Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2022

EF1 tornado, Grand Is to Chapman, Nebraska, July 3, 2022

From Grand Is to Chapman, this EF1 tornado ran 9.6 miles across Hall and Merrick counties on July 3, 2022, touching down at 12:51 AM CDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
July 3, 2022
Touchdown
12:51 AM CDT (05:51 UTC)
Lifted
1:10 AM CDT (06:10 UTC)
On the ground
19 minutes
Path length
9.6 miles (15.4 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500,000
Crop damage
$200,000
Counties
Hall and Merrick counties
Touchdown point
40.866, -98.335
Lift-off point
40.967, -98.210
Record number
2207032351-01

The damage survey

17 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS GID, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.

  • Corn damaged in herringbone pattern. Irrigation pipe damaged. Some debris in field.
  • Garage torn from modular home.
  • Trees snapped. One uprooted. Unattached outbuilding. Limited house damage.
  • 1/4 mile north. Tornado entered corn field

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

It was an unforgettable Independence Day for rural residents of far east central Hall and far southwestern Merrick counties, as a climatologically-rare, very early morning EF1-rated tornado abruptly emerged from the cover of darkness and carved out a nearly 10 mile southwest-to-northeast path over a span of 19 minutes, damaging over a half dozen homes, destroying several outbuildings, snapping a number of power poles and damaging trees and crops (fortunately no injuries were reported). This was a high-end EF1 tornado with an estimated peak wind of 110 MPH, touching down at 12:51 a.m. CDT only a short distance south-southeast of the Grand Island city limits (near the intersection of South Locust St. and Schimmer Drive). It continued for nearly four miles within Hall County before crossing over into Merrick County near the intersection of Gunbarrel and Stolley Park Roads. Within Merrick County, the tornado persisted for nearly six more miles before lifting approximately five miles southwest of Chapman at 1:10 a.m. CDT (near the intersection of 5th and D Roads). By South Central Nebraska standards, this was a unique/unusual tornado event in at least two particular ways (not to mention that it took place on a prominent national holiday). For starters, this late night/very early morning tornado was a local rarity, with only around 3 percent of all Nebraska tornadoes between 1950-2020 having occurred between midnight and sunrise. Secondly, the storm mode and meteorological environment were quite out of the ordinary for the region, as this tornado was spawned by a low-topped supercell firmly embedded within a broad area of stratiform rain...more typical of what might occur in a tropical environment in the southeastern United States (see below for more mesoscale details). ||Examining the bigger picture of convective evolution leading up to and following the Hall-Merrick County tornado, the evening of Sunday July 3rd started off with a more traditional round of strong to perhaps marginally-severe storms within South Central Nebraska. Primarily between 7:30-9:30 p.m. CDT, isolated to scattered storms that initially developed to the west/south of the area within southwest Nebraska/northern Kansas spread north-northeastward into several local counties mainly south of a line from Gothenburg-Hastings, prompting a couple of Severe Thunderstorm Warnings that included portions of Dawson, Franklin, Webster, Kearney and Adams counties. However, there were no verifying severe-criteria reports, and only one slightly sub-severe, mesonet-measured 50 MPH wind gust in Beaver City. Between 9:30 p.m. and 12:30 a.m. CDT, the intensity of storm cores weakened, but convection expanded in coverage across much of the 24-county area, featuring pockets of moderate to heavy rain and spotty wind gusts up to 50 MPH. By 12:30 a.m. CDT on the 4th, the overall-strongest storms/heaviest rain cores were focused over counties along the Highway 281 corridor, while the back end of the convective complex had already departed several southwestern local counties. During the next hour, the aforementioned low-topped supercell near the southern end of the larger-scale stratiform rain shield abruptly intensified and produced the Hall-Merrick County tornado, with briefly-intense radar rotational signatures (including a distinct debris ball on the Correlation Coefficient product) steadily weakening as the storm approached central Merrick County. Finally, between 1:30-3:30 a.m. CDT, the overall-weak convective complex steadily vacated the remainder of South Central Nebraska off to the east-northeast, with only a few lingering showers/weak storms hanging on through night's end. As it turned out, aside from the very limited area directly impacted by the EF1 tornado, the vast majority of South Central Nebraska simply had a rainy/stormy night with widespread and much-needed rainfall. The majority of (but not all) of the 24-county area picked up at least 0.25-0.75, with more limited 1-2 totals and even some very spotty 2-3+ amounts in northern Valley/Greely counties (including 3.25 in Spalding per an NeRAIN observer). ||Wrapping up with a closer look at the meteorological/mesoscale background of this event, forcing aloft was seasonably-modest, featuring broad west-southwest flow aloft over NE...well downstream from a large scale trough centered over the Pacific Northwest coast. However, an embedded small-scale disturbance (potentially convectively-enhanced with time) was a player in the evening convective development as it lifted east-northeast from southwestern into central NE. At the surface, the late afternoon-evening of the 3rd featured steady south-southeasterly breezes of 10-20 MPH across the local area, maintaining a moisture-rich airmass featuring dewpoints well into the low-mid 70s F. As the initial scattered strong storms spread into the local area early in the evening, the mesoscale environment featured healthy mixed-layer CAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg, but only 25-30 knots of deep layer shear (limiting storm organization). Between nightfall and the occurrence of the Hall-Merrick County tornado a few hours later, instability values waned slightly (as is diurnally-typical). However, thanks to an increasing southerly low level jet (evidenced by 40+ knots at 850 millibars) and also a subtle enhancement of west-southwesterly mid level flow associated with the low amplitude wave/vort max tracking into central NE, especially low level shear parameters ramped up to concerning levels during the 10 p.m. to 1 a.m. CDT time frame, with 0-1 kilometer bulk shear reaching 30-40 knots and 0-1 km storm-relative helicity spiking to 300-400 m2/s2, forcing an associated uptick in composite indices such as Significant Tornado Parameter (STP). Most of the time, late night convection in South Central Nebraska becomes at least slightly elevated and unable to fully tap into such strong low level shear and resultant tornadic potential, but this event proved that rare exceptions and mesoscale accidents can occur, aided by the presence of a moisture-rich low level profile (12 a.m. CDT dewpoint of 73 F at Grand Island airport) and a low lifting condensation level (LCL) no more than 750 meters (fostering low storm bases).

This EF1 tornado tracked nearly 10 miles through rural portions of far east central Hall and far southwestern Merrick counties during the very early morning hours of Monday, July 4th. The maximum wind speed was estimated to be 110 MPH, based on the combination of damage to trees, some buildings and homes, and power poles. The tornado was estimated to be 200 yards wide at its widest point.||This tornado first touched down at 12:51 a.m. CDT in a rural area four miles south of downtown Grand Island (near the intersection of South Locust St. and Schimmer Drive) and quickly gained strength, continuing for nearly four miles within Hall County before crossing over into Merrick County near the intersection of Gunbarrel and Stolley Park Roads. Along its total path, it damaged over a half-dozen homes, including blown out windows, shingle and siding damage, and at least one home had part of its roof decking torn off (fortunately no injuries were reported). Other outbuildings and grain bins were damaged or destroyed, including a barn in Merrick County that was over 100 years old. Several power poles were snapped, along with trees and damage to crops. The damage pattern evident in corn fields had a distinct herringbone pattern...consistent with a tornadic wind field. ||This tornado formed in a trailing area of stratiform rainfall not usually conducive for tornadic development. The combination of a very moist, unstable airmass and very favorable wind shear for the time of day were key in the formation of the low-topped supercell which spawned the tornado.

This EF1 tornado tracked nearly 10 miles through rural portions of far east central Hall and far southwestern Merrick counties during the very early morning hours of Monday, July 4th. The maximum wind speed was estimated to be 110 MPH, based on the combination of damage to trees, some buildings and homes, and power poles. The tornado was estimated to be 200 yards wide at its widest point.||This tornado first touched down in a rural area four miles south of downtown Grand Island and quickly gained strength. It entered Merrick County around 12:56 a.m. CDT near the intersection of Gunbarrel and Stolley Park Roads, persisting for nearly six more miles before lifting at 1:10 a.m. CDT approximately five miles southwest of Chapman (near the intersection of 5th and D Roads). Along its total path, it damaged over a half-dozen homes, including blown out windows, shingle and siding damage, and at least one home had part of its roof decking torn off (fortunately no injuries were reported). Other outbuildings and grain bins were damaged or destroyed, including a barn in Merrick County that was over 100 years old. Several power poles were snapped, along with trees and damage to crops. The damage pattern evident in corn fields had a distinct herringbone pattern...consistent with a tornadic wind field. ||This tornado formed in a trailing area of stratiform rainfall not usually conducive for tornadic development. The combination of a very moist, unstable airmass and very favorable wind shear for the time of day were key in the formation of the low-topped supercell which spawned the tornado.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 00:07 UTC and running to 06:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:07 UTC06:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchGID
05:54 UTC06:06 UTCTornado WarningGID
18:00 UTC01:00 UTCHeat AdvisoryGID

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:56 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

5.9 hours before the tornado, 166 km from the path. July 4, 2022.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2022-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1581 joules per kilogram, CIN -43, lifted condensation level 1121 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2022-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 24 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 27 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1581 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3307 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1121 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
5 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
24 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.8
0-3 km lapse rate
6.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

6.1 hours after it, 166 km from the path. July 4, 2022.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2022-07-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 758 joules per kilogram, CIN -198, lifted condensation level 1160 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2022-07-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 454 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 53 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
758 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-198 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1484 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1160 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
454 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
526 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5
0-3 km lapse rate
4.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Grand Island (GRI), 7 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
03:51 UTC78.873.4130° 12 kt26.051013.2
03:53 UTC7874140° 13 kt261013.2
03:55 UTC150° 11 kt1013.5
04:00 UTC150° 11 kt171013.5-RA
04:05 UTC150° 11 kt1013.2-RA
04:10 UTC140° 11 kt191013.2-RA
04:15 UTC140° 11 kt1013.5-RA
04:20 UTC140° 13 kt211013.2-RA
04:25 UTC130° 14 kt1013.2-RA
04:30 UTC130° 13 kt1012.9-RA
04:35 UTC130° 11 kt1012.9-RA
04:40 UTC140° 11 kt171012.9-RA
04:45 UTC140° 13 kt1012.5-RA
04:50 UTC140° 11 kt181012.5-RA
04:53 UTC7773140° 11 kt1012.5-RA
04:55 UTC140° 11 kt1012.5-RA
05:00 UTC150° 11 kt1012.9-RA
05:05 UTC160° 10 kt1013.2-RA
05:08 UTC7774170° 13 kt181013.5VCTS -RA
05:10 UTC180° 10 kt1013.5-RA
05:15 UTC200° 11 kt1014.2-RA
05:17 UTC7874210° 11 kt1014.6-TSRA
05:20 UTC210° 10 kt1014.2-RA
05:24 UTC7774220° 10 kt1014.2TSRA BR
05:25 UTC220° 11 kt1014.2+RA BR
05:27 UTC7774220° 11 kt1014.6+TSRA BR
05:30 UTC210° 11 kt181014.9+RA BR
05:35 UTC200° 15 kt1014.9RA BR
05:40 UTC200° 11 kt161015.2RA BR
05:43 UTC7672220° 9 kt211015.2TSRA BR
05:45 UTC230° 9 kt1015.6RA BR
05:46 UTC7672230° 10 kt1015.6+TSRA BR
05:50 UTC210° 5 kt1014.9+RA BR
05:51 UTC75.271.6210° 5 kt1014.9+RA TS BR
05:53 UTC75720° 0 kt1014.6+TSRA BR
05:55 UTC340° 2 kt1014.6+RA BR
06:00 UTC180° 8 kt1014.9+RA BR
06:05 UTC190° 5 kt1014.2+RA
06:07 UTC7568200° 8 kt1014.6TSRA
06:10 UTC210° 5 kt1014.2RA
06:13 UTC7470150° 5 kt1013.5TSRA BR
06:15 UTC130° 5 kt1013.5RA BR
06:20 UTC140° 8 kt1013.2-RA BR
06:20 UTC7471140° 8 kt1013.2VCTS -RA BR
06:25 UTC120° 8 kt1013.2RA BR
06:30 UTC120° 7 kt1013.2-RA
06:35 UTC100° 7 kt1012.9-RA
06:40 UTC90° 9 kt1012.5-RA
06:42 UTC767290° 9 kt1012.5-RA
06:45 UTC90° 9 kt1012.5-RA
06:50 UTC90° 9 kt1012.5-RA
06:53 UTC757290° 11 kt1012.2-RA
06:55 UTC80° 11 kt1012.2-RA
07:00 UTC90° 11 kt1012.2
07:05 UTC90° 11 kt1011.9
07:10 UTC100° 10 kt1011.9
07:15 UTC100° 10 kt1011.9
07:20 UTC110° 9 kt1011.9
07:25 UTC120° 9 kt1011.9
07:30 UTC120° 9 kt1011.9
07:35 UTC130° 9 kt1011.5
07:40 UTC130° 11 kt1011.5
07:45 UTC130° 11 kt1011.2
07:50 UTC140° 11 kt1011.2

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 68 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 05:53 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
05:51 UTCTORNADO4 Sse Grand IslandHall, NETHIS REPORT MARKS THE OFFICIAL START TIME AND LOCATION OF A SURVEYED EF1 TORNADO THAT WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 9.7 MILES BEFORE LIFTING ROUGHLY 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CHAPMAN IN MERRICK COUNTY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ESTIMAT
05:53 UTCTORNADO4 Sse Grand IslandHall, NEGARAGE TAKEN OFF HOUSE, CAMPER BLOWN OVER AND POWER LINES DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR DEBRIS SIGNATURE.
05:54 UTCTORNADO4 Se Grand IslandHall, NEREPORT OF CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO A HOUSE. MULTIPLE POWER LINES DOWN IN AREA. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR DEBRIS SIGNATURE.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2022 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.