. NWS TSA issued a tornado warning for this county at 12:00 UTC, 5 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 12:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 08:51 UTC and running to 14:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
08:51 UTC14:00 UTCTornado WatchTSA
11:21 UTC12:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
11:54 UTC12:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
11:55 UTC12:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA
12:00 UTC12:15 UTCTornado WarningTSA
12:12 UTC12:29 UTCTornado WarningTSA
13:15 UTC13:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSA

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 05:44 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z

0.1 hours before the tornado, 105 km from the path. December 31, 2010.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2010-12-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 764 joules per kilogram, CIN -39, lifted condensation level 569 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2010-12-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 535 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 69 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
764 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-39 J/kg
Surface CAPE
341 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
569 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
69 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
535 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
546 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.9
Supercell composite
10.7
0-3 km lapse rate
5.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z

11.9 hours after it, 105 km from the path. January 1, 2011.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2011-01-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -108144, lifted condensation level 2350 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2011-01-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 92 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-108144 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2350 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
92 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Siloam Spring(Awos) (SLG), 12 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
10:15 UTC60.855.4160° 14 kt18999.7
10:35 UTC62.655.4170° 15 kt211000.3
10:55 UTC62.655.4160° 13 kt221000.3
11:15 UTC62.655.4170° 11 kt211000.3
11:35 UTC62.655.4200° 12 kt201001.4
11:55 UTC62.655.4180° 14 kt201001.4
12:15 UTC60.855.4200° 14 kt1002TS
12:35 UTC5955.4210° 13 kt241002.4TS
12:55 UTC57.253.6180° 17 kt221002.4TS
13:15 UTC5953.6210° 21 kt301002.7TS
13:35 UTC57.253.6230° 15 kt221003.7VCTS
13:55 UTC57.253.6220° 10 kt1004.1

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 90 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 12:05 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
11:35 UTCHAIL 0.883 Se TahlequahCherokee, OKWIND GUSTS ESTIMATED 45 TO 50 MPH.
12:03 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S WestvilleAdair, OKROOF OF A BARN SEVERELY DAMAGED BY STRONG THUNDERSTORM WIND
12:05 UTCTORNADOWestvilleAdair, OKPRELIMINARY REPORT OF EXTENSIVE DAMAGE ON NORTH SIDE AND TO THE NORTHEAST OF WESTVILLE.
12:09 UTCTORNADOCincinnatiWashington, ARPRELIMNARY REPORT OF TORNADO DAMAGE IN CINCINNATI. ONE MOBILE HOME AND TWO BARNS DESTROYED. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION TO FOLLOW.
12:26 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 N OdellWashington, ARSCATTERED TREE DAMAGE. LARGE LIMBS DOWN NORTH OF ODELL TOWARD MORROW.
12:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nw BaronAdair, OKSTRONG THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGED A MOBILE HOME

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2010 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 31, 2010

28 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 3112:17 AM CSTEF0Stone, MO1.875$750,000
December 3112:18 AM CSTEF1Christian, MO5.32502$200,000
December 3112:31 AM CSTEF0Webster, MO3.1150$100,000
December 317:48 AM CSTEF0Carroll, AR to MO4.350$15,000
December 318:37 AM CSTEF0Polk, MO1.050$5,000
December 319:43 AM CSTEF3Pulaski, MO7.55004$90 million
December 3110:06 AM CSTEF3Phelps, MO11.050026$1.0 million
December 3110:12 AM CSTEF1Phelps, MO6.84402$500,000
December 3110:40 AM CSTEF1Crawford, MO6.4100
December 3111:16 AM CSTEF1Franklin, MO0.8100$40,000
December 3111:17 AM CSTEF0Franklin, MO0.450
December 3111:19 AM CSTEF2Franklin, MO12.2370
December 3111:25 AM CSTEF0Saint Charles, MO2.050
December 3111:27 AM CSTEF1Jefferson, MO8.650
December 3111:48 AM CSTEF3Saint Louis, MO6.744016$1.0 million
December 3111:48 AM CSTEF1Saint Louis, MO1.7175
December 3111:56 AM CSTEF0Calhoun, IL3.650
December 3112:08 PM CSTEF1City of Saint Louis, MO2.7100
December 3112:30 PM CSTEF0Saint Clair, IL0.150
December 3112:37 PM CSTEF3Menard, IL3.62001$12 million
December 311:05 PM CSTEF0Bond, IL1.7100
December 311:24 PM CSTEF2Carter, MO2.6200$200,000
December 312:25 PM CSTEF2Butler, MO0.2100$250,000
December 312:35 PM CSTEF0LaSalle Parish, LA0.450$20,000
December 314:11 PM CSTEF1Warren, MS3.6100$110,000
December 314:44 PM CSTEF2Hinds, MS26.2800$2.7 million
December 315:42 PM CSTEF0Rankin, MS1.450$2,000
December 318:09 PM CSTEF1Lincoln, MS2.150$250,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.