Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2012
EF1 tornado, Davenport to Shickley, Nebraska, May 2, 2012
From Davenport to Shickley, this EF1 tornado ran 1.0 miles across Thayer and Fillmore counties on May 2, 2012, touching down at 10:03 PM CDT and reaching 250 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $200,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- May 2, 2012
- Touchdown
- 10:03 PM CDT (03:03 UTC)
- Lifted
- 10:07 PM CDT (03:07 UTC)
- On the ground
- 4 minutes
- Path length
- 1.0 miles (1.6 km)
- Path width
- 250 yards (229 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $200,000
- Counties
- Thayer and Fillmore counties
- Touchdown point
- 40.342, -97.788
- Lift-off point
- 40.356, -97.783
- Record number
- 1205022103-01
The damage survey
1 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS GID, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The highest wind the damage implies is 65 mph.
- RFD winds from Tornado. Damage estimate 30K.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
Multiple severe thunderstorms produced large hail up to softball size, localized flooding rains and one EF1 tornado between the evening of Wednesday the 2nd and early morning hours of Thursday the 3rd. Although no injuries were reported, this was the most significant of several severe weather episodes within South Central Nebraska between May 1st-4th and was also the most prolonged, with dozens of warnings issued over nearly a 12-hour period between 7 PM and 7 AM CDT. Despite the number of storm reports, this event was rather localized as only six counties within the 24-county area bore the brunt of severe weather. Severe storms focused in two primary zones: one a narrow southwest-to-northeast corridor extending from Buffalo through Nance Counties, and the other a concentrated, east-to-west corridor through mainly Adams, Clay and Fillmore Counties. The lone confirmed tornado, which struck after nightfall along the Thayer-Fillmore County line, was only on the ground for approximately one mile but caused considerable damage to a farmstead northeast of Davenport. Several areas experienced hail to at least golf ball size, but some of the most significant hail damage focused in and near northern portions of Hastings, where two separate rounds of large hail occurred between 10 PM-12 AM CDT. During the first round, stones up to softball size were reported within the city, and during the second round 2-inch diameter stones pounded the National Weather Service office. Rainfall wise, the heaviest measured amounts of 3-4 inches targeted much of Clay and Fillmore Counties, resulting in water running over Highway 6 west of Sutton, along with flooding of numerous county roads. ||In both primary zones of severe weather described above, things got underway between 7 PM-9 PM CDT. In the northern corridor between Buffalo and Nance Counties, initially linear multicell storms eventually transitioned into brief, semi-discrete supercells, with hail to around golf ball size reported near Amherst, Fullerton and Genoa. By 10 PM CDT, most of this activity north of Interstate 80 had either weakened or moved out of the area to the northeast. Meanwhile, storms within the southern area first developed as a multicell cluster in Nuckolls and Clay Counties. Around sunset, a slow-moving cyclic supercell evolved from this activity, producing the EF1 tornado near Davenport shortly after 10 PM CDT. Although reports of funnel clouds continued as this supercell drifted northeast toward Strang, no additional tornado touchdowns were confirmed. Between 10 PM-2 AM CDT, a nearly solid east-west corridor of hail and heavy rain-producing severe storms trained near the Highway 6 corridor between Adams and Fillmore Counties, as the original tornadic storm exited Fillmore County to the east. Between 2 AM-4 AM CDT, there was a brief lull in storm severity, while additional activity flared up farther north and west near the Interstate 80 and Highway 6 corridors. Finally, between 4 AM-7 AM CDT, one last round of hail-producing severe storms tracked east across parts of Adams, Clay and Fillmore Counties before exiting into eastern Nebraska. ||Regarding synoptic and mesoscale forcing, broad southwesterly flow aloft was not overly strong, with South Central Nebraska positioned well south of the primary shortwave trough traversing the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains. As a result, the initiation of severe storms was largely driven by the combination of strong convective instability and low level convergence. At the surface, the northern zone of severe weather was tied to a southwest-to-northeast oriented front/retreating outflow boundary. The initiation of the southern storm cluster and cyclic tornadic supercell appeared to be triggered by persistent moisture convergence along the northeast periphery of a weak surface low in north central Kansas. Once these storms developed, the onset of a modest low level jet after nightfall helped to enhance low level shear profiles, with 0-1 kilometer storm relative helicity around 200 m2/s2 by the time of the EF1 tornado. The mesoscale environment was quite supportive of supercells, with mid-evening parameters including 40 knots of 0-6 kilometer vertical wind shear and at least 3000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE.
This tornado crossed from Thayer County into Fillmore County, touching down approximately 2.5 miles northeast of Davenport and lifting approximately 3.5 miles northeast of Davenport. Along its path, a farmstead sustained house, garage and vehicle damage and a grain bin was destroyed. Two outbuildings, including a recently built barn, were destroyed and a center irrigation pivot was twisted. The maximum wind speed was estimated at 105 mph.
This tornado crossed from Thayer County into Fillmore County, touching down approximately 2.5 miles northeast of Davenport and lifting approximately 3.5 miles northeast of Davenport. Along its path, a farmstead sustained house, garage and vehicle damage and a grain bin was destroyed. Two outbuildings, including a recently built barn, were destroyed and a center irrigation pivot was twisted. The maximum wind speed was estimated at 105 mph.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
10 minutes of warning. NWS GID issued a tornado warning for this county at 02:53 UTC, 10 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 03:22 UTC.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 00:32 UTC and running to 07:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00:32 UTC | 07:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | GID |
| 01:42 UTC | 02:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID |
| 01:49 UTC | 02:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | GID |
| 02:25 UTC | 03:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GID |
| 02:53 UTC | 03:22 UTC | Tornado Warning | GID |
| 03:00 UTC | 06:00 UTC | Flood Advisory | GID |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:56 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z
3.1 hours before the tornado, 161 km from the path. May 3, 2012.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2533 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -7 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 3524 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1223 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 7 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 46 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 102 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.4 K/km
Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z
8.9 hours after it, 161 km from the path. May 3, 2012.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 497 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -269 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 5 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1132 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 33 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 21 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 75 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 15 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.6
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.0 K/km
The surface observations
Hebron (HJH), 28 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:15 UTC | 78.44 | 68 | 150° 10 kt | 1004.4 | VCTS | |
| 01:35 UTC | 78 | 68.18 | 150° 11 kt | 1004.4 | TS | |
| 01:55 UTC | 77.18 | 68 | 140° 7 kt | 1005.4 | -TSRA | |
| 02:15 UTC | 76.64 | 68 | 150° 10 kt | 1005.4 | TS | |
| 02:35 UTC | 76.64 | 68 | 140° 11 kt | 1005.8 | -DZ | |
| 02:55 UTC | 76 | 68 | 150° 12 kt | 1005.4 | ||
| 03:15 UTC | 76 | 68.18 | 160° 12 kt | 1006.1 | ||
| 03:35 UTC | 75.74 | 68.18 | 160° 15 kt | 19 | 1005.1 | |
| 03:55 UTC | 75.56 | 68.18 | 170° 15 kt | 19 | 1005.4 | |
| 04:15 UTC | 75.2 | 68 | 170° 15 kt | 1005.4 | ||
| 04:35 UTC | 74.66 | 67.82 | 180° 12 kt | 18 | 1005.1 | VCTS |
| 04:55 UTC | 74.48 | 67.64 | 180° 8 kt | 14 | 1006.1 | VCTS |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 56 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 03:05 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:26 UTC | HAIL 0.5 | 6 Ese Clay Center | Clay, NE | HEAVY RAIN ALMOST NO WIND |
| 01:34 UTC | HAIL 1 | 2 S Edgar | Nuckolls, NE | |
| 01:34 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 3 E Clay Center | Clay, NE | |
| 01:55 UTC | HAIL 0.5 | Nelson | Nuckolls, NE | PEA TO MARBLE HAIL |
| 02:28 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | 4 W Edgar | Clay, NE | PEA TO NICKEL HAIL |
| 02:49 UTC | HAIL 1 | Shickley | Fillmore, NE | |
| 02:51 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 3 W Carleton | Thayer, NE | |
| 02:53 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 3 N Davenport | Fillmore, NE | LARGE FUNNEL |
| 03:03 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Ne Davenport | Thayer, NE | REPORT FROM SURVEY TEAM INDICATES A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF DAVENPORT AND LIFTED 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF DAVENPORT. THE PRELIMINARY RATING OF THE TORNADO IS AN EF-1 WITH AN ESTIMATED MAXIMUM |
| 03:05 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | 6 Ese Clay Center | Clay, NE | HEAVY RAIN |
| 03:10 UTC | HAIL 1 | Hastings | Adams, NE | |
| 03:12 UTC | TORNADO | 5 Sw Shickley | Fillmore, NE | TORNADO NEAR THE COUNTY LINE. DAMAGE REPORTED TO A HOUSE. GARAGE WALL BLOWN OUT AND WINDOWS ON SOUTH SIDE OF HOUSE BLOWN OUT. |
| 03:13 UTC | HAIL 1 | Hastings | Adams, NE | |
| 03:15 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | Hastings | Adams, NE | AT LAKE HASTINGS |
| 03:17 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | Hastings | Adams, NE | GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AT EAST 15TH STREET AND EASTSIDE BOULEVARD. |
| 03:17 UTC | HAIL 4.25 | Hastings | Adams, NE | NORTH SIDE OF TOWN |
| 03:21 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | 2 W Strang | Fillmore, NE | |
| 03:23 UTC | HAIL 0.5 | 3 Ene Clay Center | Clay, NE | HAIL COVERED THE GROUND |
| 03:27 UTC | HAIL 1 | Hastings | Adams, NE | 12TH AND BELLEVUE |
| 03:30 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | Hastings | Adams, NE | 14TH AND CALIFORNIA |
| 03:34 UTC | HAIL 1 | 6 Ese Clay Center | Clay, NE | |
| 03:36 UTC | HAIL 1.25 | 6 Ese Clay Center | Clay, NE | JUST A FEW |
| 03:44 UTC | FUNNEL CLOUD | 1 N Strang | Fillmore, NE | |
| 03:44 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Giltner | Hamilton, NE | |
| 03:47 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | Geneva | Fillmore, NE | |
| 04:17 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | Hastings | Adams, NE | 12TH AND SHOWBOAT BLVD |
| 04:25 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 3 Wsw Friend | Saline, NE | HAIL QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE. MOSTLY QUARTER SIZE. 3 MILES WEST AND 1 MILE SOUTH OF FRIEND. |
| 04:29 UTC | HAIL 1 | 1 W Friend | Saline, NE | HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE |
| 04:33 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Geneva | Fillmore, NE | |
| 04:36 UTC | HAIL 1 | Hastings | Adams, NE | HAIL REPORTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF TOWN NEAR 12TH AND BRENTWOOD AVE. |
| 04:37 UTC | HAIL 1 | Hastings | Adams, NE | |
| 04:48 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 0.92 | 6 Ese Clay Center | Clay, NE | RAINFALL UP UNTIL 1148PM STILL RAINING |
| 05:26 UTC | HAIL 1 | Ayr | Adams, NE |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2012 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 2, 2012
1 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2 | 9:15 PM EDT | EF0 | Potter, PA | 0.4 | 25 | $75,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.