Tornadoes · United States · New York · 2003

F1 tornado, Ontario, New York, May 11, 2003

This F1 tornado ran 2.3 miles across Wayne County on May 11, 2003, touching down at 3:30 PM EDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $150,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F1
Date
May 11, 2003
Touchdown
3:30 PM EDT (19:30 UTC)
Path length
2.3 miles (3.7 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$150,000
County
Wayne County
Touchdown point
43.220, -77.280
Lift-off point
43.220, -77.280
Record number
272

What the Weather Service recorded

Strong thunderstorms moved across the Genesee Valley, Western Finger Lakes and eastern Lake Ontario region during the afternoon hours. The thunderstorm winds, estimated to 65 mph, downed trees in Stafford, Spencerport, and Oswego. Power lines were downed in Adams. In Spencerport, a NWS survey determined damage to trees and several structures was consistent with straight line winds. In Ontario, Wayne county, the survey team determined the damage was caused by a weak tornado. The tornado touched down around 3:30 PM EDT. The initial touchdown occurred near the intersection of Willits and Lakeside Roads. Two homes, an automobile and a storage shed suffered damage. The tornado then touched down on Slocum Road where three more homes sustained damage and several large trees were felled. The final touchdown occured on Lake Road where the roof of a shed was torn off, trees were downed and a power pole and transformer were sheared off. The tornado winds were estimated between 75 and 100 mph. The path length was 2.25 miles, but the tornado was not on the ground the entire path length. The path width was 50 yards.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.15 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 12:21 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), 12:00Z

7.5 hours before the tornado, 120 km from the path. May 11, 2003.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2003-05-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 281 joules per kilogram, CIN -165, lifted condensation level 850 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 12:00Z on 2003-05-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 56 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 51 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
281 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-165 J/kg
Surface CAPE
110 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
850 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
11 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
107 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5
0-3 km lapse rate
4.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), 00:00Z

4.5 hours after it, 120 km from the path. May 12, 2003.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2003-05-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -90211, lifted condensation level 1188 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2003-05-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -304 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-90211 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1188 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-304 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-208 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Rochester/Monroe Co (ROC), 34 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
17:54 UTC7267130° 12 kt994.2
18:54 UTC7166270° 24 kt31993.9TS
18:57 UTC66.264.4270° 25 kt31993.9+TSRA
19:01 UTC64.462.6260° 21 kt31993.9-TSRA
19:31 UTC64.453.6260° 25 kt35994.2
19:54 UTC6250270° 25 kt35994.2
20:54 UTC6248260° 26 kt36994.9

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Buffalo radar (KBUF), 122 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:30 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2003 tornado in New YorkEvery tornado in New York since 1950Warnings in force in New York nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 11, 2003

13 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 111:18 AM CDTF3McLean, KY1.8802$400,000
May 114:10 AM EDTF2Hardin, KY6.51205$1.0 million
May 113:12 AM CDTF1Davidson, TN4.5200$500,000
May 113:20 AM CDTF3Williamson, TN1.03001$2.2 million
May 113:20 AM CDTF1Wilson, TN3.6200$500,000
May 113:30 AM CDTF1Williamson, TN0.5200
May 113:40 AM CDTF1Sumner, TN5.5200
May 113:50 AM CDTF3Rutherford, TN1.0400$1.8 million
May 113:59 AM CDTF1Hart, KY2.050$100,000
May 115:30 AM EDTF2Mercer, KY7.030018$15 million
May 116:55 AM EDTF1Garrard, KY1.075$100,000
May 114:10 PM EDTF0Lycoming, PA1.375$10,000
May 115:30 PM PDTF0Grant, WA0.10

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.