Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2012

EF1 tornado, Davenport to Shickley, Nebraska, May 2, 2012

From Davenport to Shickley, this EF1 tornado ran 1.0 miles across Thayer and Fillmore counties on May 2, 2012, touching down at 10:03 PM CDT and reaching 250 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $200,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 2, 2012
Touchdown
10:03 PM CDT (03:03 UTC)
Lifted
10:07 PM CDT (03:07 UTC)
On the ground
4 minutes
Path length
1.0 miles (1.6 km)
Path width
250 yards (229 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$200,000
Counties
Thayer and Fillmore counties
Touchdown point
40.342, -97.788
Lift-off point
40.356, -97.783
Record number
1205022103-01

The damage survey

1 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS GID, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The highest wind the damage implies is 65 mph.

  • RFD winds from Tornado. Damage estimate 30K.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Multiple severe thunderstorms produced large hail up to softball size, localized flooding rains and one EF1 tornado between the evening of Wednesday the 2nd and early morning hours of Thursday the 3rd. Although no injuries were reported, this was the most significant of several severe weather episodes within South Central Nebraska between May 1st-4th and was also the most prolonged, with dozens of warnings issued over nearly a 12-hour period between 7 PM and 7 AM CDT. Despite the number of storm reports, this event was rather localized as only six counties within the 24-county area bore the brunt of severe weather. Severe storms focused in two primary zones: one a narrow southwest-to-northeast corridor extending from Buffalo through Nance Counties, and the other a concentrated, east-to-west corridor through mainly Adams, Clay and Fillmore Counties. The lone confirmed tornado, which struck after nightfall along the Thayer-Fillmore County line, was only on the ground for approximately one mile but caused considerable damage to a farmstead northeast of Davenport. Several areas experienced hail to at least golf ball size, but some of the most significant hail damage focused in and near northern portions of Hastings, where two separate rounds of large hail occurred between 10 PM-12 AM CDT. During the first round, stones up to softball size were reported within the city, and during the second round 2-inch diameter stones pounded the National Weather Service office. Rainfall wise, the heaviest measured amounts of 3-4 inches targeted much of Clay and Fillmore Counties, resulting in water running over Highway 6 west of Sutton, along with flooding of numerous county roads. ||In both primary zones of severe weather described above, things got underway between 7 PM-9 PM CDT. In the northern corridor between Buffalo and Nance Counties, initially linear multicell storms eventually transitioned into brief, semi-discrete supercells, with hail to around golf ball size reported near Amherst, Fullerton and Genoa. By 10 PM CDT, most of this activity north of Interstate 80 had either weakened or moved out of the area to the northeast. Meanwhile, storms within the southern area first developed as a multicell cluster in Nuckolls and Clay Counties. Around sunset, a slow-moving cyclic supercell evolved from this activity, producing the EF1 tornado near Davenport shortly after 10 PM CDT. Although reports of funnel clouds continued as this supercell drifted northeast toward Strang, no additional tornado touchdowns were confirmed. Between 10 PM-2 AM CDT, a nearly solid east-west corridor of hail and heavy rain-producing severe storms trained near the Highway 6 corridor between Adams and Fillmore Counties, as the original tornadic storm exited Fillmore County to the east. Between 2 AM-4 AM CDT, there was a brief lull in storm severity, while additional activity flared up farther north and west near the Interstate 80 and Highway 6 corridors. Finally, between 4 AM-7 AM CDT, one last round of hail-producing severe storms tracked east across parts of Adams, Clay and Fillmore Counties before exiting into eastern Nebraska. ||Regarding synoptic and mesoscale forcing, broad southwesterly flow aloft was not overly strong, with South Central Nebraska positioned well south of the primary shortwave trough traversing the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains. As a result, the initiation of severe storms was largely driven by the combination of strong convective instability and low level convergence. At the surface, the northern zone of severe weather was tied to a southwest-to-northeast oriented front/retreating outflow boundary. The initiation of the southern storm cluster and cyclic tornadic supercell appeared to be triggered by persistent moisture convergence along the northeast periphery of a weak surface low in north central Kansas. Once these storms developed, the onset of a modest low level jet after nightfall helped to enhance low level shear profiles, with 0-1 kilometer storm relative helicity around 200 m2/s2 by the time of the EF1 tornado. The mesoscale environment was quite supportive of supercells, with mid-evening parameters including 40 knots of 0-6 kilometer vertical wind shear and at least 3000 J/kg mixed-layer CAPE.

This tornado crossed from Thayer County into Fillmore County, touching down approximately 2.5 miles northeast of Davenport and lifting approximately 3.5 miles northeast of Davenport. Along its path, a farmstead sustained house, garage and vehicle damage and a grain bin was destroyed. Two outbuildings, including a recently built barn, were destroyed and a center irrigation pivot was twisted. The maximum wind speed was estimated at 105 mph.

This tornado crossed from Thayer County into Fillmore County, touching down approximately 2.5 miles northeast of Davenport and lifting approximately 3.5 miles northeast of Davenport. Along its path, a farmstead sustained house, garage and vehicle damage and a grain bin was destroyed. Two outbuildings, including a recently built barn, were destroyed and a center irrigation pivot was twisted. The maximum wind speed was estimated at 105 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

10 minutes of warning. NWS GID issued a tornado warning for this county at 02:53 UTC, 10 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 03:22 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 00:32 UTC and running to 07:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:32 UTC07:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchGID
01:42 UTC02:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID
01:49 UTC02:15 UTCTornado WarningGID
02:25 UTC03:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID
02:53 UTC03:22 UTCTornado WarningGID
03:00 UTC06:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryGID

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:56 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

3.1 hours before the tornado, 161 km from the path. May 3, 2012.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2012-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2533 joules per kilogram, CIN -7, lifted condensation level 1223 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2012-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 46 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 37 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2533 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3524 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1223 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.4
0-3 km lapse rate
6.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

8.9 hours after it, 161 km from the path. May 3, 2012.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 497 joules per kilogram, CIN -269, lifted condensation level 1132 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2012-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 75 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 33 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
497 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-269 J/kg
Surface CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1132 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.6
0-3 km lapse rate
4.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Hebron (HJH), 28 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
01:15 UTC78.4468150° 10 kt1004.4VCTS
01:35 UTC7868.18150° 11 kt1004.4TS
01:55 UTC77.1868140° 7 kt1005.4-TSRA
02:15 UTC76.6468150° 10 kt1005.4TS
02:35 UTC76.6468140° 11 kt1005.8-DZ
02:55 UTC7668150° 12 kt1005.4
03:15 UTC7668.18160° 12 kt1006.1
03:35 UTC75.7468.18160° 15 kt191005.1
03:55 UTC75.5668.18170° 15 kt191005.4
04:15 UTC75.268170° 15 kt1005.4
04:35 UTC74.6667.82180° 12 kt181005.1VCTS
04:55 UTC74.4867.64180° 8 kt141006.1VCTS

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 56 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 03:05 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:26 UTCHAIL 0.56 Ese Clay CenterClay, NEHEAVY RAIN ALMOST NO WIND
01:34 UTCHAIL 12 S EdgarNuckolls, NE
01:34 UTCHAIL 1.753 E Clay CenterClay, NE
01:55 UTCHAIL 0.5NelsonNuckolls, NEPEA TO MARBLE HAIL
02:28 UTCHAIL 0.884 W EdgarClay, NEPEA TO NICKEL HAIL
02:49 UTCHAIL 1ShickleyFillmore, NE
02:51 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 W CarletonThayer, NE
02:53 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 N DavenportFillmore, NELARGE FUNNEL
03:03 UTCTORNADO2 Ne DavenportThayer, NEREPORT FROM SURVEY TEAM INDICATES A TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN APPROXIMATELY 2 MILES NORTHEAST OF DAVENPORT AND LIFTED 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF DAVENPORT. THE PRELIMINARY RATING OF THE TORNADO IS AN EF-1 WITH AN ESTIMATED MAXIMUM
03:05 UTCHAIL 0.756 Ese Clay CenterClay, NEHEAVY RAIN
03:10 UTCHAIL 1HastingsAdams, NE
03:12 UTCTORNADO5 Sw ShickleyFillmore, NETORNADO NEAR THE COUNTY LINE. DAMAGE REPORTED TO A HOUSE. GARAGE WALL BLOWN OUT AND WINDOWS ON SOUTH SIDE OF HOUSE BLOWN OUT.
03:13 UTCHAIL 1HastingsAdams, NE
03:15 UTCHAIL 1.75HastingsAdams, NEAT LAKE HASTINGS
03:17 UTCHAIL 1.75HastingsAdams, NEGOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AT EAST 15TH STREET AND EASTSIDE BOULEVARD.
03:17 UTCHAIL 4.25HastingsAdams, NENORTH SIDE OF TOWN
03:21 UTCHAIL 0.752 W StrangFillmore, NE
03:23 UTCHAIL 0.53 Ene Clay CenterClay, NEHAIL COVERED THE GROUND
03:27 UTCHAIL 1HastingsAdams, NE12TH AND BELLEVUE
03:30 UTCHAIL 1.75HastingsAdams, NE14TH AND CALIFORNIA
03:34 UTCHAIL 16 Ese Clay CenterClay, NE
03:36 UTCHAIL 1.256 Ese Clay CenterClay, NEJUST A FEW
03:44 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 N StrangFillmore, NE
03:44 UTCHAIL 0.88GiltnerHamilton, NE
03:47 UTCHAIL 0.75GenevaFillmore, NE
04:17 UTCHAIL 0.75HastingsAdams, NE12TH AND SHOWBOAT BLVD
04:25 UTCHAIL 1.753 Wsw FriendSaline, NEHAIL QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE. MOSTLY QUARTER SIZE. 3 MILES WEST AND 1 MILE SOUTH OF FRIEND.
04:29 UTCHAIL 11 W FriendSaline, NEHAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE
04:33 UTCHAIL 0.88GenevaFillmore, NE
04:36 UTCHAIL 1HastingsAdams, NEHAIL REPORTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF TOWN NEAR 12TH AND BRENTWOOD AVE.
04:37 UTCHAIL 1HastingsAdams, NE
04:48 UTCHEAVY RAIN 0.926 Ese Clay CenterClay, NERAINFALL UP UNTIL 1148PM STILL RAINING
05:26 UTCHAIL 1AyrAdams, NE

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2012 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 2, 2012

1 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 29:15 PM EDTEF0Potter, PA0.425$75,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.