Tornadoes · United States · New Mexico · 2024

Unrated tornado, Oil Center, New Mexico, November 2, 2024

This Unrated tornado ran 6.3 miles across Lea County on November 2, 2024, touching down at 4:50 PM MDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
November 2, 2024
Touchdown
4:50 PM MDT (22:50 UTC)
Lifted
5:07 PM MDT (23:07 UTC)
On the ground
17 minutes
Path length
6.3 miles (10.1 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Lea County
Touchdown point
32.450, -103.410
Lift-off point
32.470, -103.310
Record number
2411021650-01

The damage survey

4 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MAF, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EFU.

  • Estimated start location of large dusty bowl tornado as documented by several storm chasers.
  • Estimated end location of second Oil Center tornado as reported by multiple storm chasers. Was not reported to have crossed Highway 176.
  • Nearest likely radar location at time of reported brief rope tornado west of Oil Center.
  • Estimated end point of tornado.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A deep late-season trough across the Southwestern United States resulted in an unseasonably moist and unstable airmass across the southern Great Plains. During the afternoon and evening, several severe thunderstorms, including supercells, produced large hail, damaging winds, and at least two brief, weak tornadoes over portions of West Texas and Southeast New Mexico.

Several storm chasers reported a large, rapidly rotating wall cloud|with a dusty circulation underneath it. This tornado was reported to|have lasted approximately 15 minutes and traveled about 6 miles. The|tornado may have briefly lifted and touched back down at times. No|damage was reported with this tornado as it remained over an|inaccessible, open oil field south of Highway 176 in rural Lea|County near the town of Oil Center. Therefore, this tornado is rated|EF-Unknown.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

1 minute of warning. NWS MAF issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:49 UTC, 1 minute before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:09 UTC and running to 02:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:28 UTC20:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
19:57 UTC20:03 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
20:09 UTC02:00 UTCTornado WatchMAF
20:20 UTC21:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
20:23 UTC21:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
20:29 UTC21:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
20:54 UTC21:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
20:58 UTC21:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
21:34 UTC21:45 UTCTornado WarningMAF
21:42 UTC22:00 UTCTornado WarningMAF
21:44 UTC22:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
21:47 UTC22:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
21:56 UTC23:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
22:46 UTC23:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
22:49 UTC23:15 UTCTornado WarningMAF
23:03 UTC23:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF
23:26 UTC02:30 UTCFlash Flood WarningMAF
23:36 UTC00:00 UTCTornado WarningMAF
23:38 UTC00:02 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:44 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), 12:00Z

10.8 hours before the tornado, 123 km from the path. November 2, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2024-11-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 753 joules per kilogram, CIN -86, lifted condensation level 790 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2024-11-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 101 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 25 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
753 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-86 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1538 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
790 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
197 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
2.2
0-3 km lapse rate
5.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), 00:00Z

1.2 hours after it, 123 km from the path. November 3, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2024-11-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1324 joules per kilogram, CIN -12, lifted condensation level 1225 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2024-11-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 99 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 49 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1324 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-12 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3181 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1225 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
120 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
10.4
0-3 km lapse rate
7.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 124 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:50 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:51 UTCHAIL 17 W Oil CenterLea, NM
21:04 UTCTORNADO6 Wnw Oil CenterLea, NMCorrects previous tornado report from 2 S Oil Center. Multiple pictures and video of a tornado.
21:05 UTCTORNADO2 S Oil CenterLea, NMMultiple pictures and video of a tornado.
22:45 UTCTSTM WND GST 9212 Ese HalfwayLea, NMMesonet station FW9687 Eunice.
22:54 UTCTORNADO9 Wsw Oil CenterLea, NMMultiple pictures and video of a tornado.
23:09 UTCHAIL 1.254 Sw Oil CenterLea, NM
23:17 UTCHAIL 1.52 Nw EuniceLea, NM
23:34 UTCHAIL 24 S NadineLea, NMReport from mPING: Hen Egg (2.00 in.).
23:36 UTCHAIL 32 N EuniceLea, NMPictures from storm chaser on social media.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2024 tornado in New MexicoEvery tornado in New Mexico since 1950Warnings in force in New Mexico nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of November 2, 2024

3 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
November 23:04 PM MDTUnratedLea, NM1.350
November 211:10 PM CDTEF0Pottawatomie, OK1.030$10,000
November 211:24 PM CDTUnratedPottawatomie, OK0.330

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.