Tornadoes · United States · Missouri · 2018

EF1 tornado, Arbyrd to Hornersville Mem Arp, Missouri, April 3, 2018

From Arbyrd to Hornersville Mem Arp, this EF1 tornado ran 6.7 miles across Dunklin County on April 3, 2018, touching down at 6:06 PM CDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $1.5 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
April 3, 2018
Touchdown
6:06 PM CDT (23:06 UTC)
Lifted
6:15 PM CDT (23:15 UTC)
On the ground
9 minutes
Path length
6.7 miles (10.8 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.5 million
County
Dunklin County
Touchdown point
36.002, -90.231
Lift-off point
36.021, -90.118
Record number
1804031706-01

The damage survey

12 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MEG, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 92 mph.

  • Center pivot irrigation damaged.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A broken line of severe thunderstorms along a strong cold front produced numerous reports of damaging winds and large hail and one tornado during the late afternoon and evening hours of April 3rd.

The tornado developed near the intersection of County Roads 627 and 638 and moved east. The tornado damaged storage buildings, trees, power poles, and center pivot irrigation systems. A few residences also experienced shingle and roof damage. The tornado turned northeast after crossing State Highway K. The most significant damage was noted along County Road 657 south-southwest of Hornersville. The tornado dissipated in the Hornersville Swamp Conversation Area.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

28 minutes of warning. NWS MEG issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:38 UTC, 28 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:35 UTC and running to 23:55 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
12:00 UTC02:00 UTCWind AdvisoryMEG
18:35 UTC23:55 UTCTornado WatchMEG
22:38 UTC23:15 UTCTornado WarningMEG
23:08 UTC23:36 UTCTornado WarningMEG

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:33 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), 12:00Z

11.1 hours before the tornado, 133 km from the path. April 3, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2018-04-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 494 joules per kilogram, CIN -170, lifted condensation level 639 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2018-04-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 256 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 37 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
494 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-170 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1274 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
639 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
256 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
5.4
0-3 km lapse rate
4.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), 00:00Z

0.9 hours after it, 133 km from the path. April 4, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2018-04-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -72989, lifted condensation level 837 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2018-04-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -148 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 57 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-72989 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
837 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-148 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-8 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 79 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:03 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:05 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 W HornersvilleDunklin, MO
23:05 UTCTORNADO3 Sse ArbyrdDunklin, MOVideo of a tornado near the missouri-arkansas state line between Arbyrd and Leachville. Tornado may have begun in Arkansas.
23:05 UTCTORNADO3 Sse ArbyrdDunklin, MOVIDEO OF A TORNADO NEAR THE MISSOURI-ARKANSAS STATE LINE BETWEEN ARBYRD AND LEACHVILLE. TORNADO MAY HAVE BEGUN IN ARKANSAS.
23:10 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Wsw HornersvilleDunklin, MOutility pole snapped along highway K near hornersville. possible tornado.
23:10 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Wsw HornersvilleDunklin, MOUTILITY POLE SNAPPED ALONG HIGHWAY K NEAR HORNERSVILLE. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
23:15 UTCHAIL 0.88HornersvilleDunklin, MO
23:20 UTCHAIL 0.75ClarktonDunklin, MOPEA TO PENNY SIZE
23:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Wsw HornersvilleDunklin, MOTHREE FARM SHEDS DAMAGED ON DUNKLIN COUNTY ROAD 657 JUST WEST OF TOWN. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2018 tornado in MissouriEvery tornado in Missouri since 1950Warnings in force in Missouri nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of April 3, 2018

21 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
April 34:45 PM EDTEF1Greene, OH8.8200$500,000
April 34:56 PM EDTEF1Clark, OH4.3150$85,000
April 35:14 PM EDTEF0Madison, OH0.250$60,000
April 34:20 PM CDTEF2Fayette, IL18.2100
April 35:37 PM EDTEF1Franklin, OH2.675$120,000
April 36:14 PM EDTEF0Perry, OH1.350$100,000
April 35:17 PM CDTEF1Williamson, IL10.0125$250,000
April 36:30 PM EDTEF0Fountain, IN2.475$1,000
April 35:39 PM CDTEF1Williamson, IL1.9150$40,000
April 35:47 PM CDTEF2Saline, IL12.3350$507,000
April 35:58 PM CDTEF0Stoddard, MO4.5100$35,000
April 37:11 PM EDTEF0Tippecanoe, IN0.640$25,000
April 36:14 PM CDTEF1New Madrid, MO2.5125$90,000
April 36:29 PM CDTEF1Massac, IL10.675$130,000
April 36:38 PM CDTEF1White, IL2.3225$50,000
April 36:52 PM CDTEF1Grayson, KY0.5100$300,000
April 36:54 PM CDTEF2Livingston, KY4.3300$175,000
April 37:09 PM CDTEF1Hickman, KY0.3100$20,000
April 37:17 PM CDTEF1Hickman, KY0.375$30,000
April 37:36 PM CDTEF1Graves, KY0.875$20,000
April 39:34 PM EDTEF1Boyle, KY0.5100$250,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.