Tornadoes · United States · Missouri · 2019

EF3 tornado, Scrivner to Jefferson City, Missouri, May 22, 2019

From Scrivner to Jefferson City, this EF3 tornado ran 32.7 miles across Miller, Cole and Callaway counties on May 22, 2019, touching down at 10:56 PM CDT and reaching 1,500 yards wide. It killed nobody and injured 33, and did $174 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mphthis tornado

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF3
Date
May 22, 2019
Touchdown
10:56 PM CDT (03:56 UTC)
Lifted
11:51 PM CDT (04:51 UTC)
On the ground
55 minutes
Path length
32.7 miles (52.6 km)
Path width
1,500 yards (1372 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
33
Property damage
$174 million
Counties
Miller, Cole and Callaway counties
Touchdown point
38.334, -92.613
Lift-off point
38.587, -92.111
Record number
1905222156-01

The damage survey

377 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LSX and NWS SGF, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF3. The highest wind the damage implies is 165 mph.

  • Loss of roof material. Uprooted trees.
  • Uprooted, broken and snapped
  • Start point of Eldon Tornado
  • Tree fell on house and damaged roof.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A persistent pattern set up over the Mid Mississippi River Valley during May 21-23. Upper level winds were consistently southwesterly, providing large scale lift and moisture to the area. Converging air along frontal boundaries at the surface provided sufficient low level lift to initial storms each night. During the afternoon of May 22, 2019 specifically, a warm front was moving north into southern Missouri, increasing low level moisture. At the same time a cold front was approaching from the west. Storms developed along the cold front as it pushed southeastward through Missouri. The significant low level wind produced storms favorable for hail and tornadoes.

A tornado crossed from Miller County (WFO Springfield���s County Warning Area) into Cole County at 1120 PM. As the tornado tracked to the northeast it crossed Lake Carmel and tore the roof off of a one story home on the northeast shore of the lake. Numerous trees were either snapped off or uprooted in the area as well. Damage to the home was rated EF2. Further northeast another one story home lost its roof on Highway D just northwest of intersection with Cole Brook Lane. Damage to this home was rated EF2. The tornado strengthened from an EF-2 to an EF-3 as it moved into a subdivision off of Heritage Highway just west of U.S. Highway 54, indicated by the complete collapse of a home and complete destruction of a double wide manufactured home. As the tornado moved northeast into the Jefferson City area it destroyed or greatly damaged a warehouse and car dealership, where at least 750 cars were totaled. As it moved into downtown Jefferson City, it caused severe damage to well made residential structures. The tornado crossed the Missouri River and entered Callaway County just to the east-northeast of Jefferson City. The tornado was rated EF3 in Cole County with a path length of 17.08 miles and a max path width of 1500 yards. Thirty two people sustained injuries in Cole County. At least 516 residential buildings, 82 commercial buildings and 30 government buildings sustained moderate to major damage from the tornado in Cole County with another 500 buildings sustaining only minor damage. Overall the tornado was rated EF3 with a path length of 32.63 miles and a max path width of 1500 yards.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

11 minutes of warning. NWS SGF issued a tornado warning for this county at 03:45 UTC, 11 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 04:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 02:46 UTC and running to 11:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
15:15 UTC03:15 UTCFlood WarningSGF
15:26 UTC14:28 UTCFlood WarningSGF
20:36 UTC02:46 UTCTornado WatchSGF
00:00 UTC15:00 UTCFlash Flood WatchSGF
02:46 UTC11:00 UTCTornado WatchSGF
03:38 UTC04:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGF
03:45 UTC04:15 UTCTornado WarningSGF
04:14 UTC04:30 UTCTornado WarningSGF
06:13 UTC06:45 UTCTornado WarningSGF
06:40 UTC07:01 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.15 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 00:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z

3.9 hours before the tornado, 215 km from the path. May 23, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2019-05-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2061 joules per kilogram, CIN -6, lifted condensation level 1242 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2019-05-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 154 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 56 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2061 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3453 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1242 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
154 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
269 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.4
Supercell composite
17.1
0-3 km lapse rate
7.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 148 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 03:57 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
02:30 UTCTORNADO6 Wsw HallsvilleBoone, MOTRAINED SPOTTER WAS 8N COLUMBIA LOOKING NORTHWEST AND OBSERVED A TORNADO ON THE GROUND.
02:33 UTCTSTM WND DMGMidwayBoone, MOTREES DOWN ON BOOTHE LANE.
03:40 UTCTSTM WND DMGKingdom CityCallaway, MOSEVERAL LARGE TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN AT THE INTERSECTION OF U.S. HIGHWAY 54 AND INTERSTATE 70. SOME OF THE TREES WERE AT LEAST 2 FEET IN DIAMETER.
03:56 UTCTORNADO2 Wsw EldonMiller, MO*** 1 INJ *** STARTING POINT FOR EF-1 ELDON TORNADO. TORNADO BEGAN SOUTHWEST OF ELDON AND WENT THROUGH ELDON AND TO THE NORTHEAST, EVENTUALLY CROSSING INTO COLE COUNTY. NUMEROUS TREES UPROOTED, SEVERAL HOMES HAD PARTIAL
04:02 UTCTSTM WND DMGEldonMiller, MOGETTING REPORTS OF DAMAGE IN ELDON. DETAILS UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. POSSIBLE TDS.
04:16 UTCTORNADO5 Ne EttervilleMiller, MO*** 1 INJ *** POINT WHERE EF-1 ELDON TORNADO CROSSED INTO COLE COUNTY. TORNADO BEGAN SOUTHWEST OF ELDON AND WENT THROUGH ELDON AND TO THE NORTHEAST, EVENTUALLY CROSSING INTO COLE COUNTY. TREES UPROOTED, SOME HOMES HAD PA
04:22 UTCTORNADO3 Nnw Hickory HillCole, MO
04:40 UTCTORNADO4 Wsw Jefferson CityCole, MO
04:45 UTCTORNADO1 Se Jefferson CityCole, MOCORRECTS PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 1 SE JEFFERSON CITY. REPORTS OF PEOPLE TRAPPED IN THERE BASEMENT.
04:45 UTCTORNADO2 Ese Jefferson CityCole, MOSPOTTER REPORTED THAT SEVERAL HOUSES HAVE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE, SOME COLLAPSED. THE SCHOOL HAS SUFFERED EXTENSIVE ROOF DAMAGE. SEVERAL TREES ARE STRIPPED AND POWER LINES ARE DOWN IN THE AREA. ROADS ARE IMPASSABLE IN MANY AR
04:45 UTCTORNADO2 Sse Jefferson CityCole, MOEXTENSIVE DAMAGE REPORTED ALONG ELLIS BLVD.
04:45 UTCTORNADO2 Ssw Jefferson CityCole, MOEXTENSIVE DAMAGE STARTS AROUND CHRISTY DRIVE AND HIGHWAY 179 AND TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST. DAMAGE PATH CROSSES ELLIS BLVD NEAR HIGHWAY 54 AND CONTINUED ON NEAR TANNER BRIDGE. THE 500 BLOCK OF ELLIS BLVD AND APPROXIMATE AR
05:03 UTCTORNADO1 Ssw Jefferson CityCole, MOTROOP C REPORTS MULTIPLE INJURIES AND EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO THE BEST WESTERN.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in MissouriEvery tornado in Missouri since 1950Warnings in force in Missouri nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 22, 2019

34 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 221:04 AM CDTEF1Cass, IA1.150$15,000
May 221:29 AM CDTEF2Adair, IA4.815011$500,000
May 2212:30 PM PDTEF0Nye, NV0.225
May 224:29 PM CDTEF1Seminole, OK1.050$3,000
May 224:34 PM CDTUnratedOkfuskee, OK0.5100
May 224:41 PM CDTUnratedOkfuskee, OK1.050
May 224:47 PM CDTEF1Okfuskee, OK0.875$25,000
May 225:10 PM CDTEF1Okfuskee, OK0.6125$10,000
May 225:23 PM CDTEF1Okfuskee, OK6.0650$40,000
May 225:32 PM CDTEF1Okfuskee, OK7.7400$10,000
May 226:03 PM CDTEF0Okmulgee, OK0.275
May 226:07 PM CDTEF0Tulsa, OK0.275
May 226:36 PM CDTEF0Muskogee, OK0.275
May 226:44 PM CDTEF1Craig, OK5.1350
May 226:59 PM CDTEF1Craig, OK1.5150$3,000
May 227:25 PM CDTUnratedRogers, OK to KS1.875
May 227:25 PM CDTEF1Ottawa, OK to KS7.31,100$75,000
May 228:05 PM CDTEF3Cherokee, KS to MO9.2440$5.3 million
May 228:09 PM CDTEF1Mayes, OK3.1650$25,000
May 228:17 PM CDTEF1Hancock, IL0.530
May 228:19 PM CDTEF0Howard, MO0.640
May 228:23 PM CDTEF0Jasper, MO7.9200
May 228:28 PM CDTUnratedOsage, OK0.2100
May 228:31 PM CDTUnratedOsage, OK0.275
May 228:44 PM CDTUnratedMayes, OK0.2100
May 228:51 PM CDTEF3Jasper, MO11.388031$1.0 million
May 228:52 PM CDTEF1Mayes, OK5.3400
May 229:34 PM CDTEF2Delaware, OK to MO16.61,100$500,000
May 229:56 PM CDTEF0Schuyler, IL1.850
May 2210:02 PM CDTEF0Audrain, MO0.8150
May 2212:15 AM CDTEF1Menard, IL15.3150
May 2212:33 AM CDTEF1Logan, IL2.7100
May 2212:39 AM CDTEF0Craig, OK0.5150$5,000
May 2212:48 AM CDTEF1Craig, OK8.61,100$100,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.