Tornadoes · United States · New York · 2019

EF0 tornado, South Manor, New York, September 2, 2019

This EF0 tornado ran 1.6 miles across Suffolk County on September 2, 2019, touching down at 4:33 PM EDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $75,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
September 2, 2019
Touchdown
4:33 PM EDT (20:33 UTC)
Lifted
4:38 PM EDT (20:38 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
1.6 miles (2.6 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$75,000
County
Suffolk County
Touchdown point
40.842, -72.831
Lift-off point
40.865, -72.823
Record number
1909021433-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A cold front in tandem with a mid level disturbance triggered severe thunderstorms, including a tornado in Manorville.

A severe thunderstorm moving northeast over Mastic/Shirley and |then into Manorville in southeast Suffolk County produced an EF0 |tornado. The tornado first touched down on Dayton Street, about |400 yards south of the intersection of South Street and Dayton |Avenue in Manorville. It sheared large tree limbs and the tops off|of dozens of oak, maple and pine trees, as well as uprooting at |least a dozen shallow rooted large trees. Several electric poles |were downed by falling trees on this block, with collateral tree |damage noted to a few houses in the neighborhood. The tornado |continued northeast through the south end of neighboring Rosewood |Street and then across its intersecting cross street of South |Street. Several more trees were uprooted, large limbs broken, or |tree tops sheared on this leg of its path. Facing houses on the |north and south side of South Street had widespread tree damage |and uprooting. A shed was destroyed in this location as well, |with damage to residences in the form of sporadic blown off |shingles and siding, missing storm screens, and a couple of broken|windows. The tornado then continued northeast through a wooded |area, where more tree damage was noted, before crossing the Long |Island Expressway near Exit 69 while lifting. The path of tree |damage and debris ended on the service road on the north side of |the LIE near the intersection with Wading River Road.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:54 UTC20:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKX
20:23 UTC21:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOKX
20:38 UTC20:56 UTCTornado WarningOKX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), 12:00Z

8.6 hours before the tornado, 3 km from the path. September 2, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-09-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -67356, lifted condensation level 826 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2019-09-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 91 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 39 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67356 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
826 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
2.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), 00:00Z

3.4 hours after it, 3 km from the path. September 3, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-09-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1035 joules per kilogram, CIN -40, lifted condensation level 738 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2019-09-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 64 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 30 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1035 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-40 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1636 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
738 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
2.1
0-3 km lapse rate
5.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 3 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 20:33 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:14 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Se ShirleySuffolk, NYTREE DOWN ON LAWRENCE ROAD. TIME IS ESTIMATED.
20:16 UTCWATERSPOUTBellportSuffolk, NYWATERSPOUT SIGHTED OVER BELLPORT BAY FROM SHIRLEY BEACH. TIME ESTIMATED.
20:38 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD2 Wsw Mastic BeachSuffolk, NYFUNNEL CLOUD SIGHTED TO THE NORTH FROM SMITH POINT, EXACT LOCATION UNKNOWN, TIME ESTIMATED.
20:38 UTCTORNADOManorvilleSuffolk, NYNWS STORM SURVEY INDICATED AN EFO TORNADO LEFT A 1.6 MILE PATH LENGTH AND 50 YARD PATH WIDTH OF PRIMARILY TREE DAMAGE IN MANORVILLE. MAXIMUM ESTIMATED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 85 MPH.
20:46 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N South ManorSuffolk, NYTREE DOWN ON NORTH ST, APPROXIMATELY 2MI SW OF SWAN LAKE GOLF CLUB. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in New YorkEvery tornado in New York since 1950Warnings in force in New York nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of September 2, 2019

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
September 29:47 PM CDTEF1Wright, MN1.090$250,000
September 210:08 PM CDTEF1Carver, MN3.9210$275,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.