Tornadoes · United States · North Dakota · 2016

EF2 tornado, Mylo to Agate, North Dakota, August 3, 2016

From Mylo to Agate, this EF2 tornado ran 20.0 miles across Rolette and Towner counties on August 3, 2016, touching down at 5:28 PM CDT and reaching 1,200 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $600,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
August 3, 2016
Touchdown
5:28 PM CDT (22:28 UTC)
Lifted
6:25 PM CDT (23:25 UTC)
On the ground
57 minutes
Path length
20.0 miles (32.2 km)
Path width
1,200 yards (1097 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$600,000
Crop damage
$350,000
Counties
Rolette and Towner counties
Touchdown point
48.560, -99.610
Lift-off point
48.690, -99.210
Record number
1608031628-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A deep low pressure system developed over eastern Montana and lifted northeast. As it did, a cold front pushed into western North Dakota. Ahead of the front, impressive instability developed over the central part of the state as moisture surged into the area. Thunderstorms rapidly developed over north central North Dakota as the front pushed into the area. The strongest storms were over Rolette County. One storm produced a large tornado near Agate, that damaged a farmstead before crossing into Towner County, causing additional damage. The largest hail was also reported in Rolette County, where three inch diameter hail fell near Dunseith. A line of storms then developed southward along the front in the late evening, with an 81 mph wind gust in Dickey County near Ellendale.

By mid to late afternoon of August 3rd, a cold front had moved into central North Dakota. Ahead of the cold front, a warm front extended out to the east, or along the Canadian border. This put all of eastern North Dakota and the northwest quarter of Minnesota in the warm sector, where afternoon highs reached into the 80s to around 90, with dew point readings well into the 60s. A ribbon of extreme instability pooled from north to south just ahead of the cold front, with a lot of low level twisting evident in the wind field. Thunderstorms flared up in a northeast to southwest line around Rugby, North Dakota, then slowly tracked eastward during the evening. Some of the initial thunderstorms resulted in tornadoes in the Bisbee, North Dakota, area, as well as very large hail. In addition, these storms dropped large amounts of rain in the Bisbee area. As these initial storms moved east, they gradually weakened and became more disorganized. Meanwhile, storms along the southern edge of the line strengthened, gradually affecting the Devils Lake, North Dakota, area. Once again, several tornadoes were reported, with large hail as well. By late evening into the early morning hours of August 4th, the line over Devils Lake joined a line that blew up southwest of Jamestown, North Dakota, to form a continuous line of storms. This line of storms continued to move east, pushing through the central and southern Red River Valley, and into portions of west central Minnesota. By the time it reached west central Minnesota, the storms mainly produced damaging wind gusts.

A long tracked tornado developed about six miles south of Mylo, Rolette County, North Dakota, and traveled northeast before crossing into Towner County just northeast of Agate, along highway 66. The tornado did significant damage to two farmsteads in Rolette County, destroying pole barns and grain bins and damaging equipment. Crops were flattened along the tornado path. The tornado was highly publicized as national media showed a live feed from a storm chaser. This was a long tracked tornado of around 20 miles, about eight miles in Rolette County and 12 in Towner County. There were no injuries and no deaths with the tornado in either county. Based on the damage done its maximum rating was EF2 in Rolette and EF2 in Towner. From that, wind speeds were estimated to have been around 120 mph. See the tornado entry from Towner County, National Weather Service Grand Forks forecast area, for more details from Towner County.

This tornado began in Rolette County, then crossed into Towner County one mile north-northeast of Agate. In Towner County, it tracked for twelve miles. The tornado center tracked about 2.5 miles north of Bisbee and continued east across highway 281. The tornado demolished farm buildings at two farms and snapped over two dozen power poles at various locales. Peak winds were estimated at 120 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:38 UTC and running to 00:24 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:38 UTC00:24 UTCTornado WatchBIS
20:54 UTC22:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBIS
20:58 UTC22:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBIS
21:23 UTC22:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBIS
22:00 UTC23:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBIS
22:31 UTC22:50 UTCTornado WarningBIS
22:58 UTC23:43 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBIS
23:10 UTC02:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryBIS

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:51 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), 12:00Z

10.5 hours before the tornado, 228 km from the path. August 3, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2016-08-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 58 joules per kilogram, CIN -522, lifted condensation level 1927 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 12:00Z on 2016-08-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 51 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 20 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
58 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-522 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1927 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
51 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), 00:00Z

1.5 hours after it, 228 km from the path. August 4, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2016-08-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1397 joules per kilogram, CIN -36, lifted condensation level 2565 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2016-08-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 100 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 48 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1397 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-36 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2520 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2565 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.8
0-3 km lapse rate
7.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Minot AFB radar (KMBX), 110 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:01 UTCHAIL 1.258 Sw RugbyPierce, NDHAIL FALLING AT TIME OF CALL. .
21:01 UTCHAIL 1.258 Sw RugbyPierce, NDHAIL FALLING AT TIME OF CALL. .
21:20 UTCHAIL 1.75RugbyPierce, NDPASSED ALONG VIA BROADCAST MEDIA.
21:21 UTCHAIL 2.51 Sse RugbyPierce, ND.
21:35 UTCHAIL 0.753 Sse ThorneRolette, NDRAINFALL OF 0.20 INCHES, WIND GUSTING BRIEFLY TO 50 MPH.
21:35 UTCHAIL 0.753 Sse ThorneRolette, NDRAINFALL OF 0.20 INCHES, WIND GUSTING BRIEFLY TO 50 MPH. THE DURATION OF THE HAIL EVENT WAS 3 MINUTES.
21:45 UTCHAIL 0.753 Sw WolfordPierce, NDSTANDING WATER IN FIELDS.
22:05 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ne KnoxBenson, NDA FEW LARGE 4 TO 6 INCH DIAMETER TREE BRANCHES BROKEN DOWN IN SHELTER BELTS ACROSS NORTHERN KNOX TOWNSHIP.
22:10 UTCHAIL 14 Wnw RoletteRolette, ND.
22:25 UTCHAIL 2.57 Sw BisbeeTowner, NDHAIL HAD OCCURRED EARLIER AND WAS STILL PRESENT ACROSS THE ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
22:30 UTCTORNADO4 Ssw AgateRolette, NDTORNADO SEEN VIA SOCIAL MEDIA STREAM AND IS ONGOING AT TIME OF REPORT. ALSO REPORTED BY EM.
22:40 UTCTORNADO3 Sw AgateRolette, NDDAMAGE TO FARM BUILDINGS. .
22:40 UTCTORNADO4 Sw AgateRolette, NDDAMAGE TO FARM BUILDINGS. .
22:45 UTCTORNADO 21 Nne AgateRolette, NDCONTINUATION OF A MULTI-VORTEX TORNADO ACROSS THE ROLETTE-TOWNER COUNTY LINE NEAR THE COMMUNITY OF AGATE. THIS TORNADO TRACKED FOR AN ADDITIONAL 12 MILES ENE TO AROUND 4 NNE OR ARNDT. TOTAL TRACK LENGTH OF 20 MILES. THE
22:45 UTCTORNADO6 S PerthTowner, NDWIDE TORNADO OBSERVED TRACKING ACROSS THE ROLETTE-TOWNER COUNTY LINE NEAR THE COMMUNITY OF AGATE. TIME AND LOCATION BASED ON STREAMING VIDEO AND SOCIAL MEDIA REPORT.
22:50 UTCTSTM WND GST 602 Ne MyloRolette, ND.
22:50 UTCTSTM WND GST 602 Ne MyloRolette, ND. THE DURATION OF THE TSTM WND GST EVENT WAS 40 MINUTES.
22:50 UTCHAIL 1.752 Ne MyloRolette, ND.
22:50 UTCHAIL 1.752 Ne MyloRolette, ND. THE DURATION OF THE HAIL EVENT WAS 40 MINUTES.
22:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 W BisbeeTowner, NDTRANSFORMER LINES AND POWER POLES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED.
22:59 UTCTORNADO1 N BisbeeTowner, NDINTERMITTENT TOUCHDOWNS REPORTED AND FILMED ACROSS SOUTHERN GRAINFIELD TOWNSHIP.
23:00 UTCTSTM WND GST 602 Ne MyloRolette, ND.
23:10 UTCHAIL 12 Ne MyloRolette, NDHAIL ONGOING AT TIME OF REPORT.
23:23 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Ene BisbeeTowner, NDPOWER LINES DOWN AND LOWER POLE SNAPPED ALONG HWY 281... 1 TO 2 MILES NORTH OF INTERSECTION WITH HWY 66. VIDEO AND REPORTS POSTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
23:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 902 N EgelandTowner, NDNUMEROUS POPLAR AND PINE TREES WERE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED AT FARMSTEAD AND SHELTER BELTS ACROSS CROCUS AND TWIN HILL TOWNSHIPS. LARGE 1200 LB HAY BALES WERE BLOWN AROSS A ROAD.
23:40 UTCHAIL 2.754 W BisbeeTowner, NDLARGE HAIL ALONG HIGHWAY 66. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
23:45 UTCHAIL 2.754 W BisbeeTowner, NDLARGE HAIL ALONG HIGHWAY 66.
23:47 UTCHAIL 1.55 Ese EgelandTowner, NDLARGE HAIL AND VERY STRONG WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN VICTOR TOWNSHIP.
23:52 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Sw MunichCavalier, NDNUMEROUS LARGE TREE BRANCHES AND LIMBS BROKEN DOWN IM SHELTER BELTS ACROSS TRIER AND SEIVERT TOWNSHIPS.
23:55 UTCHEAVY RAIN 3.62 Ne MyloRolette, NDHEAVY RAINFALL FROM 5:50PM -6:30PM. STORM TOTAL 3.60 INCHES.
23:55 UTCHEAVY RAIN 3.62 Ne MyloRolette, NDHEAVY RAINFALL FROM 5:50PM -6:30PM. STORM TOTAL 3.60 INCHES. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 40 MINUTES.
23:55 UTCTSTM WND GST 604 N CandoTowner, NDMEASURED BY MOBILE EQUIPMENT.
23:57 UTCHEAVY RAIN 03 W BisbeeTowner, NDDITCHES FLOWING FULL WITH WATER BEGINNING TO RUN UP ON HIGHWAY 66.
00:05 UTCHEAVY RAIN 0RocklakeTowner, NDHEAVY RAIN AND STREET FLOODING REPORTED.
00:15 UTCTSTM WND GST 611 Wnw HampdenCavalier, NDPEAK WIND MEASURED AT THE HAMPDEN RAWS STATION. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
00:20 UTCTSTM WND GST 611 Wnw HampdenCavalier, NDPEAK WIND MEASURED AT THE HAMPDEN RAWS STATION. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
00:23 UTCHAIL 1CandoTowner, NDQUARTER SIZED HAIL AND ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN.
00:26 UTCHAIL 1.5CandoTowner, NDREPORT AND PHOTO POSTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
00:26 UTCHAIL 1.75CandoTowner, NDREPORT AND PHOTO POSTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
00:30 UTCFLASH FLOOD3 W BisbeeTowner, NDHIGHWAY 66 CLOSED DUE TO WATER FLOWING ACROSS. AREA FIELDS AND DITCHES FLOODING TGROUHGOUT GRAINFIELD... SORENSON....NEW CITY AND GERRARD TOWNSHIPS.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in North DakotaEvery tornado in North Dakota since 1950Warnings in force in North Dakota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of August 3, 2016

3 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
August 38:40 PM CDTEF0Ramsey, ND1.440
August 38:41 PM CDTEF0Ramsey, ND0.840
August 39:10 PM CDTEF2Eddy, ND3.3300

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.