Tornadoes · United States · Mississippi · 2019

EF2 tornado, Blair to Chapelville, Mississippi, December 16, 2019

From Blair to Chapelville, this EF2 tornado ran 9.4 miles across Lee County on December 16, 2019, touching down at 3:53 PM CST and reaching 250 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $750,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
December 16, 2019
Touchdown
3:53 PM CST (21:53 UTC)
Lifted
4:04 PM CST (22:04 UTC)
On the ground
11 minutes
Path length
9.4 miles (15.2 km)
Path width
250 yards (229 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$750,000
County
Lee County
Touchdown point
34.444, -88.719
Lift-off point
34.492, -88.564
Record number
1912161553-01

The damage survey

7 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MEG, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A stalled front was located across the Mid-South. A moist and unstable airmass was in place south of the stalled front across northeast Mississippi. A cold front moved across the Lower Mississippi Valley during the afternoon hours of December 16th and interacted with the moist and unstable airmass to produce severe storms across Northeast Mississippi including several tornadoes.

The first damage was observed to trees along Euclatubba Road, south of Highway 348. The tornado crossed Highway 348, damaging additional trees. The first structural damage occurred to homes along County Road 833. The tornado then moved into a residential area. Numerous homes suffered roof and window damage, and a few had garage doors blown out. Two homes suffered nearly complete roof removal. The tornado destroyed a church of metal construction along Mitchell St. then crossed Highway 45 and caused additional tree damage. The tornado then crossed Pratts Road about 3 miles east of Highway 45. The tornado damaged a silo, a home and a storage shed along Highway 370, and caused additional tree damage before dissipating in northeastern Lee County. A total of 37 homes suffered damage. Peak winds were estimated at 115 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

3 minutes of warning. NWS MEG issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:50 UTC, 3 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:22 UTC and running to 23:43 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:22 UTC23:43 UTCTornado WatchMEG
21:42 UTC22:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEG
21:50 UTC22:15 UTCTornado WarningMEG
22:25 UTC23:02 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEG
00:06 UTC02:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryMEG

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:25 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), 12:00Z

9.9 hours before the tornado, 126 km from the path. December 16, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2019-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -94176, lifted condensation level 513 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2019-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 386 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 82 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-94176 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
513 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
82 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
386 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
392 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.3
0-3 km lapse rate
1.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), 00:00Z

2.1 hours after it, 126 km from the path. December 17, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2019-12-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1 joules per kilogram, CIN 0, lifted condensation level 503 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 2019-12-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -19 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 77 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Surface CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
503 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
77 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-19 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
0.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Tupelo (TUP), 26 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
19:53 UTC7262160° 10 kt1009.1
19:55 UTC160° 10 kt1009.1
20:00 UTC170° 11 kt1009.1
20:05 UTC170° 10 kt1009.1
20:10 UTC170° 10 kt1008.8
20:15 UTC170° 11 kt1008.8
20:20 UTC170° 11 kt1008.8
20:25 UTC170° 10 kt1008.8
20:30 UTC170° 11 kt1008.8
20:35 UTC170° 10 kt1009.1
20:40 UTC180° 10 kt1009.1
20:45 UTC180° 10 kt1009.1
20:50 UTC170° 10 kt1008.8
20:53 UTC7162170° 9 kt1008.8
20:55 UTC170° 11 kt1008.8
21:00 UTC170° 11 kt1008.5
21:05 UTC170° 11 kt1008.5
21:10 UTC170° 11 kt1008.5
21:15 UTC170° 10 kt1008.5
21:19 UTC7262170° 12 kt1008.5VCTS
21:20 UTC160° 11 kt1008.5
21:25 UTC160° 9 kt1008.5-RA
21:30 UTC170° 11 kt1008.1-RA
21:32 UTC7163170° 13 kt1008.1VCTS -RA
21:35 UTC160° 13 kt1007.8-RA
21:39 UTC7063170° 12 kt1008.1VCTS RA
21:40 UTC170° 13 kt1008.1RA
21:45 UTC 15 kt1008.5RA
21:46 UTC7063210° 13 kt1009.1TSRA
21:50 UTC280° 17 kt1010.8-RA
21:53 UTC6661250° 19 kt341010.8+TSRA
21:55 UTC250° 11 kt1010.8+RA
21:56 UTC6359260° 8 kt341010.5+TSRA BR
22:00 UTC 1011.2+RA BR
22:05 UTC6359220° 16 kt421011.2+TSRA BR
22:10 UTC230° 9 kt151010.5+RA BR
22:15 UTC 11 kt1011.2+RA BR
22:19 UTC6360220° 9 kt171011.2+TSRA BR
22:20 UTC230° 7 kt1010.8RA BR
22:24 UTC6360270° 5 kt171010.2TSRA BR
22:25 UTC260° 5 kt1010.2+RA BR
22:30 UTC230° 5 kt1010.8+RA BR
22:31 UTC6260240° 6 kt1010.8TSRA BR
22:35 UTC240° 5 kt1010.2RA BR
22:40 UTC250° 8 kt1010.2RA BR
22:43 UTC6360260° 8 kt1010.2TSRA BR
22:45 UTC250° 7 kt1010.5RA BR
22:50 UTC250° 5 kt1010.5RA BR
22:53 UTC6260230° 7 kt1010.8VCTS RA BR
22:55 UTC210° 7 kt1011.2RA BR
23:00 UTC 11 kt1011.9+RA BR
23:05 UTC180° 10 kt1011.9RA BR
23:06 UTC6359190° 9 kt1011.9RA BR
23:10 UTC200° 8 kt1011.9+RA BR
23:15 UTC210° 8 kt1011.5+RA BR
23:20 UTC210° 8 kt1011.2RA BR
23:25 UTC220° 7 kt1010.8RA BR
23:30 UTC220° 11 kt1010.5RA BR
23:35 UTC230° 9 kt141010.5RA BR
23:40 UTC220° 11 kt1010.2RA
23:45 UTC 15 kt1009.8+RA
23:50 UTC210° 11 kt181009.8RA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 70 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:56 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:28 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Wsw RandolphPontotoc, MSTREES DOWN AND STRUCUTURAL DAMAGE NEAR HIGHWAY 9 AND COUNTY ROAD 174.
21:49 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Nw BlairUnion, MS*** 1 INJ *** NUMEROUS TREES DOWNED OR SNAPPED NEAR ALPINE. POSSIBLE TORNADO. 10 HOMES DAMAGED.
21:49 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Nw BlairUnion, MSNUMEROUS TREES DOWNED OR SNAPPED NEAR ALPINE. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
21:49 UTCTORNADO5 Nw BlairUnion, MS*** 1 INJ *** NUMEROUS TREES DOWNED OR SNAPPED NEAR ALPINE. AT LEAST 10 HOMES WERE DAMAGED.
21:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Nne MariettaPrentiss, MSEMA DIRECTOR REPORTED MINOR HOUSE DAMAGE, POWER LINES DOWN, TREES DOWN (SOME LARGE AND UPROOTED), AND BARNS DESTROYED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF COUNTY RD 4101 AND HWY 4 EAST.
21:50 UTCTORNADO4 Nne MariettaPrentiss, MSEMA DIRECTOR REPORTED MINOR HOUSE DAMAGE, POWER LINES DOWN, TREES DOWN (SOME LARGE AND UPROOTED), AND BARNS DESTROYED NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF COUNTY RD 4101 AND HWY 4 JUST WEST OF NEW SITE.
21:56 UTCTSTM WND DMGGuntownLee, MSREPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE ON NORTH SIDE OF GUNTOWN, INCLUDING SIGNIFICANT DAMGAGE TO A CHURCH OFF OF HIGHWAY 45 AND ROAD 911 AND AN 18 WHEELER BLOWN OFF THE ROAD ON HIGHWAY 45.
21:56 UTCTSTM WND DMGGuntownLee, MSREPORTS OF WIND DAMAGE ON NORTH SIDE OF GUNTOWN, INCLUDING SIGNIFICANT DAMGAGE TO A CHURCH OFF OF HIGHWAY 45 AND ROAD 911 AND AN 18 WHEELER BLOWN OFF THE ROAD ON HIGHWAY 45. ALSO DAMGE TO RESIDENCES NEAR COLT LANE AND MA
21:57 UTCTORNADOGuntownLee, MSONGOING TORNADO SPOTTED BY EMERGENCY RESPONSE PERSONNEL.
22:00 UTCTSTM WND DMGPratts FriendshipLee, MSDAMAGE TO MULTIPLE STRUCTURES NEAR HIGHWAY 370 AND ROAD 2788. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
22:00 UTCTORNADOPratts FriendshipLee, MSDAMAGE TO MULTIPLE STRUCTURES NEAR HIGHWAY 370 AND ROAD 2788. CONFIRMED TORNADO IN THE AREA.
22:27 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sw TishomingoTishomingo, MSTREES DOWN AND STRUCTURES DAMAGED SOUTH OF TISHOMINGO. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
22:27 UTCTORNADO1 Sw TishomingoTishomingo, MSTREES DOWN AND STRUCTURES DAMAGED SOUTH OF TISHOMINGO. ADDITIONAL DAMAGE WAS OBSERVED 3 MILES EAST OF TOWN. TORNADO CONFIRMED VIA TORNADO DEBRIS SIGNATURE.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in MississippiEvery tornado in Mississippi since 1950Warnings in force in Mississippi nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 16, 2019

37 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 1610:10 AM CSTEF1Bossier Parish, LA26.2250$520,000
December 1610:29 AM CSTEF2Rapides Parish, LA3.6147$200,000
December 1611:08 AM CSTEF1Claiborne, LA to MS11.7600$84,000
December 1611:10 AM CSTEF3Beauregard Parish, LA62.65501$25 million
December 1611:48 AM CSTEF1Warren, MS22.3616$502,000
December 162:34 PM CSTEF2Franklin, MS4.2720$125,000
December 162:34 PM CSTEF3Amite, MS30.38803$500,000
December 163:18 PM CSTEF0Amite, MS5.050
December 163:39 PM CSTEF1Amite, MS1.675
December 163:41 PM CSTEF1Union, MS9.33001$250,000
December 163:42 PM CSTEF1Tangipahoa Parish, LA4.975
December 163:45 PM CSTEF0Calhoun, MS2.660$10,000
December 163:55 PM CSTEF0Lee, MS2.280$10,000
December 164:04 PM CSTEF0Lincoln, MS0.450$40,000
December 164:14 PM CSTEF0Prentiss, MS0.375$50,000
December 164:27 PM CSTEF1Tishomingo, MS3.5150$350,000
December 164:41 PM CSTEF2Marion, MS7.4350$300,000
December 164:44 PM CSTEF2Lawrence, MS10.76001$585,000
December 164:50 PM CSTEF1Colbert, AL0.775
December 164:52 PM CSTEF2Colbert, AL8.2250
December 164:55 PM CSTEF0Lawrence, TN3.825$15,000
December 164:56 PM CSTEF1Marion, MS6.2440$50,000
December 165:08 PM CSTEF2Lawrence, AL18.53702
December 165:17 PM CSTEF3Lamar, MS5.8560$510,000
December 165:19 PM CSTEF3Simpson, MS18.61,320$705,000
December 165:20 PM CSTEF1Lauderdale, AL2.9500
December 165:30 PM CSTEF1Limestone, AL9.550
December 165:41 PM CSTEF0Marshall, TN3.550$15,000
December 165:50 PM CSTEF0Lincoln, TN3.250
December 165:54 PM CSTEF1Madison, AL1.325
December 165:59 PM CSTEF3Jones, MS to AL61.23502$1.2 million
December 166:05 PM CSTEF0Madison, AL3.237
December 168:07 PM CSTEF2Marengo, AL6.03503
December 169:03 PM CSTEF0Hale, AL5.3300
December 169:49 PM CSTEF0Bibb, AL3.1200
December 1610:00 PM CSTEF1Bibb, AL2.6300
December 1610:07 PM CSTEF0Shelby, AL2.3200

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.