Tornadoes · United States · Missouri · 2015
EF1 tornado, Racket to Warsaw, Missouri, July 1, 2015
From Racket to Warsaw, this EF1 tornado ran 3.3 miles across Benton County on July 1, 2015, touching down at 9:56 PM CDT and reaching 600 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- July 1, 2015
- Touchdown
- 9:56 PM CDT (02:56 UTC)
- Lifted
- 10:03 PM CDT (03:03 UTC)
- On the ground
- 7 minutes
- Path length
- 3.3 miles (5.2 km)
- Path width
- 600 yards (549 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $500,000
- County
- Benton County
- Touchdown point
- 38.284, -93.428
- Lift-off point
- 38.243, -93.397
- Record number
- 1507012056-01
What the Weather Service recorded
A slow moving front caused multiple rounds of thunderstorms which led to severe weather and flash flooding across the Missouri Ozarks.
A NWS storm survey concluded that a EF-1 tornado touched down on the west side of Warsaw. The estimated maximum wind speeds were up to 95 mph. The tornado touched down about 3 miles northwest of Warsaw and lift just west of downtown Warsaw. The path width was estimated to be around a quarter of a mile wide and was on the ground for over 3 miles. Numerous trees were uprooted along the path. A metal building was damaged. A boat dock was flipped and heavily damaged with 7 boats sunk at the dock. A fireworks tent was blown over. There were a couple of trees that fell on to recreational vehicles at a RV park.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
5 minutes of warning. NWS SGF issued a tornado warning for this county at 02:51 UTC, 5 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 03:30 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 23:04 UTC and running to 05:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11:48 UTC | 18:00 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | SGF |
| 17:59 UTC | 00:00 UTC | Flood Warning | SGF |
| 23:04 UTC | 05:00 UTC | Tornado Watch | SGF |
| 01:40 UTC | 02:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF |
| 01:53 UTC | 03:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF |
| 02:27 UTC | 10:00 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | SGF |
| 02:45 UTC | 03:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF |
| 02:51 UTC | 03:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | SGF |
| 03:28 UTC | 04:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | SGF |
| 03:43 UTC | 04:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | SGF |
| 03:48 UTC | 04:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF |
| 09:52 UTC | 22:00 UTC | Flood Warning | SGF |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:58 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z
2.9 hours before the tornado, 155 km from the path. July 2, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2985 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -22 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 4647 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1028 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 240 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 457 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 4.7
- Supercell composite
- 27.9
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.5 K/km
Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z
9.1 hours after it, 155 km from the path. July 2, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 923 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -71 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 72 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 645 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 29 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 257 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 304 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 9.8
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.9 K/km
The radar
The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 96 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:58 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:24 UTC | HAIL 1 | 6 Wsw Sedalia | Pettis, MO | DEPUTY REPORTED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF 32ND STREET AND PRAIRIE ROAD |
| 01:24 UTC | HAIL 1 | 6 Wsw Sedalia | Pettis, MO | |
| 01:38 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Sw Sedalia | Pettis, MO | DEPUTY REPORTS SEVERAL UTILITY POLES DOWN ON HWY B BETWEEN SACAJAWEA AND RAGAR RDS. TIME ESTIMATE BY RADAR. |
| 02:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Windsor | Henry, MO | DELAYED REPORT...LARGE BARN 100FT X 60FT DESTROYED WITH ONE WALL REMAINING. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 02:10 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Green Ridge | Pettis, MO | 6 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN IN YARD AND NEIGHBORS. |
| 02:12 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | 2 S Smithton | Pettis, MO | SPOTTER REPORTS 5-6 INCHES WATER OVER THE ROADWAY. |
| 02:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Cole Camp | Benton, MO | POWER LINES DOWN IN COLE CAMP. ALSO TREE DOWN, UNKNOWN SIZE |
| 02:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Ionia | Benton, MO | LARGE TREE BRANCHES DOWN IN IONIA |
| 02:15 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | Cole Camp | Benton, MO | REPORTED DIME SIZE HAIL AND ESTIMATED 45MPH WINDS |
| 02:15 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Ionia | Benton, MO | NICKEL SIZE HAIL IN IONIA |
| 02:18 UTC | TSTM WND GST 0 | 2 S Sedalia | Pettis, MO | ESTIMATED 55-60 MPH WINDS WITH HEAVY RAIN. |
| 02:30 UTC | HAIL 1 | Lincoln | Benton, MO | QUARTER SIZE HAIL IN LINCOLN |
| 02:35 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 S Stover | Morgan, MO | TREES DOWN BLOCKING HIGHWAY 135 SOUTH OF STOVER. |
| 02:35 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Stover | Morgan, MO | 12 INCH TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 52 |
| 02:51 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | 1 Se Lincoln | Benton, MO | FLOODING OCCURING ON H HIGHWAY SOUTHEAST OF LINCOLN |
| 02:56 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 3 Nw Warsaw | Benton, MO | NWS STORM SURVEY CONCLUDED THAT A EF1 TORNADO WITH A ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 94 MPH TOUCHED DOWN 3 MILES NW OF WARSAW. IT HAD A PATH WIDTH OF 1/4 TO 1/2 MILE WIDE AND WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 3.25 MILES. NUMEROUS TR |
| 02:56 UTC | TORNADO 1 | 4 Nw Warsaw | Benton, MO | NWS STORM SURVEY CONCLUDED THAT A EF1 TORNADO WITH A ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED OF 94 MPH TOUCHED DOWN 3 MILES NW OF WARSAW. IT HAD A PATH WIDTH OF 1/4 TO 1/2 MILE WIDE AND WAS ON THE GROUND FOR 3.25 MILES. NUMEROUS TR |
| 03:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 W Warsaw | Benton, MO | REPORT OF A PATH OF MULTIPLE TREES UPROOTED AND BLOWN DOWN. ALSO DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES. |
| 03:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Warsaw | Benton, MO | MULTIPLE LARGE TREES DOWN IN WARSAW |
| 03:06 UTC | FLOOD | Sedalia | Pettis, MO | WATER REPORTEDLY COMING INTO A RADIO STUDIO, FORCING A NEED FOR THEM TO SHUT OFF THEIR POWER FOR SAFETY |
| 03:13 UTC | FLOOD | Sedalia | Pettis, MO | EM REPORTS AT LEAST 17 ROADS WITH WATER OVER THEM AND OVER 50 VEHICLES STRANDED THROUGHOUT TOWN |
| 04:46 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | Warsaw | Benton, MO | ONGOING WATER RESCUES IN WARSAW |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in MissouriEvery tornado in Missouri since 1950Warnings in force in Missouri nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of July 1, 2015
5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.