Tornadoes · United States · Michigan · 2024

EF1 tornado, Marshall to Rice Creek, Michigan, February 27, 2024

From Marshall to Rice Creek, this EF1 tornado ran 5.8 miles across Calhoun County on February 27, 2024, touching down at 12:29 AM EST and reaching 300 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $1.0 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
February 27, 2024
Touchdown
12:29 AM EST (05:29 UTC)
Lifted
12:40 AM EST (05:40 UTC)
On the ground
11 minutes
Path length
5.8 miles (9.3 km)
Path width
300 yards (274 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.0 million
County
Calhoun County
Touchdown point
42.310, -84.980
Lift-off point
42.330, -84.870
Record number
2402272329-01

The damage survey

20 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS GRR, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.

  • Laying east. Multiple trees

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Record high temperatures were set across the area on February 27th, and the unseasonably warm and relatively humid airmass set the stage for an early season severe weather event. A line of severe thunderstorms moved in from the southwest |and several supercell thunderstorms developed as well. ||One long lived supercell with a persistent mesocyclone caused damage along the I-94 corridor which included an EF-1 Tornado near Marshall Michigan. Along with this supercell, a line of storms brought hail up to two and a half inches in diameter to a few locations south of I-96.

A tornado touched down near sixteen and a quarter mile road and moved east northeast and uprooted or snapped hundreds of trees along its path. The tornado heavily damaged a few outbuildings and caused roof damage to a number of homes with shingles ripped off and tore away siding. The tornado ended southwest of twenty one and a half mile road and L drive north. No injuries or fatalities were reported.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

28 minutes of warning. NWS GRR issued a tornado warning for this county at 05:01 UTC, 28 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 06:00 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 02:51 UTC and running to 09:06 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
02:51 UTC09:06 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchGRR
03:31 UTC03:59 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGRR
05:01 UTC06:00 UTCTornado WarningGRR
12:00 UTC22:02 UTCWind AdvisoryGRR

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:55 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Detroit, MI (KDTX), 00:00Z

5.5 hours before the tornado, 130 km from the path. February 28, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2024-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1025 joules per kilogram, CIN -73, lifted condensation level 1028 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2024-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 122 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 30 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1025 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-73 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1105 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1028 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
0.9
0-3 km lapse rate
7.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Detroit, MI (KDTX), 12:00Z

6.5 hours after it, 130 km from the path. February 28, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2024-02-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 47 joules per kilogram, CIN -17, lifted condensation level 828 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2024-02-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -5 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 64 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
47 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-17 J/kg
Surface CAPE
139 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
828 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Grand Rapids radar (KGRR), 82 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 05:28 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
03:07 UTCHAIL 0.752 Se KalamazooKalamazoo, MIReport from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).
03:08 UTCHAIL 0.52 S OshtemoKalamazoo, MIReport from mPING: Half-inch (0.50 in.).
03:11 UTCHAIL 0.752 E ClimaxKalamazoo, MIReport from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).
03:15 UTCHAIL 0.54 Ene ClimaxCalhoun, MI3/8ths of an inch in diameter.
03:35 UTCHAIL 0.51 Se Brownlee ParkCalhoun, MI
03:47 UTCHAIL 0.752 Se KalamazooKalamazoo, MIReport from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).
03:51 UTCHAIL 0.752 Se BellevueEaton, MIReport from mPING: Dime (0.75 in.).
04:32 UTCHAIL 0.25OnondagaIngham, MI
04:36 UTCHAIL 0.253 S WaverlyEaton, MI
04:45 UTCHAIL 0.25MasonIngham, MI
05:15 UTCHAIL 1.254 Ssw SpringfieldCalhoun, MI
05:20 UTCHAIL 13 S ClimaxKalamazoo, MIHail covering ground with largest being at least quarter size.
05:20 UTCHAIL 1.751 Sse Battle CreekCalhoun, MI
05:25 UTCHAIL 11 Se Brownlee ParkCalhoun, MI
05:25 UTCHAIL 1.751 Se Brownlee ParkCalhoun, MI
05:25 UTCHAIL 2.52 Se Brownlee ParkCalhoun, MIMeasured hail diameter of 2.4 inches.
05:29 UTCTORNADO5 Nne MarshallCalhoun, MI911 Center Director, Trained spotters, and radar confirmation. NWS Storm Survey determined an EF1 rating. Hundreds of trees were snapped or uprooted along the path. The tornado heavily damged a few outbuildings and cause
05:35 UTCTORNADO5 Nne MarshallCalhoun, MI911 Center Director, Trained spotters, and radar confirmation.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2024 tornado in MichiganEvery tornado in Michigan since 1950Warnings in force in Michigan nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 27, 2024

12 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 275:56 PM CSTEF1Henry, IL2.8425
February 276:15 PM CSTEF0Lee, IL0.110
February 276:28 PM CSTUnratedDeKalb, IL1.3120
February 276:53 PM CSTEF0DeKalb, IL5.4175
February 276:55 PM CSTEF0Kane, IL7.9125
February 277:06 PM CSTEF1Kane, IL8.1125
February 277:17 PM CSTEF1Kane, IL1.2125
February 277:29 PM CSTEF0Cook, IL3.8300
February 277:32 PM CSTEF1Cook, IL2.6110
February 277:34 PM CSTEF1Cook, IL2.5160
February 277:55 PM CSTEF1Lake, IL0.1401
February 279:15 PM CSTEF1Lake, IN2.275

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.