Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2016

EF2 tornado, Litchfield to Watkins, Minnesota, July 11, 2016

From Litchfield to Watkins, this EF2 tornado ran 3.1 miles across Meeker County on July 11, 2016, touching down at 5:25 PM CDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
July 11, 2016
Touchdown
5:25 PM CDT (22:25 UTC)
Lifted
5:32 PM CDT (22:32 UTC)
On the ground
7 minutes
Path length
3.1 miles (5.0 km)
Path width
100 yards (91 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Meeker County
Touchdown point
45.124, -94.545
Lift-off point
45.157, -94.504
Record number
1607111625-01

The damage survey

35 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MPX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 125 mph.

  • shed not attached to anything
  • corn crib blown away and doors were open on metal building
  • Corn crib that was bolted to foundation
  • trees uprooted and well constructed wooden shed collapsed

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

The morning of Monday, July 11th, two waves of thunderstorms moved across west central and central Minnesota. Very heavy rainfall and isolated hail occurred with the main area of storms. But these storms also produced a wide area of one half to two inches of rain by sunrise. ||The morning two events set the stage for flooding in central Minnesota as several additional waves of thunderstorms developed during the afternoon, and into the evening. By Tuesday morning, a wide area of three to six inches of rain fell from north of St. Cloud to Milaca and Mora. The highest totals were across northern Kanabec County where locally six to eight inches fell based on radar estimation. The Rum, Snake and Knife rivers spilled out of their banks and caused significant and widespread flooding. ||A secondary point related to this flooding event was that according to the Minnesota State Climatology Office, this storm, which continued into the morning hours of July 12th, was the largest mega-rain event since the Duluth flood of June 19-20, 2012. A mega-rain event is classified as a six-inch rainfall that covers at least a 1000 square miles, with a central core value of at least 8 inches. ||The secondary wave in the morning, weakened by the early afternoon. An isolated thunderstorms developed near Litchfield where an outflow boundary held from the previous morning storms. These storms moved slowly northward and produced three tornadoes along this boundary. The first tornado occurred near Litchfield, the second near Watkins, and the third north of Watkins. ||The tornado near Litchfield was rated an EF-2 with peak winds of 115 mph. It had a maximum width of 100 yards and traveled approximately 3.1 miles. The tornado caused a lot of tree damage, though three single family homes received significant roof damage, and a double wide manufactured home, and garage were flipped and rolled. Another garage and shed were destroyed near Highway 12 on the north side of town.||The tornado near Watkins was also rated an EF-2 with peak winds of 125 mph. It had a maximum width of 400 yards and traveled approximately 2.1 miles. One injury occurred with this tornado. The first significant damage was to a business along Highway 55 on the south side of town. The tornado then tracked across the highway and passed through the St. Anthony Cemetery before passing through the center of Watkins doing damage to structures and many trees. The most significant damage occurred between Stearns Ave and Meeker Ave where several homes had significant roof damage, and had detached sheds, and garages destroyed. The tornado exited the town and did further tree damage at a farmstead outside of town before lifting shortly thereafter.||The tornado north of Watkins was rated an EF-1 with peak winds of 105 mph. It had a maximum width of 250 yards and traveled approximately 4.2 miles. This tornado was spawned by the same storm that moved through Watkins. Multiple chaser videos showed the Watkins tornado lifted off the ground as it became occluded, with this tornadoes touchdown point made visible by the presence of corn laid down in the field south of the first homestead hit. This was about two-thirds of mile north- northeast of where the Watkins tornado lifted. At the first farmstead hit, two open air cattle sheds where completely destroyed, along with a metal storage shed and two mostly empty grain bins. There were two cattle killed at this location as well. This storm destroyed more outbuildings at a farmstead along 160th street, with the rest of the damage along the path of the tornado being corn laid flat and tree damage.

The tornado near Litchfield was rated an EF-2 with peak winds of 115 mph. It had a maximum width of 100 yards and traveled approximately 3.2 miles. The tornado caused a lot of tree damage, though three single family homes received significant roof damage, and a double wide manufactured home, and garage were flipped and rolled. Another garage and shed were destroyed near Highway 12 on the north side of town.

The tornado near Watkins was also rated an EF-2 with peak winds of 125 mph. It had a maximum width of 400 yards and traveled approximately 2.1 miles. One injury occurred with this tornado. The first significant damage was to a business along Highway 55 on the south side of town. The tornado then tracked across the highway and passed through the St. Anthony Cemetery before passing through the center of Watkins doing damage to structures and many trees. The most significant damage occurred between Stearns Ave and Meeker Ave where several homes had significant roof damage, and had detached sheds, and garages destroyed. The tornado exited the town and did further tree damage as the tornado moved northeast into Stearns County.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

12 minutes of warning. NWS MPX issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:13 UTC, 12 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:45 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:48 UTC and running to 22:31 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:48 UTC22:31 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchMPX
22:13 UTC22:45 UTCTornado WarningMPX
22:31 UTC03:00 UTCTornado WatchMPX
22:40 UTC23:15 UTCTornado WarningMPX
22:56 UTC23:05 UTCTornado WarningMPX
00:00 UTC00:25 UTCTornado WarningMPX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:59 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

10.4 hours before the tornado, 80 km from the path. July 11, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-07-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1818 joules per kilogram, CIN -153, lifted condensation level 882 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-07-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 226 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 34 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1818 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-153 J/kg
Surface CAPE
823 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
882 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
235 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.5
0-3 km lapse rate
3.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z

1.6 hours after it, 80 km from the path. July 12, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2016-07-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2508 joules per kilogram, CIN -5, lifted condensation level 1167 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2016-07-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 249 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 38 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2508 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Surface CAPE
4223 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1167 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
249 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
393 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.9
Supercell composite
26.2
0-3 km lapse rate
7.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 82 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:24 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:00 UTCHEAVY RAIN 4BelgradeStearns, MN4 OF RAIN MEASURED BY BELGRADE FIRE DEPARTMENT SINCE 8:40 AM. .
22:33 UTCTORNADOLitchfieldMeeker, MNCONFIRMED TORNADO TOUCHDOWN BY LAW ENFORCEMENT AND TRAINED SPOTTER. DAMAGE REPORTED ON NORTHWEST SIDE OF LITCHFIELD NEAR INTERSECTION OF HWY 12 AND 24. .
22:40 UTCTORNADO2 Nnw LitchfieldMeeker, MNROPE TORNADO STILL ON GROUND. .
22:45 UTCTORNADO1 W Forest CityMeeker, MNBRIEF TOUCHDOWN. NO DAMAGE.
22:55 UTCTORNADOWatkinsMeeker, MNSEVERAL REPORTS OF DAMAGE IN WATKINS, INCLUDING AT A MOBILE HOME PARK. PHOTOS OF DAMAGE RELAYED VIA TWITTER. .
23:05 UTCTORNADO3 N WatkinsStearns, MNTORNADO CAUGHT ON VIDEO. TORNADO WAS ON GROUND FOR ABOUT 1.5 MILES.
23:16 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDRockvilleStearns, MNFUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED NEAR ROCKVILLE BY LAW ENFORCEMENT.
23:25 UTCTORNADO2 Sse Pleasant LakeStearns, MNTORNADO TOUCHDOWN REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT 3 MILES EAST OF ROCKVILLE .
00:03 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD3 Ese RegalKandiyohi, MNTRAINED SPOTTER AT INTERSECTION OF HWY 4 AND 55 JUST NW OF PAYNESVILLE REPORTED FUNNEL CLOUD. .
00:22 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD4 S RoscoeStearns, MNFUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT 4 MILES EAST OF PAYNESVILLE OVER RICE LAKE NEAR TRIPLE T RD. .
00:22 UTCFUNNEL CLOUDRichmondStearns, MNFUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED .
00:25 UTCTORNADO4 Nw RockvilleStearns, MNBARNS DAMAGED, SHED DESTROYED, TREES DOWN, INCLUDING ONE ON HOUSE. DAMAGE IN THE AREA WAS LIKELY FROM A TORNADO.
00:25 UTCTORNADO4 Nw RockvilleStearns, MNBARNS DAMAGED, SHED DESTROYED, TREES DOWN, INCLUDING ONE ON HOUSE. PROBABLE TORNADO.
01:00 UTCHEAVY RAIN 5Sauk RapidsBenton, MNREPORTED VIA TWITTER. .
01:00 UTCHEAVY RAIN 5.51 N SartellStearns, MNREPORTED VIA TWITTER. RAINFALL SINCE 7 AM. .
01:39 UTCHAIL 1Maple LakeWright, MN.
01:48 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD5 Wsw MonticelloWright, MNREPORT OF FUNNEL CLOUD HALF WAY DOWN TO GROUND BETWEEN MAPLE LAKE AND MONTICELLO. .
01:50 UTCHAIL 1MonticelloWright, MNREPORTED AT INTERSECTION OF HWYS 94 AND 25. .

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 11, 2016

5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 115:52 PM CDTEF2Meeker, MN2.24001$50,000
July 115:58 PM CDTEF1Stearns, MN4.0250
July 117:00 PM EDTEF0Manatee, FL0.120
July 1111:41 PM CDTEF1Iron, WI to MI2.3100$50,000
July 1111:55 PM CDTEF1Gogebic, MI2.4200$100,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.