Tornadoes · United States · Michigan · 2016
EF0 tornado, Pinconning, Michigan, July 8, 2016
This EF0 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Bay County on July 8, 2016, touching down at 3:16 PM EDT and reaching 100 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $10,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- July 8, 2016
- Touchdown
- 3:16 PM EDT (19:16 UTC)
- Lifted
- 3:20 PM EDT (19:20 UTC)
- On the ground
- 4 minutes
- Path length
- 2.0 miles (3.2 km)
- Path width
- 100 yards (91 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $10,000
- County
- Bay County
- Touchdown point
- 43.886, -83.956
- Lift-off point
- 43.889, -83.916
- Record number
- 1607081316-01
The damage survey
8 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DTX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 73 mph.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
An unseasonably strong upper-level disturbance interacted with a warm, moist airmass to spark scattered thunderstorms across Southeast Michigan between 3 and 8 pm July 8. These storms became severe across the Saginaw Valley and Thumb regions, with hail up to golf ball size, scattered wind damage, and localized rainfall amounts near 3 inches. An EF0 tornado occurred near Pinconning. The storms weakened upon spreading southward, but re-intensified over the western suburbs of Detroit. A concentrated swath of wind damage occurred from western Wayne County through the Downriver area, with numerous reports of trees down.
Tornado began near the northern end of Elevator Road. The tornado uprooted pines and downed large tree limbs as it paralleled Lapan Road. At the end of Lapan Road, small trees were snapped, a roof was peeled off, and a house sustained broken windows, likely from being struck by roofing material. Estimated peak winds of 70 mph. Based on storm spotter pictures, the tornado likely continued into Saginaw Bay as a waterspout.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
30 minutes of warning. NWS DTX issued a tornado warning for this county at 18:46 UTC, 30 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 19:30 UTC.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 16:32 UTC and running to 22:41 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02:30 UTC | 02:53 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX |
| 16:32 UTC | 22:41 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | DTX |
| 18:29 UTC | 19:30 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX |
| 18:46 UTC | 19:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | DTX |
| 19:28 UTC | 19:58 UTC | Tornado Warning | DTX |
| 20:36 UTC | 21:06 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:42 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Detroit, MI (KDTX), 12:00Z
7.3 hours before the tornado, 136 km from the path. July 8, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 130 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -146 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 32 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 865 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 106 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 137 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.9 K/km
Detroit, MI (KDTX), 00:00Z
4.7 hours after it, 136 km from the path. July 9, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 159 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -77 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1076 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1392 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -7 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 62 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.2
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 7.1 K/km
The radar
The NCL Michigan radar (KAPX), 129 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:16 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:42 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 Nnw Loomis | Clare, MI | MULTIPLE TREES REPORTED DOWN IN SHERIDAN TWP EAST OF CLARE. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. |
| 19:00 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 1 Ne Bentley | Bay, MI | |
| 19:07 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | Standish | Arenac, MI | . |
| 19:07 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | Standish | Arenac, MI | |
| 19:15 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Sse Standish | Arenac, MI | SEVERAL TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN FROM WORTH TO NORTHEAST OF STANDISH. |
| 19:27 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 5 Ese Rhodes | Bay, MI | 18 INCH DIAMETER WILLOW BRANCH DOWN ON CODY ESTEY ROAD |
| 19:30 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 N Sanford | Midland, MI | TREES DOWN |
| 19:38 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Pinconning | Bay, MI | HEAVY RAIN. BREEZY. HAIL. |
| 19:42 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Ne Pinconning | Bay, MI | ROOF PEELED OFF, TREES SNAPPED, AND WINDOWS BLOWN OUT |
| 19:42 UTC | TSTM WND GST 64 | 2 Ene Pinconning | Bay, MI | SEVERE WIND AND NICKLE SIZE HAIL |
| 19:42 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | S Pinconning | Bay, MI | MARATHON GAS STATION |
| 19:58 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 1.1 | Pinconning | Bay, MI | OVER AN INCH OF RAIN IN LESS THAN AN HOUR. |
| 20:29 UTC | HAIL 1 | 2 Sse Bay City | Bay, MI | VIA FACEBOOK PHOTO |
| 20:40 UTC | HAIL 1 | Bay City | Bay, MI | |
| 20:41 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Sebewaing | Huron, MI | BIG TREES DOWN AND NUMEROUS WIRES DOWN SEBEWAING TO BAY PORT. VIA DISPATCH. |
| 20:44 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Pigeon | Huron, MI | LARGE BRANCHES DOWN. WIND GUST ESTIMATED AROUND 50 MPH. |
| 20:44 UTC | HAIL 1 | Bay City | Bay, MI | |
| 20:44 UTC | HAIL 1 | Bay City | Bay, MI |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in MichiganEvery tornado in Michigan since 1950Warnings in force in Michigan nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of July 8, 2016
2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.