Tornadoes · United States · Missouri · 2020

EF1 tornado, Conran to Marston, Missouri, May 3, 2020

From Conran to Marston, this EF1 tornado ran 5.8 miles across New Madrid County on May 3, 2020, touching down at 1:56 PM CDT and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 3, 2020
Touchdown
1:56 PM CDT (18:56 UTC)
Lifted
2:01 PM CDT (19:01 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
5.8 miles (9.4 km)
Path width
150 yards (137 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500,000
County
New Madrid County
Touchdown point
36.523, -89.663
Lift-off point
36.511, -89.559
Record number
2005031256-01

The damage survey

12 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 95 mph.

  • Marston City Hall roof damage
  • 3 power poles broke; 1 bent over

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Numerous reports of wind damage and an isolated tornado accompanied a squall line of thunderstorms that moved rapidly east-southeast. The wind damage was mainly along and south of a line from Van Buren to Greenville to Sikeston. The atmosphere was moderately unstable, with cape values on the order of 1500 to 2000 J/kg. The relatively compact but organized and vigorous convective system maintained intensity as it progressed east to the Mississippi River. The damaging wind events occurred along and south of a surface frontal boundary, where dew points were in the mid 60's.

The EF-1 tornado damaged or destroyed several farm buildings. The farm buildings included large metal storage buildings. The concrete anchors of a shed were pulled from the ground. The tornado cut through the city of Marston, where the city hall and an apartment building were partially unroofed. At least three power poles were broken. Numerous trees were uprooted. The discernable tornado path ended in the Mississippi River flood plain. Peak winds were estimated near 95 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 16:44 UTC and running to 20:18 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
16:44 UTC20:18 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPAH
18:22 UTC19:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
19:08 UTC19:34 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:17 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), 12:00Z

6.9 hours before the tornado, 190 km from the path. May 3, 2020.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2020-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 361 joules per kilogram, CIN -511, lifted condensation level 941 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2020-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 113 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 24 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
361 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-511 J/kg
Surface CAPE
120 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
941 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
125 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
2.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), 00:00Z

5.1 hours after it, 190 km from the path. May 4, 2020.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2020-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1114 joules per kilogram, CIN -136, lifted condensation level 914 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2020-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 73 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 46 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1114 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-136 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3047 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
914 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
249 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
9.4
0-3 km lapse rate
4.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 97 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 18:55 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGQulinButler, MOTREES DOWN AND ROOF DAMAGE. RADAR ESTIMATED TIME.
18:35 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Sw DexterStoddard, MOONE FOOT DIAMETER TREE SPLIT BY HIGH WINDS.
18:39 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 W DexterStoddard, MOSNAPPED TREES IN DEXTER.
18:40 UTCTSTM WND DMGMaldenDunklin, MOTREES DOWN ACROSS MALDEN.
18:40 UTCTSTM WND DMGBernieStoddard, MOBRANCHES DOWN AND SHINGLES BLOWN OFF ROOF.
18:55 UTCTORNADO3 W MarstonNew Madrid, MOTHE EF-1 TORNADO DAMAGED OR DESTROYED SEVERAL FARM BUILDINGS AND LIFTED CONCRETE PILLARS OF FARM BUILDINGS FROM THE GROUND. MARSTON CITY HALL AND AN APARTMENT BUILDING HAD PART OF THEIR ROOFS REMOVED. AT LEAST THREE POWE
18:58 UTCTSTM WND DMGMarstonNew Madrid, MOROOF DAMAGE THE CITY HALL BUILDING. HOMES WITH ROOF DAMAGE. SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN. POSSIBLE TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED.
19:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nw SikestonScott, MO18 INCH DIAMETER TREES SNAPPED AND BLOWN ACROSS THE ROAD ON THE NORTH SIDE OF SIKESON. RELAYED BY MEDIA.
19:09 UTCTSTM WND DMGCaruthersvillePemiscot, MOUPROOTED TREES DAMAGED SIX HOMES.
19:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGHolcombDunklin, MO3 MILES SE OF HOLCOMB ROOF DAMAGE AND TREES DOWN.
19:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 65CaruthersvillePemiscot, MO
19:20 UTCTSTM WND DMGEast PrairieMississippi, MOSEVERAL TREES DOWN IN/AROUND EAST PRAIRIE. (RADAR TIME ESTIMATE).

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2020 tornado in MissouriEvery tornado in Missouri since 1950Warnings in force in Missouri nowThe forecast where you are

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.