Tornadoes · United States · Missouri · 2011

EF1 tornado, Shelbina to Lakenan, Missouri, February 27, 2011

From Shelbina to Lakenan, this EF1 tornado ran 1.0 miles across Shelby County on February 27, 2011, touching down at 6:45 PM CST and reaching 30 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
February 27, 2011
Touchdown
6:45 PM CST (00:45 UTC)
Lifted
6:46 PM CST (00:46 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
1.0 miles (1.7 km)
Path width
30 yards (27 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Shelby County
Touchdown point
39.667, -92.036
Lift-off point
39.675, -92.019
Record number
1102271845-01

What the Weather Service recorded

A quasi-stationary frontal boundary was the main focusing mechanism for a round of significant severe weather over the forecast area. A strong shortwave moved along the boundary triggering widespread showers and thunderstorms. Numerous reports of large hail, damaging winds and 22 tornadoes occurred with this system.

The tornado initially touched down 1.5 miles south of Shelbina just west of Highway 15, damaging a small storage building and scattering debris across Highway 15. The tornado then continued to the east-northeast, severely damaging a large metal farm building. The debris from this building was blown downwind over half a mile. The maximum damage was rated EF1, with a maximum wind speed around 90 mph. Total length of this tornado was around a mile, with a maximum width of 20 to 30 yards.

As the tornado crossed from far north central Monroe County into southern Shelby County it struck a farmstead just north of County Line Road. At this location two small grain bins were destroyed, one of which was wrapped around a power pole a quarter of a mile to the east. A larger grain bin was partially shifted off its foundation, and suffered a partial collapse on its west side. A nearby windmill was also destroyed. The damage was rated EF0, with a maximum wind speed around 80 mph and a width of 20 yards. The total overall length of the tornado for both Monroe and Shelby counties was 2 miles.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 23:33 UTC and running to 04:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
21:10 UTC03:17 UTCDense Fog AdvisoryLSX
23:33 UTC04:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchLSX
23:42 UTC00:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSX
00:00 UTC06:18 UTCFlood WatchLSX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 20:01 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Davenport, (KDVN), 00:00Z

0.8 hours before the tornado, 252 km from the path. February 28, 2011.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -97360, lifted condensation level 485 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2011-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 101 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 86 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-97360 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
485 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
86 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
0.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Davenport, (KDVN), 12:00Z

11.2 hours after it, 252 km from the path. February 28, 2011.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -97062, lifted condensation level 1095 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2011-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -147 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 97 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-97062 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1095 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
97 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-147 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-16 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
1.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Kirksville (IRK), 65 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:55 UTC333320° 13 kt1000.7BR
23:30 UTC33.833.820° 14 kt1000.3BR
23:40 UTC33.833.820° 14 kt1000.7UP BR
23:55 UTC333320° 16 kt1000TSUP BR
00:29 UTC33.833.8360° 15 kt241001.4TSRA BR
00:40 UTC33.833.8360° 11 kt171003TSRA
00:59 UTC33.833.850° 10 kt1001.7RA BR
01:10 UTC33.83230° 12 kt1001.4RA BR
01:18 UTC33.83230° 10 kt161001.7-RA BR
01:55 UTC333220° 10 kt1002.4

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 158 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:38 UTCHAIL 1JacksonvilleRandolph, MOTIME ESTIMATED.
23:45 UTCHAIL 1ExcelloMacon, MOHAIL COVERING HIGHWAY 63 HAS CAUSED CAR ACCIDENTS
23:59 UTCHAIL 0.25ClarenceShelby, MO
00:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 S ShelbinaMonroe, MOWOODEN FENCE BLOWN DOWN AND DEBRIS SCATTERED POWER POLE ALSO SNAPPED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
00:01 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Se ShelbinaShelby, MOBARN BLOWN DOWN AND TREES DAMAGED. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
00:01 UTCHAIL 0.25ClarenceShelby, MO
00:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 607 Ssw HuntsvilleRandolph, MORELAYED THROUGH MEDIA. BLEW A LAWN WINDMILL THROUGH A RESIDENCE WINDOW.
00:10 UTCHAIL 0.25ShelbyvilleShelby, MO
00:12 UTCHAIL 0.5MadisonMonroe, MOONE-QUARTER TO ONE-HALF INCH HAIL
00:13 UTCHAIL 0.74 S MadisonMonroe, MOON HIGHWAY 151
00:20 UTCHAIL 0.5PalmyraMarion, MO
00:23 UTCHAIL 0.25PalmyraMarion, MO
00:23 UTCHAIL 0.75PalmyraMarion, MO
00:24 UTCHAIL 0.88PalmyraMarion, MO
00:25 UTCTSTM WND DMGCairoRandolph, MOPOSSIBLE TORNADO. SIGNIFICANT ROOF DAMAGE TO HOME...DESTRUCTION OF GARAGE...TRACTOR TRAILER AND CARS BLOWN OFF ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED.
00:43 UTCHAIL 0.254 W La GrangeLewis, MO
00:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Se ShelbinaShelby, MOBARN BLOWN DOWN AND TREES DAMAGED. TIME CORRECTED BY SPOTTER FOLLOWUP IN AREA.
00:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Se ShelbinaShelby, MOSEVERAL BARNS WITH ROOFS BLOWN OFF AT COUNTY ROAD WW AND HIGHWAY 15. ROOFS ALSO BLOWN OFF 2 MACHINE SHEDS AND 3 GRAIN BINS BLOWN OVER. MULTIPLE POWER POLES SNAPPED AND BLOCKING ROADS.
00:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 S ShelbinaMonroe, MOWOODEN FENCE BLOWN DOWN AND DEBRIS SCATTERED POWER POLE ALSO SNAPPED. TIME CORRECTED BY SPOTTER REPORT.
00:45 UTCTORNADO1 S ShelbinaShelby, MOCONFIRMED EF0 TORNADO...WIND ESTIMATED 90 MPH. 0.5 MILE SOUTH OF SHELBINA MISSOURI ON HWY 15. DAMAGE PATH 0.5 MILE LONG 20 TO 30 YDS WIIDE. MACHINE SHED PARTIALLY DESTROYED.
01:01 UTCHAIL 0.256 Nnw PalmyraMarion, MO
01:09 UTCHAIL 0.25TaylorMarion, MO
01:37 UTCTSTM WND GST 40HannibalMarion, MOWINDS ESTIMATED 30-40 MPH
01:38 UTCHAIL 0.253 W HannibalMarion, MO
01:39 UTCTSTM WND GST 873 Wnw HannibalMarion, MO
01:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nw HannibalMarion, MOONE PLANE FLIPPED OVER AT AIRPORT... SEVERAL OTHER PLANES DAMAGED... MINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO A HANGAR
01:40 UTCTSTM WND GST 50HannibalMarion, MO45 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS IN TOWN...LOCAL POWER OUTAGE ON NORTHEAST SIDE OF TOWN.
01:40 UTCTSTM WND GST 706 Se PalmyraMarion, MO
01:40 UTCHAIL 0.25HannibalMarion, MO45 TO 50 MPH WIND GUSTS IN TOWN...LOCAL POWER OUTAGE ON NORTHEAST SIDE OF TOWN.
01:44 UTCTSTM WND DMGHannibalMarion, MOTWO REPORTS OF 24-36 INCH DIAMETER TREES BLOWN DOWN. ONE WAS ACROSS A ROAD. OFFICER REPORTED THAT ROOTS WERE PULLED OUT OF THE GROUND.
01:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGHannibalMarion, MO4 FOOT DIAMETER TREE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS ROADWAY. FALLING TREE CRUSHED CAR AND TOOK DOWN POWER LINES.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2011 tornado in MissouriEvery tornado in Missouri since 1950Warnings in force in Missouri nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 27, 2011

19 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 276:21 PM CSTEF0Cowley, OK to KS3.575
February 276:34 PM CSTEF0Chautauqua, KS0.975
February 276:48 PM CSTEF0Shelby, MO2.020
February 278:05 PM CSTEF0Pike, MO2.340
February 2710:05 PM CSTEF0Pike, MO1.440
February 2710:15 PM CSTEF1Osage, MO0.250
February 2710:33 PM CSTEF1Gasconade, MO0.7175
February 2710:53 PM CSTEF1Franklin, MO9.3200
February 2711:03 PM CSTEF1Saint Louis, MO0.150
February 2711:04 PM CSTEF1Saint Louis, MO0.475
February 2711:05 PM CSTEF1Saint Louis, MO0.9200
February 2711:06 PM CSTEF1Saint Louis, MO0.750
February 2711:10 PM CSTEF1Saint Louis, MO0.670
February 2712:30 AM ESTEF1Madison, IN0.640$105,000
February 2711:35 PM CSTEF1Madison, IL3.3100
February 2711:39 PM CSTEF1Madison, IL2.4150
February 2711:42 PM CSTEF1Madison, IL2.050
February 2711:45 PM CSTEF2Madison, IL2.72001
February 2711:57 PM CSTEF1Bond, IL2.750

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.