Tornadoes · United States · Missouri · 2011
EF1 tornado, Shelbina to Lakenan, Missouri, February 27, 2011
From Shelbina to Lakenan, this EF1 tornado ran 1.0 miles across Shelby County on February 27, 2011, touching down at 6:45 PM CST and reaching 30 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- February 27, 2011
- Touchdown
- 6:45 PM CST (00:45 UTC)
- Lifted
- 6:46 PM CST (00:46 UTC)
- On the ground
- 1 minutes
- Path length
- 1.0 miles (1.7 km)
- Path width
- 30 yards (27 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Shelby County
- Touchdown point
- 39.667, -92.036
- Lift-off point
- 39.675, -92.019
- Record number
- 1102271845-01
What the Weather Service recorded
A quasi-stationary frontal boundary was the main focusing mechanism for a round of significant severe weather over the forecast area. A strong shortwave moved along the boundary triggering widespread showers and thunderstorms. Numerous reports of large hail, damaging winds and 22 tornadoes occurred with this system.
The tornado initially touched down 1.5 miles south of Shelbina just west of Highway 15, damaging a small storage building and scattering debris across Highway 15. The tornado then continued to the east-northeast, severely damaging a large metal farm building. The debris from this building was blown downwind over half a mile. The maximum damage was rated EF1, with a maximum wind speed around 90 mph. Total length of this tornado was around a mile, with a maximum width of 20 to 30 yards.
As the tornado crossed from far north central Monroe County into southern Shelby County it struck a farmstead just north of County Line Road. At this location two small grain bins were destroyed, one of which was wrapped around a power pole a quarter of a mile to the east. A larger grain bin was partially shifted off its foundation, and suffered a partial collapse on its west side. A nearby windmill was also destroyed. The damage was rated EF0, with a maximum wind speed around 80 mph and a width of 20 yards. The total overall length of the tornado for both Monroe and Shelby counties was 2 miles.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 23:33 UTC and running to 04:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21:10 UTC | 03:17 UTC | Dense Fog Advisory | LSX |
| 23:33 UTC | 04:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | LSX |
| 23:42 UTC | 00:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX |
| 00:00 UTC | 06:18 UTC | Flood Watch | LSX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 20:01 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Davenport, (KDVN), 00:00Z
0.8 hours before the tornado, 252 km from the path. February 28, 2011.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -97360 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 485 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 86 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 7 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 101 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 136 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 0.6 K/km
Davenport, (KDVN), 12:00Z
11.2 hours after it, 252 km from the path. February 28, 2011.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -97062 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1095 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 97 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -147 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -16 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 1.6 K/km
The surface observations
Kirksville (IRK), 65 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:55 UTC | 33 | 33 | 20° 13 kt | 1000.7 | BR | |
| 23:30 UTC | 33.8 | 33.8 | 20° 14 kt | 1000.3 | BR | |
| 23:40 UTC | 33.8 | 33.8 | 20° 14 kt | 1000.7 | UP BR | |
| 23:55 UTC | 33 | 33 | 20° 16 kt | 1000 | TSUP BR | |
| 00:29 UTC | 33.8 | 33.8 | 360° 15 kt | 24 | 1001.4 | TSRA BR |
| 00:40 UTC | 33.8 | 33.8 | 360° 11 kt | 17 | 1003 | TSRA |
| 00:59 UTC | 33.8 | 33.8 | 50° 10 kt | 1001.7 | RA BR | |
| 01:10 UTC | 33.8 | 32 | 30° 12 kt | 1001.4 | RA BR | |
| 01:18 UTC | 33.8 | 32 | 30° 10 kt | 16 | 1001.7 | -RA BR |
| 01:55 UTC | 33 | 32 | 20° 10 kt | 1002.4 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 158 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:46 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:38 UTC | HAIL 1 | Jacksonville | Randolph, MO | TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 23:45 UTC | HAIL 1 | Excello | Macon, MO | HAIL COVERING HIGHWAY 63 HAS CAUSED CAR ACCIDENTS |
| 23:59 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | Clarence | Shelby, MO | |
| 00:00 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 S Shelbina | Monroe, MO | WOODEN FENCE BLOWN DOWN AND DEBRIS SCATTERED POWER POLE ALSO SNAPPED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 00:01 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Se Shelbina | Shelby, MO | BARN BLOWN DOWN AND TREES DAMAGED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 00:01 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | Clarence | Shelby, MO | |
| 00:05 UTC | TSTM WND GST 60 | 7 Ssw Huntsville | Randolph, MO | RELAYED THROUGH MEDIA. BLEW A LAWN WINDMILL THROUGH A RESIDENCE WINDOW. |
| 00:10 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | Shelbyville | Shelby, MO | |
| 00:12 UTC | HAIL 0.5 | Madison | Monroe, MO | ONE-QUARTER TO ONE-HALF INCH HAIL |
| 00:13 UTC | HAIL 0.7 | 4 S Madison | Monroe, MO | ON HIGHWAY 151 |
| 00:20 UTC | HAIL 0.5 | Palmyra | Marion, MO | |
| 00:23 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | Palmyra | Marion, MO | |
| 00:23 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | Palmyra | Marion, MO | |
| 00:24 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Palmyra | Marion, MO | |
| 00:25 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Cairo | Randolph, MO | POSSIBLE TORNADO. SIGNIFICANT ROOF DAMAGE TO HOME...DESTRUCTION OF GARAGE...TRACTOR TRAILER AND CARS BLOWN OFF ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED. |
| 00:43 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | 4 W La Grange | Lewis, MO | |
| 00:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Se Shelbina | Shelby, MO | BARN BLOWN DOWN AND TREES DAMAGED. TIME CORRECTED BY SPOTTER FOLLOWUP IN AREA. |
| 00:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Se Shelbina | Shelby, MO | SEVERAL BARNS WITH ROOFS BLOWN OFF AT COUNTY ROAD WW AND HIGHWAY 15. ROOFS ALSO BLOWN OFF 2 MACHINE SHEDS AND 3 GRAIN BINS BLOWN OVER. MULTIPLE POWER POLES SNAPPED AND BLOCKING ROADS. |
| 00:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 S Shelbina | Monroe, MO | WOODEN FENCE BLOWN DOWN AND DEBRIS SCATTERED POWER POLE ALSO SNAPPED. TIME CORRECTED BY SPOTTER REPORT. |
| 00:45 UTC | TORNADO | 1 S Shelbina | Shelby, MO | CONFIRMED EF0 TORNADO...WIND ESTIMATED 90 MPH. 0.5 MILE SOUTH OF SHELBINA MISSOURI ON HWY 15. DAMAGE PATH 0.5 MILE LONG 20 TO 30 YDS WIIDE. MACHINE SHED PARTIALLY DESTROYED. |
| 01:01 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | 6 Nnw Palmyra | Marion, MO | |
| 01:09 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | Taylor | Marion, MO | |
| 01:37 UTC | TSTM WND GST 40 | Hannibal | Marion, MO | WINDS ESTIMATED 30-40 MPH |
| 01:38 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | 3 W Hannibal | Marion, MO | |
| 01:39 UTC | TSTM WND GST 87 | 3 Wnw Hannibal | Marion, MO | |
| 01:40 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Nw Hannibal | Marion, MO | ONE PLANE FLIPPED OVER AT AIRPORT... SEVERAL OTHER PLANES DAMAGED... MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO A HANGAR |
| 01:40 UTC | TSTM WND GST 50 | Hannibal | Marion, MO | 45 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS IN TOWN...LOCAL POWER OUTAGE ON NORTHEAST SIDE OF TOWN. |
| 01:40 UTC | TSTM WND GST 70 | 6 Se Palmyra | Marion, MO | |
| 01:40 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | Hannibal | Marion, MO | 45 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS IN TOWN...LOCAL POWER OUTAGE ON NORTHEAST SIDE OF TOWN. |
| 01:44 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Hannibal | Marion, MO | TWO REPORTS OF 24-36 INCH DIAMETER TREES BLOWN DOWN. ONE WAS ACROSS A ROAD. OFFICER REPORTED THAT ROOTS WERE PULLED OUT OF THE GROUND. |
| 01:45 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Hannibal | Marion, MO | 4 FOOT DIAMETER TREE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS ROADWAY. FALLING TREE CRUSHED CAR AND TOOK DOWN POWER LINES. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2011 tornado in MissouriEvery tornado in Missouri since 1950Warnings in force in Missouri nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of February 27, 2011
19 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 27 | 6:21 PM CST | EF0 | Cowley, OK to KS | 3.5 | 75 | |||
| February 27 | 6:34 PM CST | EF0 | Chautauqua, KS | 0.9 | 75 | |||
| February 27 | 6:48 PM CST | EF0 | Shelby, MO | 2.0 | 20 | |||
| February 27 | 8:05 PM CST | EF0 | Pike, MO | 2.3 | 40 | |||
| February 27 | 10:05 PM CST | EF0 | Pike, MO | 1.4 | 40 | |||
| February 27 | 10:15 PM CST | EF1 | Osage, MO | 0.2 | 50 | |||
| February 27 | 10:33 PM CST | EF1 | Gasconade, MO | 0.7 | 175 | |||
| February 27 | 10:53 PM CST | EF1 | Franklin, MO | 9.3 | 200 | |||
| February 27 | 11:03 PM CST | EF1 | Saint Louis, MO | 0.1 | 50 | |||
| February 27 | 11:04 PM CST | EF1 | Saint Louis, MO | 0.4 | 75 | |||
| February 27 | 11:05 PM CST | EF1 | Saint Louis, MO | 0.9 | 200 | |||
| February 27 | 11:06 PM CST | EF1 | Saint Louis, MO | 0.7 | 50 | |||
| February 27 | 11:10 PM CST | EF1 | Saint Louis, MO | 0.6 | 70 | |||
| February 27 | 12:30 AM EST | EF1 | Madison, IN | 0.6 | 40 | $105,000 | ||
| February 27 | 11:35 PM CST | EF1 | Madison, IL | 3.3 | 100 | |||
| February 27 | 11:39 PM CST | EF1 | Madison, IL | 2.4 | 150 | |||
| February 27 | 11:42 PM CST | EF1 | Madison, IL | 2.0 | 50 | |||
| February 27 | 11:45 PM CST | EF2 | Madison, IL | 2.7 | 200 | 1 | ||
| February 27 | 11:57 PM CST | EF1 | Bond, IL | 2.7 | 50 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.