Tornadoes · United States · Missouri · 2015

EF1 tornado, Racket to Warsaw, Missouri, July 1, 2015

From Racket to Warsaw, this EF1 tornado ran 3.3 miles across Benton County on July 1, 2015, touching down at 9:56 PM CDT and reaching 600 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
July 1, 2015
Touchdown
9:56 PM CDT (02:56 UTC)
Lifted
10:03 PM CDT (03:03 UTC)
On the ground
7 minutes
Path length
3.3 miles (5.2 km)
Path width
600 yards (549 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500,000
County
Benton County
Touchdown point
38.284, -93.428
Lift-off point
38.243, -93.397
Record number
1507012056-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A slow moving front caused multiple rounds of thunderstorms which led to severe weather and flash flooding across the Missouri Ozarks.

A NWS storm survey concluded that a EF-1 tornado touched down on the west side of Warsaw. The estimated maximum wind speeds were up to 95 mph. The tornado touched down about 3 miles northwest of Warsaw and lift just west of downtown Warsaw. The path width was estimated to be around a quarter of a mile wide and was on the ground for over 3 miles. Numerous trees were uprooted along the path. A metal building was damaged. A boat dock was flipped and heavily damaged with 7 boats sunk at the dock. A fireworks tent was blown over. There were a couple of trees that fell on to recreational vehicles at a RV park.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

5 minutes of warning. NWS SGF issued a tornado warning for this county at 02:51 UTC, 5 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 03:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 23:04 UTC and running to 05:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
11:48 UTC18:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningSGF
17:59 UTC00:00 UTCFlood WarningSGF
23:04 UTC05:00 UTCTornado WatchSGF
01:40 UTC02:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGF
01:53 UTC03:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGF
02:27 UTC10:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningSGF
02:45 UTC03:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGF
02:51 UTC03:30 UTCTornado WarningSGF
03:28 UTC04:15 UTCTornado WarningSGF
03:43 UTC04:30 UTCTornado WarningSGF
03:48 UTC04:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGF
09:52 UTC22:00 UTCFlood WarningSGF

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:58 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z

2.9 hours before the tornado, 155 km from the path. July 2, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2985 joules per kilogram, CIN -22, lifted condensation level 1028 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2015-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 240 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 41 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2985 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Surface CAPE
4647 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1028 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
240 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
457 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
4.7
Supercell composite
27.9
0-3 km lapse rate
6.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z

9.1 hours after it, 155 km from the path. July 2, 2015.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-07-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 923 joules per kilogram, CIN -71, lifted condensation level 645 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2015-07-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 257 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 36 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
923 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-71 J/kg
Surface CAPE
72 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
645 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
257 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
304 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
9.8
0-3 km lapse rate
3.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 96 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:58 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:24 UTCHAIL 16 Wsw SedaliaPettis, MODEPUTY REPORTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF 32ND STREET AND PRAIRIE ROAD
01:24 UTCHAIL 16 Wsw SedaliaPettis, MO
01:38 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Sw SedaliaPettis, MODEPUTY REPORTS SEVERAL UTILITY POLES DOWN ON HWY B BETWEEN SACAJAWEA AND RAGAR RDS. TIME ESTIMATE BY RADAR.
02:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGWindsorHenry, MODELAYED REPORT...LARGE BARN 100FT X 60FT DESTROYED WITH ONE WALL REMAINING. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGGreen RidgePettis, MO6 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN IN YARD AND NEIGHBORS.
02:12 UTCFLASH FLOOD2 S SmithtonPettis, MOSPOTTER REPORTS 5-6 INCHES WATER OVER THE ROADWAY.
02:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGCole CampBenton, MOPOWER LINES DOWN IN COLE CAMP. ALSO TREE DOWN, UNKNOWN SIZE
02:15 UTCTSTM WND DMGIoniaBenton, MOLARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN IN IONIA
02:15 UTCHAIL 0.75Cole CampBenton, MOREPORTED DIME SIZE HAIL AND ESTIMATED 45MPH WINDS
02:15 UTCHAIL 0.88IoniaBenton, MONICKEL SIZE HAIL IN IONIA
02:18 UTCTSTM WND GST 02 S SedaliaPettis, MOESTIMATED 55-60 MPH WINDS WITH HEAVY RAIN.
02:30 UTCHAIL 1LincolnBenton, MOQUARTER SIZE HAIL IN LINCOLN
02:35 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 S StoverMorgan, MOTREES DOWN BLOCKING HIGHWAY 135 SOUTH OF STOVER.
02:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGStoverMorgan, MO12 INCH TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 52
02:51 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Se LincolnBenton, MOFLOODING OCCURING ON H HIGHWAY SOUTHEAST OF LINCOLN
02:56 UTCTORNADO 13 Nw WarsawBenton, MONWS STORM SURVEY CONCLUDED THAT A EF1 TORNADO WITH A ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 94 MPH TOUCHED DOWN 3 MILES NW OF WARSAW. IT HAD A PATH WIDTH OF 1/4 TO 1/2 MILE WIDE AND WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 3.25 MILES. NUMEROUS TR
02:56 UTCTORNADO 14 Nw WarsawBenton, MONWS STORM SURVEY CONCLUDED THAT A EF1 TORNADO WITH A ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 94 MPH TOUCHED DOWN 3 MILES NW OF WARSAW. IT HAD A PATH WIDTH OF 1/4 TO 1/2 MILE WIDE AND WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 3.25 MILES. NUMEROUS TR
03:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 W WarsawBenton, MOREPORT OF A PATH OF MULTIPLE TREES UPROOTED AND BLOWN DOWN. ALSO DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES.
03:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGWarsawBenton, MOMULTIPLE LARGE TREES DOWN IN WARSAW
03:06 UTCFLOODSedaliaPettis, MOWATER REPORTEDLY COMING INTO A RADIO STUDIO, FORCING A NEED FOR THEM TO SHUT OFF THEIR POWER FOR SAFETY
03:13 UTCFLOODSedaliaPettis, MOEM REPORTS AT LEAST 17 ROADS WITH WATER OVER THEM AND OVER 50 VEHICLES STRANDED THROUGHOUT TOWN
04:46 UTCFLASH FLOODWarsawBenton, MOONGOING WATER RESCUES IN WARSAW

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in MissouriEvery tornado in Missouri since 1950Warnings in force in Missouri nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 1, 2015

5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 14:00 PM EDTEF0Pulaski, KY0.3100
July 16:51 PM CDTEF1Jackson, MO0.9100
July 17:04 PM CDTEF0Jackson, MO0.250
July 18:01 PM CDTEF0Cass, MO1.4100
July 110:55 PM CDTEF0Maries, MO0.250

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.