Tornadoes · United States · New York · 2018

EF1 tornado, Potter to Yatesville, New York, May 3, 2018

From Potter to Yatesville, this EF1 tornado ran 1.1 miles across Yates County on May 3, 2018, touching down at 8:19 PM EDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $20,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 3, 2018
Touchdown
8:19 PM EDT (00:19 UTC)
Lifted
8:21 PM EDT (00:21 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
1.1 miles (1.8 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$20,000
County
Yates County
Touchdown point
42.714, -77.153
Lift-off point
42.711, -77.132
Record number
1805031819-01

The damage survey

24 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS BGM, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 95 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A couple weak waves of low pressure moved across New York state on the 3rd. These waves produced a few severe thunderstorms over central New York which included one tornado.

A tornado hit a barn on East Swamp road which collapsed. |The tornado then continued into several fields lifting debris |from the collapsed farm onto the fields. Along the path, |the tornado took down several trees which fell in different directions. |The tornado continued eastward to Voak road where it blew down a |fence and another tree before lifting.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 20:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), 00:00Z

0.3 hours before the tornado, 129 km from the path. May 4, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2018-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 23 joules per kilogram, CIN -38, lifted condensation level 730 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2018-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 165 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
23 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Surface CAPE
53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
730 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), 12:00Z

11.7 hours after it, 129 km from the path. May 4, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 4 joules per kilogram, CIN -62, lifted condensation level 682 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2018-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 234 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 58 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-62 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
682 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
234 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
271 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Penn Yan (PEO), 11 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:20 UTC260° 6 kt1014.2-RA
22:25 UTC300° 4 kt1014.2-RA
22:30 UTC280° 4 kt1013.9-RA
22:35 UTC280° 3 kt1013.9
22:40 UTC270° 5 kt1014.2
22:45 UTC280° 4 kt1014.2
22:50 UTC290° 4 kt1013.9
22:53 UTC7260300° 4 kt1013.9
22:55 UTC300° 4 kt1013.9
23:00 UTC280° 3 kt1013.9
23:05 UTC0° 0 kt1013.9
23:10 UTC0° 0 kt1013.9
23:15 UTC0° 0 kt1013.9
23:20 UTC0° 0 kt1013.9
23:25 UTC0° 0 kt1014.2
23:30 UTC110° 3 kt1014.2-RA
23:35 UTC110° 4 kt1014.2-RA
23:40 UTC120° 3 kt1014.2-RA
23:45 UTC120° 3 kt1014.2
23:50 UTC140° 4 kt1013.9
23:53 UTC6761140° 6 kt1013.9
23:55 UTC150° 6 kt1013.9
00:00 UTC160° 7 kt1013.9
00:05 UTC180° 4 kt1013.9
00:10 UTC220° 5 kt1013.9
00:15 UTC250° 4 kt1013.9
00:20 UTC260° 3 kt1013.9
00:25 UTC220° 5 kt1013.9
00:30 UTC240° 6 kt1014.2
00:35 UTC320° 9 kt1014.6-RA
00:40 UTC 1014.6RA
00:45 UTC310° 8 kt1014.9-RA
00:50 UTC290° 3 kt1014.9-RA
00:53 UTC6762300° 3 kt1014.6
00:55 UTC300° 4 kt1014.6
01:00 UTC340° 4 kt1014.6
01:05 UTC360° 3 kt1014.6
01:10 UTC20° 3 kt1014.6
01:15 UTC0° 0 kt1014.9
01:20 UTC0° 0 kt1014.9
01:25 UTC0° 0 kt1014.9
01:30 UTC0° 0 kt1014.9
01:35 UTC0° 0 kt1015.2
01:40 UTC0° 0 kt1015.2
01:45 UTC0° 0 kt1015.2
01:50 UTC160° 3 kt1015.2
01:53 UTC6361150° 3 kt1014.9
01:55 UTC150° 3 kt1014.9
02:00 UTC0° 0 kt1015.2
02:05 UTC0° 0 kt1015.2
02:10 UTC0° 0 kt1015.2
02:15 UTC0° 0 kt1015.2

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 111 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:20 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:19 UTCTORNADO3 Ene PotterYates, NYEF-1 WITH MAX WINDS OF 100 MPH. THE TORNADO HIT A BARN WITH DEBRIS LIFTED INTO SEVERAL FIELDS WHICH THE TORNADO TRACKED THROUGH. THE TORNADO TOOK DOWN SEVERAL TREES ALONG THE PATH WHICH FELL IN DIFFERENT DIRECTIONS. THE

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2018 tornado in New YorkEvery tornado in New York since 1950Warnings in force in New York nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 3, 2018

9 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 32:10 AM CDTEF1Christian, MO1.5100$100,000
May 32:17 AM CDTEF0Greene, MO0.350$30,000
May 32:45 AM CDTEF1Douglas, MO0.875$10,000
May 38:22 AM CDTEF1Pontotoc, OK0.325$10,000
May 31:09 PM CDTEF1Franklin, AR9.5550$50,000
May 37:46 PM CDTEF0Jasper, IA0.425
May 37:48 PM CDTEF0Marion, IA1.125
May 37:56 PM CDTEF0Jasper, IA0.425
May 311:15 PM CDTEF0Jones, IA0.010

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.