Tornadoes · United States · New York · 2026

EF1 tornado, Niagara County, New York, September 2, 2026

This EF1 tornado ran 0.7 miles across Niagara County on September 2, 2026, touching down at 6:07 PM EDT and reaching 70 yards wide. It killed nobody.

Preliminary. This is NWS BUF's damage survey, filed in the Damage Assessment Toolkit as 9/2 Olcott. The rating, the path and the casualties are the survey's and can change while it is revised. The Storm Prediction Center compiles the official record of 2026 from these surveys and publishes it in the spring of 2027; this page moves to that tornado's permanent address when it does.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The survey

Rating, as surveyed
EF1, preliminary
Date
September 2, 2026
Touchdown
6:07 PM EDT (22:07 UTC)
Lifted
6:08 PM EDT (22:08 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.7 miles (1.1 km)
Path width
70 yards (64 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Niagara County
Touchdown point
43.338, -78.713
Lift-off point
43.330, -78.707
Highest wind the damage implies
105 mph
Surveyed by
NWS BUF
The office's name for it
9/2 Olcott
Survey last edited
September 3, 2026
Record number
None yet. SPC numbers 2026 in the spring of 2027.

What the survey found

None.

Written by NWS BUF in the NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit. A survey is revised as better evidence arrives.

The damage survey

13 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS BUF, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 104 mph.

  • Swirls in grass noted on drone footage just before area of tree laid down
  • Many trees uprooted some snapped

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

The warnings

0 minutes of warning. NWS BUF issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:07 UTC, 0 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:41 UTC and running to 02:09 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
11:18 UTC12:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF
12:18 UTC12:57 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF
20:41 UTC02:09 UTCTornado WatchBUF
21:43 UTC23:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF
22:07 UTC22:30 UTCTornado WarningBUF
22:28 UTC22:47 UTCTornado WarningBUF
22:47 UTC23:42 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBUF
23:26 UTC03:30 UTCFlash Flood WarningBUF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 20:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), 12:00Z

10.1 hours before the tornado, 45 km from the path. September 2, 2026.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1578 joules per kilogram, CIN -57, lifted condensation level 829 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2026-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 117 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 60 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1578 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-57 J/kg
Surface CAPE
869 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
829 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
60 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
124 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.3
Supercell composite
6.2
0-3 km lapse rate
4.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Niagara Falls International (IAG), 32 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
20:10 UTC220° 11 kt1013.2
20:15 UTC220° 11 kt1012.9
20:20 UTC210° 11 kt1012.9
20:25 UTC210° 11 kt1012.9
20:30 UTC220° 9 kt1012.5
20:35 UTC210° 10 kt1012.5
20:40 UTC210° 9 kt1012.2
20:45 UTC220° 10 kt1012.2
20:50 UTC230° 11 kt1012.2
20:53 UTC8174230° 9 kt1012.2
20:55 UTC230° 9 kt1012.2
21:00 UTC220° 11 kt1012.2
21:05 UTC220° 11 kt1011.9
21:10 UTC220° 12 kt1011.9
21:15 UTC220° 11 kt1011.5
21:20 UTC210° 10 kt1011.2
21:25 UTC 1010.8
21:30 UTC 1010.8
21:35 UTC210° 11 kt1010.8
21:40 UTC210° 10 kt1010.5
21:45 UTC 12 kt171010.8
21:50 UTC210° 11 kt1011.2
21:53 UTC8174210° 12 kt1011.2
21:55 UTC 13 kt1011.2
22:00 UTC 1011.2
22:05 UTC 1011.5
22:10 UTC 1011.9
22:15 UTC 1012.2
22:20 UTC240° 10 kt1012.2
22:25 UTC 1012.9
22:30 UTC 16 kt1012.9
22:33 UTC7872350° 11 kt241012.5
22:35 UTC340° 6 kt1012.2
22:40 UTC350° 9 kt1012.2-RA
22:41 UTC7671350° 7 kt151012.2VCTS RA
22:45 UTC0° 0 kt1012.2+RA BR
22:46 UTC74710° 0 kt1012.5VCTS +RA BR
22:49 UTC73.471.6350° 6 kt1012.9-TSRA BR
22:50 UTC340° 8 kt1013.2-RA BR
22:53 UTC7471280° 16 kt211014.6-TSRA BR
22:55 UTC7471290° 14 kt211014.6+TSRA BR
22:55 UTC 1014.6+RA BR
23:00 UTC300° 7 kt1014.2+RA BR
23:04 UTC7370260° 12 kt211013.5-TSRA BR
23:05 UTC 231013.9-RA BR
23:06 UTC7469330° 19 kt281013.9-TSRA
23:10 UTC 1013.9-RA
23:14 UTC7269330° 21 kt361014.2VCTS RA
23:15 UTC 271014.2RA
23:20 UTC 1013.9RA
23:23 UTC7068350° 18 kt321013.9VCTS RA BR
23:25 UTC 221013.5RA BR
23:30 UTC 1013.5RA BR
23:35 UTC10° 10 kt1013.2RA BR
23:40 UTC 11 kt1013.2RA
23:45 UTC 10 kt1013.2RA BR
23:50 UTC350° 9 kt1012.9RA
23:53 UTC7068360° 10 kt1012.9VCTS RA
23:55 UTC350° 9 kt1012.9RA
00:00 UTC350° 10 kt1012.2RA
00:05 UTC330° 8 kt1011.9RA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 43 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:08 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:22 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Sse BarkerNiagara, NYNWS Storm Survey found thunderstorm wind damage in the town of Hartland, with peak winds estimated at 90 to 95 mph. Several dozen trees were uprooted and snapped, all laying to the southeast in the direction of storm mot
22:29 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 S WaterportOrleans, NYTree down blocking half of roadway.
22:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S MedinaOrleans, NYNWS Storm Survey found thunderstorm wind damage in Shelby Center. One large maple tree was uprooted, with numerous other trees and limbs down in the area, all laying towards the southeast in the direction of storm motion
22:45 UTCTORNADO4 Se MedinaOrleans, NYThe National Weather Service in Buffalo completed a damage survey across Orleans County today in response to reports of concentrated areas of damage near Shelby from a line of severe thunderstorms yesterday, September 2n
22:56 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N North TonawandaNiagara, NYMultiple reports of trees down blocking the roadway across the city.
22:58 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N AmherstErie, NYTree on house.
23:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw CorfuGenesee, NYTree down blocking roadway and closing road.
23:17 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ssw CorfuGenesee, NYLarge tree split and multiple large branches down. Pictures sent to office.
23:27 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N ByronGenesee, NYSeveral large trees and power lines down.
23:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S MedinaOrleans, NYMultiple reports of trees down across the town of Shelby.
00:00 UTCFLASH FLOODAlbionOrleans, NYRoad closed due to water over roadway.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2026 tornado in New YorkEvery tornado in New York since 1950Warnings in force in New York nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of September 2, 2026

8 more have been surveyed in the United States that day, so far.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
September 26:45 PM EDTEF1Orleans, NY1.2200
September 27:19 PM EDTEF0Saint Clair, MI0.3175
September 27:29 PM EDTEF1Genesee, NY3.8150
September 27:30 PM EDTEF1Monroe, NY3.2130
September 27:59 PM EDTEF1Livingston, NY1.3130
September 28:00 PM EDTEF1Wyoming, NY1.2300
September 28:21 PM EDTEF1Seneca, NY6.7250
September 28:23 PM EDTEF2Seneca, NY7.8200

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. A survey can be revised, so the rating, the path and the casualties can all still change.

Sources

NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit, the record the survey teams file from the damage, and NOAA Storm Prediction Center storm reports. Neither is the official database for 2026, which SPC publishes in the spring of 2027.