Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2016

EF2 tornado, Crosby Beach to Bay Lake, Minnesota, June 19, 2016

From Crosby Beach to Bay Lake, this EF2 tornado ran 3.5 miles across Crow Wing County on June 19, 2016, touching down at 7:11 PM CDT and reaching 730 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
June 19, 2016
Touchdown
7:11 PM CDT (00:11 UTC)
Lifted
7:19 PM CDT (00:19 UTC)
On the ground
8 minutes
Path length
3.5 miles (5.7 km)
Path width
730 yards (668 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Crow Wing County
Touchdown point
46.445, -93.916
Lift-off point
46.413, -93.859
Record number
1606191811-01

What the Weather Service recorded

Tornadic thunderstorms formed in a very unstable airmass ahead of a cold front that moved through the area during the evening. Storms developed around 5 pm, and moved rapidly east, affecting much of northeast Minnesota and parts of northwest Wisconsin. Tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds occurred across parts of the area.||Damage surveys conducted by National Weather Service meteorologists confirmed 4 tornadoes over northeast Minnesota that evening. The strength of the tornadoes ranged from EF0 to EF2.

The tornado formed 2 miles south-southwest of Deerwood, MN and traveled southeast across Nokay Lake Road where 2 mobile homes were destroyed. There were three residents of the mobile home- a mother, father and young son. The mother and father received non-life-threatening injuries. The tornado continued to move southeast over Placid Lake. Several mature hardwood trees were snapped approximately 5 feet above ground level on the west side of the lake indicating another area of EF2 damage. Additional EF2 tree damage was observed as the tornado moved onshore along the southeast side of Placid Lake. Extensive tree damage was observed along a stretch of MN-6, at a summer camp, and over portions of a golf course. The tornado weakened beyond the golf course and dissipated before reaching Tame Fish Lake Road.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

16 minutes of warning. NWS DLH issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:55 UTC, 16 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 00:45 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 22:21 UTC and running to 01:20 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:21 UTC01:20 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchDLH
23:10 UTC00:00 UTCTornado WarningDLH
23:55 UTC00:45 UTCTornado WarningDLH
00:00 UTC00:19 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z

0.2 hours before the tornado, 177 km from the path. June 20, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2016-06-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 616 joules per kilogram, CIN -295, lifted condensation level 1984 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2016-06-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 216 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 44 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
616 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-295 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1222 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1984 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
216 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
396 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3
0-3 km lapse rate
6.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

11.8 hours after it, 177 km from the path. June 20, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-06-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -91526, lifted condensation level 2020 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-06-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -103 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 59 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-91526 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2020 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-103 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-59 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 136 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:13 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:22 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD5 E LeaderCass, MN
23:30 UTCHAIL 1.755 E LeaderCass, MN
23:34 UTCHAIL 11 N Pine RiverCass, MNNICKEL TO QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
23:40 UTCHAIL 2.52 W Breezy PointCrow Wing, MN
23:40 UTCHAIL 2.753 N NisswaCrow Wing, MN
23:42 UTCHAIL 2.75Lake ShoreCass, MN
23:47 UTCHAIL 2.754 S Breezy PointCrow Wing, MN
23:47 UTCHAIL 3NisswaCrow Wing, MN
23:48 UTCHAIL 2.755 E NisswaCrow Wing, MN
23:50 UTCHAIL 1.757 S CrosslakeCrow Wing, MN
23:50 UTCHAIL 44 Ne NisswaCrow Wing, MNOBSERVER ESTIMATED 70MPH WINDS.
23:52 UTCHAIL 1.75Lake HubertCrow Wing, MN
23:54 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 S NisswaCrow Wing, MN
00:07 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDCrosbyCrow Wing, MN
00:11 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Se Cuyuna Country StaCrow Wing, MN*** 1 INJ *** LARGE TREE FELL ON HOME AND RESIDENTS WERE TRAPPED NEEDED TO BE EXTRICATED. MINOR INJURIES.
00:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Sse DeerwoodCrow Wing, MNREPORTS OF SEVERAL CABINS DAMAGED BY DOWNED TREES AROUND THE PLACID LAKE AREA.
00:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Sse DeerwoodCrow Wing, MNNUMEROUS TREES DOWN ALONG MN-6 ALONG A 1 TO 2 MILE STRETCH. TIME EST FROM RADAR.
00:15 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 E WoodrowCrow Wing, MNMULTIPLE LARGE TREES DOWN
00:16 UTCHAIL 1AitkinAitkin, MN
00:23 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD5 Nw WealthwoodAitkin, MNPUBLIC REPORT OF FUNNEL CLOUD S OF CR-28 AND E OF MN-210. TIME EST FROM RADAR.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of June 19, 2016

5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
June 198:00 AM CDTEF1Lake of the Woods, MN3.0400
June 196:22 PM CDTEF0Roseau, MN0.320
June 196:29 PM CDTEF0Wadena, MN2.3100
June 196:49 PM CDTEF1Aitkin, MN8.1440
June 197:06 PM CDTEF1Saint Louis, MN7.2250

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.