Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2021
EF1 tornado, Warsaw to Little Chicago, Minnesota, May 19, 2021
From Warsaw to Little Chicago, this EF1 tornado ran 1.2 miles across Rice County on May 19, 2021, touching down at 8:17 PM CDT and reaching 25 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- May 19, 2021
- Touchdown
- 8:17 PM CDT (01:17 UTC)
- Lifted
- 8:21 PM CDT (01:21 UTC)
- On the ground
- 4 minutes
- Path length
- 1.2 miles (1.9 km)
- Path width
- 25 yards (23 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Rice County
- Touchdown point
- 44.433, -93.311
- Lift-off point
- 44.450, -93.312
- Record number
- 2105191917-01
The damage survey
9 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MPX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 90 mph.
- Apparent start of tornado based on spotter video.
- A few branches were downed at the apparent end of the tornado. No tree damage was noted farther north.
- Tornado was over an open field at this point per storm chaser video
- A number of trees were uprooted, some of which were lofted a couple hundred feet per video.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
There were several low-topped supercells that developed along a warm front across Southern Minnesota Wednesday evening, May 19, 2021. These storms produced 7 short-lived tornadoes and several funnel clouds across southern Minnesota. These tornadoes were weak and most rated EF0. This was a marginal CAPE, marginal wind shear environment with low cloud bases. A strengthening low-level jet led to an increase in low-level wind shear. This was able to produce a few low-topped supercells that were efficient tornado producers.
Trained spotters took video of a tornado that touched down in an open field and moved northward. It struck a farmstead at the end of its path, with only large branches knocked down per a NWS damage survey.
Two storm chasers took video of a narrow tornado. A damage survey revealed that several trees were broken or blown down. Law enforcement and spotters were also watching the tornado.
A storm chaser took video of a tornado moving in an open field and then along a line of trees. Some of the trees were uprooted and lofted a couple hundred feet in the air. A NWS damage survey also noted uprooted trees.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
12 minutes of warning. NWS MPX issued a tornado warning for this county at 01:05 UTC, 12 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:45 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 00:39 UTC | 01:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | MPX |
| 01:05 UTC | 01:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | MPX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 01:03 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z
1.3 hours before the tornado, 51 km from the path. May 20, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 412 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -10 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1501 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 825 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 84 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 92 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.4
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.3 K/km
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z
10.7 hours after it, 51 km from the path. May 20, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 53 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -42 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 190 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 683 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 91 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 94 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.5 K/km
The surface observations
Faribault Municipal (FBL), 13 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:35 UTC | 71.6 | 64.4 | 120° 8 kt | 1015.6 | ||
| 23:55 UTC | 71.6 | 64.4 | 120° 10 kt | 16 | 1015.6 | -RA |
| 00:15 UTC | 69.8 | 64.4 | 120° 12 kt | 17 | 1015.6 | -RA |
| 00:35 UTC | 69.8 | 66.2 | 120° 8 kt | 1015.6 | -RA | |
| 00:55 UTC | 68 | 66.2 | 90° 6 kt | 9 | 1015.2 | +RA |
| 01:15 UTC | 68 | 66.2 | 150° 6 kt | 1015.6 | RA | |
| 01:35 UTC | 69.8 | 66.2 | 100° 7 kt | 1015.2 | -RA | |
| 01:55 UTC | 68 | 66.2 | 130° 9 kt | 14 | 1015.6 | RA |
| 02:15 UTC | 68 | 66.2 | 150° 9 kt | 14 | 1015.9 | RA |
| 02:35 UTC | 69.8 | 66.2 | 140° 11 kt | 14 | 1015.6 | -RA |
| 02:55 UTC | 69.8 | 66.2 | 150° 10 kt | 1015.9 | ||
| 03:15 UTC | 68 | 64.4 | 140° 7 kt | 1016.3 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 50 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 01:18 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:25 UTC | TORNADO | 3 W Owatonna | Steele, MN | CORRECTS APPROXIMATE TIME OF PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 3 W OWATONNA. ONE OF TWO TORNADOES WEST OF OWATONNA. LOCATION APPROXIMATE. WENT NORTH TOWARD MEDFORD. |
| 00:25 UTC | TORNADO | 4 W Owatonna | Steele, MN | CORRECTS APPROXIMATE TIME OF PREVIOUS TORNADO REPORT FROM 4 W OWATONNA. SECOND OF TWO TORNADOES WEST OF OWATONNA. LOCATION APPROXIMATE. |
| 00:43 UTC | TORNADO | 3 W Owatonna | Steele, MN | ONE OF TWO TORNADOES WEST OF OWATONNA. LOCATION APPROXIMATE. WENT NORTH TOWARD MEDFORD. |
| 00:43 UTC | TORNADO | 4 W Owatonna | Steele, MN | SECOND OF TWO TORNADOES WEST OF OWATONNA. LOCATION APPROXIMATE. |
| 00:45 UTC | TORNADO | 3 E Morristown | Rice, MN | SEPARATE TORNADO FROM THE OTHER ONE 3 E MORRISTOWN. THE TORNADOES WERE SEPARATED BY ABOUT ONE MILE. BOTH WERE PHOTOGRAPHED AND CAUGHT ON VIDEO BY A LONGTIME SPOTTER. |
| 00:45 UTC | TORNADO | 3 E Morristown | Rice, MN | TREES DOWN. NO STRUCTURES WERE DAMAGED. CAUGHT ON PICTURES AND VIDEO. THIS WAS A BRIEF TOUCHDOWN. ANOTHER FUNNEL WAS CLOSE BY BUT COULD NOT SEE WHETHER THAT TOUCHED DOWN. |
| 01:01 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Ene Henderson | Scott, MN | CROSSED HIGHWAY 19 4 ENE HENDERSON ALONG THE SCOTT LE SUEUR COUNTY LINE. |
| 01:21 UTC | TORNADO | 6 Wsw Dundas | Rice, MN | RELAYED BY RICE COUNTY SKYWARN. STORM CHASER SAW TREES DOWNED. |
| 01:27 UTC | TORNADO | 3 Sse Elko New Market | Rice, MN | RELAYED BY RICE COUNTY SKYWARN. APPROXIMATE LOCATION NEAR WEBSTER. |
| 01:42 UTC | TORNADO | 2 E Elko New Market | Scott, MN | REPORTED AS RAIN WRAPPED. REPORT RELAYED BY SCOTT COUNTY 911. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 19, 2021
8 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19 | 4:32 PM CDT | Unrated | Kidder, ND | 0.3 | 50 | |||
| May 19 | 7:37 PM CDT | EF0 | Rice, MN | 1.5 | 25 | |||
| May 19 | 7:39 PM CDT | EF0 | Rice, MN | 0.3 | 15 | |||
| May 19 | 7:42 PM CDT | EF0 | Saint Charles Parish, LA | 0.5 | 75 | $35,000 | ||
| May 19 | 7:42 PM CDT | EF0 | Rice, MN | 1.8 | 50 | |||
| May 19 | 7:56 PM CDT | EF0 | Le Sueur, MN | 0.8 | 25 | |||
| May 19 | 8:13 PM CDT | EF0 | Rice, MN | 0.2 | 10 | |||
| May 19 | 8:53 PM CDT | EF0 | Dakota, MN | 0.2 | 25 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.