Tornadoes · United States · New York · 2026
EF1 tornado, Niagara County, New York, September 2, 2026
This EF1 tornado ran 0.7 miles across Niagara County on September 2, 2026, touching down at 6:07 PM EDT and reaching 70 yards wide. It killed nobody.
Preliminary. This is NWS BUF's damage survey, filed in the Damage Assessment Toolkit as 9/2 Olcott. The rating, the path and the casualties are the survey's and can change while it is revised. The Storm Prediction Center compiles the official record of 2026 from these surveys and publishes it in the spring of 2027; this page moves to that tornado's permanent address when it does.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The survey
- Rating, as surveyed
- EF1, preliminary
- Date
- September 2, 2026
- Touchdown
- 6:07 PM EDT (22:07 UTC)
- Lifted
- 6:08 PM EDT (22:08 UTC)
- On the ground
- 1 minutes
- Path length
- 0.7 miles (1.1 km)
- Path width
- 70 yards (64 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Niagara County
- Touchdown point
- 43.338, -78.713
- Lift-off point
- 43.330, -78.707
- Highest wind the damage implies
- 105 mph
- Surveyed by
- NWS BUF
- The office's name for it
- 9/2 Olcott
- Survey last edited
- September 3, 2026
- Record number
- None yet. SPC numbers 2026 in the spring of 2027.
What the survey found
None.
Written by NWS BUF in the NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit. A survey is revised as better evidence arrives.
The damage survey
13 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS BUF, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 104 mph.
- Swirls in grass noted on drone footage just before area of tree laid down
- Many trees uprooted some snapped
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
The warnings
0 minutes of warning. NWS BUF issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:07 UTC, 0 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:30 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:41 UTC and running to 02:09 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:18 UTC | 12:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF |
| 12:18 UTC | 12:57 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF |
| 20:41 UTC | 02:09 UTC | Tornado Watch | BUF |
| 21:43 UTC | 23:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF |
| 22:07 UTC | 22:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | BUF |
| 22:28 UTC | 22:47 UTC | Tornado Warning | BUF |
| 22:47 UTC | 23:42 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BUF |
| 23:26 UTC | 03:30 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | BUF |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 20:00 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), 12:00Z
10.1 hours before the tornado, 45 km from the path. September 2, 2026.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1578 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -57 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 869 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 829 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 60 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 117 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 124 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.3
- Supercell composite
- 6.2
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.9 K/km
The surface observations
Niagara Falls International (IAG), 32 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:10 UTC | 220° 11 kt | 1013.2 | ||||
| 20:15 UTC | 220° 11 kt | 1012.9 | ||||
| 20:20 UTC | 210° 11 kt | 1012.9 | ||||
| 20:25 UTC | 210° 11 kt | 1012.9 | ||||
| 20:30 UTC | 220° 9 kt | 1012.5 | ||||
| 20:35 UTC | 210° 10 kt | 1012.5 | ||||
| 20:40 UTC | 210° 9 kt | 1012.2 | ||||
| 20:45 UTC | 220° 10 kt | 1012.2 | ||||
| 20:50 UTC | 230° 11 kt | 1012.2 | ||||
| 20:53 UTC | 81 | 74 | 230° 9 kt | 1012.2 | ||
| 20:55 UTC | 230° 9 kt | 1012.2 | ||||
| 21:00 UTC | 220° 11 kt | 1012.2 | ||||
| 21:05 UTC | 220° 11 kt | 1011.9 | ||||
| 21:10 UTC | 220° 12 kt | 1011.9 | ||||
| 21:15 UTC | 220° 11 kt | 1011.5 | ||||
| 21:20 UTC | 210° 10 kt | 1011.2 | ||||
| 21:25 UTC | 1010.8 | |||||
| 21:30 UTC | 1010.8 | |||||
| 21:35 UTC | 210° 11 kt | 1010.8 | ||||
| 21:40 UTC | 210° 10 kt | 1010.5 | ||||
| 21:45 UTC | 12 kt | 17 | 1010.8 | |||
| 21:50 UTC | 210° 11 kt | 1011.2 | ||||
| 21:53 UTC | 81 | 74 | 210° 12 kt | 1011.2 | ||
| 21:55 UTC | 13 kt | 1011.2 | ||||
| 22:00 UTC | 1011.2 | |||||
| 22:05 UTC | 1011.5 | |||||
| 22:10 UTC | 1011.9 | |||||
| 22:15 UTC | 1012.2 | |||||
| 22:20 UTC | 240° 10 kt | 1012.2 | ||||
| 22:25 UTC | 1012.9 | |||||
| 22:30 UTC | 16 kt | 1012.9 | ||||
| 22:33 UTC | 78 | 72 | 350° 11 kt | 24 | 1012.5 | |
| 22:35 UTC | 340° 6 kt | 1012.2 | ||||
| 22:40 UTC | 350° 9 kt | 1012.2 | -RA | |||
| 22:41 UTC | 76 | 71 | 350° 7 kt | 15 | 1012.2 | VCTS RA |
| 22:45 UTC | 0° 0 kt | 1012.2 | +RA BR | |||
| 22:46 UTC | 74 | 71 | 0° 0 kt | 1012.5 | VCTS +RA BR | |
| 22:49 UTC | 73.4 | 71.6 | 350° 6 kt | 1012.9 | -TSRA BR | |
| 22:50 UTC | 340° 8 kt | 1013.2 | -RA BR | |||
| 22:53 UTC | 74 | 71 | 280° 16 kt | 21 | 1014.6 | -TSRA BR |
| 22:55 UTC | 74 | 71 | 290° 14 kt | 21 | 1014.6 | +TSRA BR |
| 22:55 UTC | 1014.6 | +RA BR | ||||
| 23:00 UTC | 300° 7 kt | 1014.2 | +RA BR | |||
| 23:04 UTC | 73 | 70 | 260° 12 kt | 21 | 1013.5 | -TSRA BR |
| 23:05 UTC | 23 | 1013.9 | -RA BR | |||
| 23:06 UTC | 74 | 69 | 330° 19 kt | 28 | 1013.9 | -TSRA |
| 23:10 UTC | 1013.9 | -RA | ||||
| 23:14 UTC | 72 | 69 | 330° 21 kt | 36 | 1014.2 | VCTS RA |
| 23:15 UTC | 27 | 1014.2 | RA | |||
| 23:20 UTC | 1013.9 | RA | ||||
| 23:23 UTC | 70 | 68 | 350° 18 kt | 32 | 1013.9 | VCTS RA BR |
| 23:25 UTC | 22 | 1013.5 | RA BR | |||
| 23:30 UTC | 1013.5 | RA BR | ||||
| 23:35 UTC | 10° 10 kt | 1013.2 | RA BR | |||
| 23:40 UTC | 11 kt | 1013.2 | RA | |||
| 23:45 UTC | 10 kt | 1013.2 | RA BR | |||
| 23:50 UTC | 350° 9 kt | 1012.9 | RA | |||
| 23:53 UTC | 70 | 68 | 360° 10 kt | 1012.9 | VCTS RA | |
| 23:55 UTC | 350° 9 kt | 1012.9 | RA | |||
| 00:00 UTC | 350° 10 kt | 1012.2 | RA | |||
| 00:05 UTC | 330° 8 kt | 1011.9 | RA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 43 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:08 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:22 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Sse Barker | Niagara, NY | NWS Storm Survey found thunderstorm wind damage in the town of Hartland, with peak winds estimated at 90 to 95 mph. Several dozen trees were uprooted and snapped, all laying to the southeast in the direction of storm mot |
| 22:29 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 S Waterport | Orleans, NY | Tree down blocking half of roadway. |
| 22:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Medina | Orleans, NY | NWS Storm Survey found thunderstorm wind damage in Shelby Center. One large maple tree was uprooted, with numerous other trees and limbs down in the area, all laying towards the southeast in the direction of storm motion |
| 22:45 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Se Medina | Orleans, NY | The National Weather Service in Buffalo completed a damage survey across Orleans County today in response to reports of concentrated areas of damage near Shelby from a line of severe thunderstorms yesterday, September 2n |
| 22:56 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 N North Tonawanda | Niagara, NY | Multiple reports of trees down blocking the roadway across the city. |
| 22:58 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 N Amherst | Erie, NY | Tree on house. |
| 23:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Nnw Corfu | Genesee, NY | Tree down blocking roadway and closing road. |
| 23:17 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Ssw Corfu | Genesee, NY | Large tree split and multiple large branches down. Pictures sent to office. |
| 23:27 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 N Byron | Genesee, NY | Several large trees and power lines down. |
| 23:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Medina | Orleans, NY | Multiple reports of trees down across the town of Shelby. |
| 00:00 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | Albion | Orleans, NY | Road closed due to water over roadway. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2026 tornado in New YorkEvery tornado in New York since 1950Warnings in force in New York nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of September 2, 2026
8 more have been surveyed in the United States that day, so far.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2 | 6:45 PM EDT | EF1 | Orleans, NY | 1.2 | 200 | |||
| September 2 | 7:19 PM EDT | EF0 | Saint Clair, MI | 0.3 | 175 | |||
| September 2 | 7:29 PM EDT | EF1 | Genesee, NY | 3.8 | 150 | |||
| September 2 | 7:30 PM EDT | EF1 | Monroe, NY | 3.2 | 130 | |||
| September 2 | 7:59 PM EDT | EF1 | Livingston, NY | 1.3 | 130 | |||
| September 2 | 8:00 PM EDT | EF1 | Wyoming, NY | 1.2 | 300 | |||
| September 2 | 8:21 PM EDT | EF1 | Seneca, NY | 6.7 | 250 | |||
| September 2 | 8:23 PM EDT | EF2 | Seneca, NY | 7.8 | 200 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. A survey can be revised, so the rating, the path and the casualties can all still change.
Sources
NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit, the record the survey teams file from the damage, and NOAA Storm Prediction Center storm reports. Neither is the official database for 2026, which SPC publishes in the spring of 2027.