Tornadoes · United States · Michigan · 2018

EF0 tornado, Monroe Custer Arpt to Grosse Ile Nas, Michigan, September 25, 2018

From Monroe Custer Arpt to Grosse Ile Nas, this EF0 tornado ran 4.1 miles across Monroe and Wayne counties on September 25, 2018, touching down at 8:45 PM EDT and reaching 250 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $300,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
September 25, 2018
Touchdown
8:45 PM EDT (00:45 UTC)
Lifted
8:52 PM EDT (00:52 UTC)
On the ground
7 minutes
Path length
4.1 miles (6.6 km)
Path width
250 yards (229 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$300,000
Counties
Monroe and Wayne counties
Touchdown point
42.036, -83.264
Lift-off point
42.087, -83.225
Record number
1809251845-01

The damage survey

38 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DTX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 97 mph.

  • Soft soil wind estimate of 60-65 mph
  • Soft soil wind estimated 60-65 mph
  • Loss of roofing material but no uplift of roof decking. Wind speed estimated at 100 mph.
  • Overhang above patio flipped onto roof of house. Wind speeds estimated.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A robust upper level trough approached the western Great Lakes on September 25, while low pressure developed over northern Lower Michigan along a cold front draped over the region. Ahead of this cold front, southwest winds brought warm and moist air (dew points exceeding 70 degrees in a few areas) to Southeast Michigan during the daytime and evening hours. This moist air mass paired with ample wind shear was sufficient to generate three tornadoes, impacting northern Monroe and southern Wayne counties.

The path began as weak EF0 damage, mainly to trees, until near Reinhardt and Heiss roads where it became a solid EF0. The tornado reached EF1 strength near Toben and South Stony Creek roads where roofing material was removed leaving exposed trusses and windows that were blown out of homes in the area. Garage doors were also blown in and many trees were damaged and uprooted. EF0 damage to siding and tree limbs was noted before the tornado dissipated near North Stoney Creek road and the railroad|tracks.

An EF0 tornado began in Berlin Township in Monroe County just south of Sigler Road on North Dixie Highway. The tornado moved northeast about 2 miles before exiting Monroe County in South Rockwood. The tornado continue for another 2 miles before dissipating in Wayne County. The tornado remained at EF0 strength throughout the entire path. Damage in Monroe County included multiple limbs and large trees downed.

This tornado began in Berlin Township in Monroe County about 2 miles south of South Rockwood. The tornado entered Wayne County in Rockwood and then continued for another 2 miles, before dissipating near the intersection of Meadow Lane and Ostreich Road near the border of Brownstown Charter Township and the city of Gibraltar. The tornado remained at EF0 strength throughout the entire path length. Damage included multiple limbs and large trees downed, along with missing shingles to a house near the end of the tornado path.

An EF1 tornado began just to the west of W Jefferson Ave and south of Gibraltar Road. The tornado remained at EF1 strength up to the Navarre Street and Young Drive area, before weakening to EF0 strength for the remainder of the path. The tornado then crossed the Detroit River before dissipating at the north end of Elba Island in Grosse Ile Township. Damage included multiple large limbs and trees downed, a roof partially blown off and power lines downed.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

27 minutes of warning. NWS DTX issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:18 UTC, 27 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:18 UTC01:00 UTCTornado WarningDTX
00:50 UTC00:57 UTCTornado WarningDTX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:38 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Detroit, MI (KDTX), 00:00Z

0.8 hours before the tornado, 75 km from the path. September 26, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2018-09-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 983 joules per kilogram, CIN -5, lifted condensation level 686 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2018-09-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 100 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 47 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
983 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1706 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
686 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
235 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.5
Supercell composite
3.4
0-3 km lapse rate
5.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Detroit, MI (KDTX), 12:00Z

11.2 hours after it, 75 km from the path. September 26, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2018-09-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2 joules per kilogram, CIN -6, lifted condensation level 710 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2018-09-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -128 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 58 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-6 J/kg
Surface CAPE
18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
710 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-128 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-120 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Detroit/Grosse I (ONZ), 8 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:55 UTC71.670180° 5 kt1011.2
23:15 UTC70.769.4160° 4 kt1011.2RA
23:35 UTC70.769.8170° 5 kt1010.8
23:55 UTC7169.8170° 6 kt1010.8-RA
00:15 UTC7169.8140° 7 kt1010.2-RA
00:35 UTC7269.8150° 9 kt161010.2-RA
00:55 UTC7169.8150° 15 kt181008.5+RA
01:15 UTC69.868.4310° 12 kt301010.2-RA
01:35 UTC70.269280° 7 kt1010.5-RA
01:55 UTC70.569250° 5 kt1011.2
02:15 UTC7169.4240° 6 kt1010.8
02:35 UTC71.269.4230° 5 kt1011.2

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 73 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:23 UTCTORNADO 14 Nw MonroeMonroe, MITORNADO TRAVELED 4.3 MILES AND CAUSED EF1 DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND GARAGE DOORS ON HOMES NEAR TOBEN AND SOUTH STONEY CREEK RDS IN FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP IN ADDITION TO MANY TREES THAT WERE DAMAGED OR UPROOTED. MAXIMUM
00:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Nnw MonroeMonroe, MIPOSSIBLE TORNADO. 3 HOMES SUSTAINED SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE NEAR TOBEN RD AND SOUTH STONEY CREEK RD. HOMES ARE UNINHABITABLE.
00:35 UTCHEAVY RAIN 2.292 E YpsilantiWashtenaw, MI13 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL. 1.16 INCHES MEASURED FROM 735PM TO 835PM.
00:42 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Nne MonroeMonroe, MIPOSSIBLE TORNADO. MONROE COUNTY CENTRAL DISPATCH REPORTED TREES AND WIRES DOWN IN FRENCHTOWN TOWNSHIP.
00:44 UTCTSTM WND DMG8 Nne MonroeMonroe, MIPOSSIBLE TORNADO. EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE BLOCKING ROADS NEAR LABO RD IN BERLIN TOWNSHIP.
00:45 UTCTORNADO 05 S Flat RockMonroe, MITORNADO TRAVELED 4 MILES FROM BERLIN TOWNSHIP IN MONROE COUNTY TO WAYNE COUNTY NEAR THE BORDER OF BROWNSTOWN TOWNSHIP AND THE CITY OF GIBRALTAR. EF0 DAMAGE WAS EXHIBITED WITH MULTIPLE LIMBS AND LARGE TREES DOWNED ALONG W
00:55 UTCTORNADO 14 Ese Flat RockWayne, MITORNADO TRAVELED 3.3 MILES FROM W JEFFERSON AVE / GIBRALTAR RD IN GIBRALTAR ACROSS THE DETROIT RIVER TO THE NORTH END OF ELBA ISLAND IN GROSSE ILE TOWNSHIP. EF1 DAMAGE SEEN AT THE BEGINNING OF ITS PATH, INCLUDING MULTIPL
00:56 UTCTSTM WND DMGGibralterWayne, MIPOSSIBLE TORNADO. MULTIPLE TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN GIBRALTER.
01:00 UTCHEAVY RAIN 2.55Garden CityWayne, MI13 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL. 1.35 INCHES MEASURED FROM 8PM TO 9PM.
02:23 UTCHEAVY RAIN 2.48WyandotteWayne, MIHEAVY RAINFALL OF 2.48 INCHES FELL ROUGHLY IN A 1 HR WINDOW FROM 830-930 PM. TOTAL RAINFALL OVER PAST 24-30 HRS WAS 3.46 INCHES.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2018 tornado in MichiganEvery tornado in Michigan since 1950Warnings in force in Michigan nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of September 25, 2018

7 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
September 251:26 PM CDTEF0Henry, IA0.320
September 251:30 PM CDTEF1Linn, IA0.120$1,000
September 251:53 PM CDTEF0Cedar, IA0.120$3,000
September 252:14 PM CDTEF1Henry, IA1.1200$2,000
September 258:23 PM EDTEF1Monroe, MI4.3520$500,000
September 258:55 PM EDTEF1Wayne, MI3.3200$500,000
September 2511:53 PM CDTEF1Fentress, TN0.550$15,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.