Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2007

EF1 tornado, Herman, Nebraska, March 31, 2007

This EF1 tornado ran 1.0 miles across Washington County on March 31, 2007, touching down at 2:35 PM CDT and reaching 440 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $15,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 31, 2007
Touchdown
2:35 PM CDT (19:35 UTC)
Lifted
2:36 PM CDT (19:36 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
1.0 miles (1.6 km)
Path width
440 yards (402 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$15,000
County
Washington County
Touchdown point
41.670, -96.558
Lift-off point
41.687, -96.554
Record number
0703311335-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A compact upper low pressure system tracked across eastern Nebraska and western Iowa early in the afternoon on 3/31/07. Just ahead of this system, from extreme eastern Nebraska into western Iowa, partial sunshine allowed temperatures to climb to around 70 degrees with dewpoints in the 50s, while a bit farther to the west in the Columbus and Norfolk areas, readings were in the 40s. The contrast in temperatures and dynamics from the upper low helped kick off severe thunderstorms across the area, including at least one short-lived tornado west of Herman, Nebraska.

A tornado touched down 3 miles west of Herman around 235 pm CDT and tracked about 1 mile before lifting according to a NWS storm survey. The tornado's path was around 1/4 mile wide as it damaged some sheds and almost destroyed a horse barn. The tornado also snapped a few trees in the area and did some fence damage.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 16:38 UTC and running to 20:49 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
05:00 UTC09:17 UTCFlood WatchOAX
16:38 UTC20:49 UTCTornado WatchOAX
19:02 UTC19:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOAX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:08 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

7.6 hours before the tornado, 43 km from the path. March 31, 2007.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2007-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -59644, lifted condensation level 523 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2007-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 252 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 45 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-59644 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
523 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
252 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
288 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

4.4 hours after it, 43 km from the path. April 1, 2007.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2007-04-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -97207, lifted condensation level 558 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2007-04-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -22 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 28 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-97207 J/kg
Surface CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
558 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 43 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:33 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:00 UTCHAIL 0.751 W WahooSaunders, NE
18:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 W HermanWashington, NENARROW DAMAGE PATH WITH HORSE BARN DAMAGED CONSIDERABLY.
19:30 UTCHAIL 0.885 Wsw HermanWashington, NE
19:35 UTCTORNADO 13 W HermanWashington, NENARROW DAMAGE PATH WITH HORSE BARN DAMAGED CONSIDERABLY. POST EVENT STORM SURVEY CONFIRMS DAMAGE WAS FROM EF1 TORNADO 1/4 MILE WIDE AND 1 MILE LONG DAMAGE PATH.
19:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 W HermanWashington, NENARROW DAMAGE PATH WITH HORSE BARN DAMAGED CONSIDERABLY.
19:50 UTCTORNADO 13 W HermanWashington, NENARROW DAMAGE PATH WITH HORSE BARN DAMAGED CONSIDERABLY. POST EVENT STORM SURVEY CONFIRMS DAMAGE WAS FROM EF1 TORNADO 1/4 MILE WIDE AND 1 MILE LONG DAMAGE PATH.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2007 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 31, 2007

6 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 314:30 AM CDTEF1Lavaca, TX0.8100$100,000
March 314:45 AM CDTEF2Lavaca, TX0.4754$75,000
March 314:58 PM CDTEF0Fayette, IA0.375$10,000
March 315:29 PM CDTEF1Delaware, IA11.8200$202,000
March 315:50 PM CDTEF0City of Saint Louis, MO1.7602
March 316:18 PM CDTEF0Grant, WI0.350$8,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.