Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2016

EF1 tornado, Cannon City to Nerstrand, Minnesota, July 5, 2016

From Cannon City to Nerstrand, this EF1 tornado ran 3.7 miles across Rice County on July 5, 2016, touching down at 7:39 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $25,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
July 5, 2016
Touchdown
7:39 PM CDT (00:39 UTC)
Lifted
7:44 PM CDT (00:44 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
3.7 miles (5.9 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$25,000
County
Rice County
Touchdown point
44.330, -93.200
Lift-off point
44.309, -93.132
Record number
1607051839-01

The damage survey

12 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MPX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 90 mph.

  • Concentrated area of pine trees snapped.
  • narrow area of damage in line with previous point
  • Rating based on damage, and cofirmation via photo and CC plume.
  • End of tornado track based on damage survey and radar.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

The early afternoon of Tuesday, July 5th, two areas of thunderstorms developed across west central Minnesota and produced several large hail stones. These two storms moved southeast across central and southern Minnesota and produced a swath of damaging winds, large hail and a few tornadoes during the late afternoon and early evening. Crop specialists from the University of Minnesota Extension service indicated that corn and soybean yields had some damage in central Minnesota, especially around Willmar. Corn had broken or bruised stalks, along with dislodged roots and leaf loss from the wind and hail. ||The northern storm went from Alexandria, southeast to Paynesville, Buffalo and the northwest part of the Twin Cities metro area. Eventually this storm moved across most of the Twin Cities metro area, with the most damage from northern Hennepin, through Ramsey and southern Washington. ||The second storm followed a similar path from west central Minnesota, southeast to just north of the Minnesota River Valley, then across the southern part of the Twin Cities metro area. The two storms merged across southern Minnesota from near Faribault, northeast to Red Wing, and to near Eau Claire Wisconsin. This storm rapidly moved southeast and became a large bow echo that raced across southern Wisconsin, and northern Illinois by Wednesday morning. ||The northern storm produced several measured wind gusts in excess of 70 mph across Wright, Hennepin, Ramsey and Washington counties. The worst damage which a storm survey estimated winds near 80 mph, produced a six mile long damage path of downed transmission lines near St. Michaels and Rogers. As the storms moved into the western metro area, there were numerous reports of downed trees and power lines, with measured severe wind gusts at both Crystal and Flying Cloud airports. The downtown St. Paul airport also measured a severe wind gust as the storms moved into Ramsey and into Washington county. The Maple Grove hospital had structural damage to their building. Pavers from an upper roof blew off and penetrated a roof below. This caused rain to seep into patient rooms and to the 1st floor imaging and PCC. ||There were some issues related to flooded roads in the Minneapolis, St. Paul metropolitan area, but most of the flooded roads were concentrated in poor drainage where rain water had no place to go. ||The second and southern storm initially produced several large hail reports, up to 2 inches in diameter from Cosmos to Hutchinson. This storm began to bow out in the southwest suburbs of the Twin Cities near Jordon, Prior Lake and Burnsville and moved southeast. This storm produced two tornadoes, one east of Faribault, and another west of Goodhue.||During the height of the storm, Xcel Energy reported more than 138,000 customers without power.

A storm survey revealed an EF1 tornado developed just east of Cannon City, and tracked east-southeast for around 3.7 miles. Trees were uprooted and a branch completely impaled an outside wall of a home. Winds were estimated at 90 mph, with a duration of 5 minutes. No injuries were reported.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 21:10 UTC and running to 02:18 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
21:10 UTC02:18 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchMPX
23:47 UTC00:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX
00:20 UTC01:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:56 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

11.3 hours after it, 68 km from the path. July 6, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-07-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2 joules per kilogram, CIN -144, lifted condensation level 994 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-07-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -35 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 46 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-144 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
994 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Faribault Municipal (FBL), 12 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:54 UTC84.271.6140° 9 kt141005.8VCTS
23:14 UTC82.473.4120° 7 kt1005.1VCTS
23:34 UTC82.473.4120° 6 kt1005.8VCTS
23:54 UTC82.473.4110° 6 kt1005.4VCTS
00:14 UTC82.473.4140° 9 kt1005.4VCTS
00:33 UTC80.671.6280° 29 kt371007.8TS
00:54 UTC64.462.6330° 31 kt421007.8+TSRA
01:14 UTC64.464.4340° 16 kt331010.5+TSRA
01:34 UTC64.464.4360° 11 kt161011.2+TSRA
01:54 UTC64.464.410° 11 kt161008.8-TSRA
02:14 UTC64.464.440° 11 kt201006.1-DZ
02:34 UTC64.464.440° 11 kt151005.4

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 67 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:37 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:54 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 284 W BloomingtonHennepin, MNMESONET STATION BLOOMINGTON 3W /E7554/.
22:55 UTCTSTM WND GST 611 S Eden PrairieHennepin, MN.
22:55 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 612 S Eden PrairieHennepin, MNASOS STATION EDEN PRAIRIE AP (FLYING CLOUD) /FCM/.
23:00 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 474 Ese RichfieldHennepin, MNMESONET STATION RICHFIELD 3ESE /MN085/.
23:28 UTCTSTM WND GST 632 Wsw RichfieldHennepin, MNMESONET STATION RICHFIELD 2WSW /D1498/.
23:28 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 632 N BloomingtonHennepin, MNMESONET STATION RICHFIELD 2WSW /D1498/.
23:28 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 632 Wsw RichfieldHennepin, MNMESONET STATION RICHFIELD 2WSW /D1498/.
23:39 UTCHIGH SUST WINDS 212 E BloomingtonHennepin, MNMESONET STATION BLOOMINGTON 2E /MNWSH/.
23:40 UTCHIGH SUST WINDS 282 Se Mendota HeightsDakota, MNMESONET STATION MENDOTA HTS 2SE /EGNRR/.
23:46 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 292 Se Cottage GroveWashington, MNMESONET STATION COTTAGE GROVE 1ESE /AU649/.
23:57 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 192 Se EaganDakota, MNMESONET STATION EAGAN 2SE /AU778/.
00:00 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 292 Se EaganDakota, MNMESONET STATION EAGAN 2ESE /E5908/.
00:09 UTCHIGH SUST WINDS 201 Wnw HastingsDakota, MNMESONET STATION HASTINGS 1W /HASTG/.
00:09 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 231 Nw Cottage GroveWashington, MNMESONET STATION COTTAGE GROVE /C7559/.
00:14 UTCHIGH SUST WINDS 201 Wnw ShakopeeScott, MNMESONET STATION SHAKOPEE 1W /SHAKO/.
00:14 UTCTSTM WND GST 601 S Eden PrairieHennepin, MN.
00:15 UTCTSTM WND GST 573 W New PragueScott, MNMESONET STATION NEW PRAGUE 2W /MN079/.
00:15 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 24New PragueScott, MNMESONET STATION NEW PRAGUE /D6276/.
00:15 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 301 Nw ShakopeeScott, MNMESONET STATION SHAKOPEE 1NW /AP074/.
00:15 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 572 Wsw New PragueLe Sueur, MNMESONET STATION NEW PRAGUE 2W /MN079/.
00:15 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 573 W New PragueScott, MNMESONET STATION NEW PRAGUE 2W /MN079/.
00:18 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 542 Sw Prior LakeScott, MNMESONET STATION PRIOR LAKE 2WSW /C1248/.
00:20 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 401 Nnw Prior LakeScott, MNMESONET STATION PRIOR LAKE /AS421/.
00:21 UTCFLOOD1 W Le SueurSibley, MNUNDERPASS JUST ON THE OTHER SIDE OF THE MN RIVER BRIDGE IN LE SUEUR IS FLOODED WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER.
00:23 UTCHIGH SUST WINDS 192 Wnw NorthfieldRice, MNMESONET STATION NORTHFIELD 2WNW /C2550/.
00:25 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sse Prior LakeScott, MNSIDING RIPPED OFF HOUSE NEW CONSTRUCTION. REPORTED AT HWY 13 AND 160TH STREER, PRIOR LAKE, MN.
00:25 UTCTSTM WND GST 681 N SavageScott, MNHAND HELD ANEMOMETER. REPORTED AT HWY 13 AND CR 42 STREER, SAVAGE, MN.
00:28 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 242 Wnw SavageScott, MNMESONET STATION SAVAGE 2WNW /E9044/.
00:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGPrior LakeScott, MNLARGE TREES BRANCHES DOWN.
00:30 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 375 Nw DundasRice, MNMESONET STATION DUNDAS 5WNW /MN003/.
00:32 UTCTSTM WND GST 52BurnsvilleDakota, MNONE POOL LOUNGE CHAIR TOSSED INTO THE DEEP END OF THE CONDO POOL. WIND MEASURED WITH PRIVATE DAVIS WEATHER STATION.
00:35 UTCTSTM WND DMGFaribaultRice, MNSCATTERED TREES DOWN ACROSS TOWN.
00:35 UTCTSTM WND GST 50Prior LakeScott, MNPRIVATE WEATHER EQUIPMENT.
00:35 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 31ElkoScott, MNMESONET STATION ELKO /E5840/.
00:35 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 395 Nnw Eagle LakeBlue Earth, MNAWOS STATION MANKATO AP /MKT/.
00:37 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 314 Ne HendersonScott, MNMESONET STATION HENDERSON 4ENE /MN075/.
00:38 UTCNON-TSTM WND GST 34MorristownRice, MNMESONET STATION MORRISTOWN /E2120/.
00:39 UTCTORNADO4 Ene FaribaultRice, MNEF1 TORNADO DEVELOPED JUST EAST OF CANNON CITY AND TRACKED ESE FOR ABOUT 3.7 MILES. TREES WERE UPROOTED AND A BRANCH COMPLETELY IMPALED AN OUTSIDE WALL OF A HOME. ESTIMATED MAX WIND 90 MPH. . THE DURATION OF THE TORNADO
00:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sse BurnsvilleDakota, MNSECTION OF LARGE PRIVACY FENCE BLOWN DOWN. REPORTED AT MC ANDREWS ROAD, BURNSVILLE, MN.
00:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ese FaribaultRice, MNSIDING OFF HOUSE. 6 INCH TREE BLOWN INTO AND THROUGH THE HOUSE. LIKE A TORPEDO.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 5, 2016

9 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 52:54 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN1.325$20,000
July 53:01 PM CDTEF0Swift, MN0.350
July 57:54 PM CDTEF0Goodhue, MN2.625
July 58:28 PM CDTEF1Wabasha, MN0.150$5,000
July 58:35 PM CDTEF0Pierce, WI0.325
July 58:48 PM CDTEF1Pepin, WI3.3100$500,000
July 59:10 PM CDTEF1Buffalo, WI0.7100$260,000
July 59:13 PM CDTEF1Buffalo, WI0.5100$235,000
July 510:31 PM CDTEF0Vernon, WI0.850$5,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.