Tornadoes · United States · Michigan · 2012
EF0 tornado, Yargerville to Lulu, Michigan, March 15, 2012
From Yargerville to Lulu, this EF0 tornado ran 0.6 miles across Monroe County on March 15, 2012, touching down at 6:50 PM EDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $50,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- March 15, 2012
- Touchdown
- 6:50 PM EDT (22:50 UTC)
- Lifted
- 6:52 PM EDT (22:52 UTC)
- On the ground
- 2 minutes
- Path length
- 0.6 miles (0.9 km)
- Path width
- 50 yards (46 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $50,000
- County
- Monroe County
- Touchdown point
- 41.862, -83.567
- Lift-off point
- 41.869, -83.561
- Record number
- 1203151650-01
What the Weather Service recorded
An amplified, upper level weather pattern allowed for an unseasonably warm and humid air mass to infiltrate the southern Great Lakes region. Highly anomalous for the month of March, surface dew points climbed into the lower 60 degree range across much of Southeastern Michigan. This rich moisture combined with an upper level disturbance tracking northward through Lower Michigan to fuel a long duration severe thunderstorm event across Southeastern Michigan. The primary severe weather type observed with these storms was very large hail, along with 3 tornadoes.
A tornado was confirmed in central Monroe county. The tornado was rated an EF0, with maximum wind speeds of 85 mph. The estimated path length of the tornado is 0.5 miles with a maximum width of 50 yards. Damage occurred along Ida Center Road just east of Lewis Rd. The damage consisted of siding and shingles blown off a house, a tipped car, a shed destroyed and trees blown down.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:28 UTC and running to 03:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:28 UTC | 03:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | DTX |
| 21:33 UTC | 23:00 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX |
| 21:45 UTC | 22:01 UTC | Tornado Warning | DTX |
| 22:58 UTC | 23:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | DTX |
| 23:47 UTC | 00:39 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX |
| 00:02 UTC | 04:00 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | DTX |
| 01:11 UTC | 02:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DTX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 20:04 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Detroit, MI (KDTX), 12:00Z
10.8 hours before the tornado, 96 km from the path. March 15, 2012.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2007 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -65 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 802 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 78 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 66 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.8 K/km
Detroit, MI (KDTX), 00:00Z
1.2 hours after it, 96 km from the path. March 16, 2012.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1537 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -34 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1463 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 984 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 143 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 177 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.2
- Supercell composite
- 11.2
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.7 K/km
The surface observations
Monroe (TTF), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:51 UTC | 75.2 | 62.6 | 190° 12 kt | 18 | 1014.6 | |
| 21:11 UTC | 73.4 | 62.6 | 180° 11 kt | 18 | 1014.2 | |
| 21:31 UTC | 71.6 | 62.6 | 180° 12 kt | 1014.6 | ||
| 21:51 UTC | 71.6 | 62.6 | 170° 7 kt | 1014.6 | ||
| 22:11 UTC | 69.8 | 62.6 | 160° 9 kt | 14 | 1014.2 | -RA |
| 22:31 UTC | 68 | 64.4 | 150° 6 kt | 1014.9 | -RA | |
| 22:52 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 140° 4 kt | 1014.9 | RA | |
| 23:12 UTC | 62.6 | 62.6 | 210° 13 kt | 20 | 1015.2 | +RA |
| 23:32 UTC | 60.8 | 53.6 | 100° 12 kt | 1015.2 | +RA | |
| 23:52 UTC | 62.6 | 55.4 | 100° 12 kt | 15 | 1016.3 | +RA |
| 00:12 UTC | 59 | 59 | 100° 14 kt | 1014.9 | -RA | |
| 00:32 UTC | 60.8 | 57.2 | 180° 5 kt | 1015.2 | -RA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Detroit radar (KDTX), 93 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:49 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:19 UTC | HAIL 1 | 4 Se Chelsea | Washtenaw, MI | |
| 21:40 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 2 Ne Dexter | Washtenaw, MI | |
| 21:40 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Ne Dexter | Washtenaw, MI | MULTIPLE REPORTS OF TORNADO ON THE GROUND WITH DAMAGE TO TREES, POWERLINES, AND A SHED |
| 21:42 UTC | HAIL 1.25 | 6 W Ann Arbor | Washtenaw, MI | |
| 22:00 UTC | HAIL 1.5 | Dexter | Washtenaw, MI | |
| 22:10 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | Ann Arbor | Washtenaw, MI | |
| 22:20 UTC | HAIL 1 | 1 W Ann Arbor | Washtenaw, MI | |
| 22:20 UTC | HAIL 1 | Ann Arbor | Washtenaw, MI | |
| 22:20 UTC | HAIL 2 | 2 S Ann Arbor | Washtenaw, MI | |
| 22:25 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Ann Arbor | Washtenaw, MI | |
| 22:25 UTC | HAIL 1 | 5 Sse Dundee | Monroe, MI | |
| 22:30 UTC | FLOOD | Ann Arbor | Washtenaw, MI | 3-4 FEET OF WATER COVERING SEVERAL ROADS IN THE ANN ARBOR AREA |
| 22:30 UTC | HAIL 1 | Ann Arbor | Washtenaw, MI | |
| 22:50 UTC | TORNADO | 2 Sse Ida | Monroe, MI | NUMEROUS REPORTS OF A TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR IDA |
| 22:51 UTC | TORNADO | 3 S Ida | Monroe, MI | A TORNADO WAS CONFIRMED IN CENTRAL MONROE COUNTY. THE TORNADO WAS RATED AN EF0...WITH MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OF 85 MPH. THE ESTIMATED PATH LENGTH OF THE TORNADO IS 0.5 MILES WITH A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 50 YARDS. DAMAGE OCCURRED |
| 22:53 UTC | HAIL 1 | 3 Ene Britton | Lenawee, MI | |
| 22:57 UTC | HAIL 1 | 4 Wsw Monroe | Monroe, MI | |
| 23:09 UTC | HAIL 1 | 1 N Dundee | Monroe, MI | |
| 00:06 UTC | HAIL 1.75 | 3 Ese Ottawa Lake | Monroe, MI | |
| 00:19 UTC | HAIL 1 | 1 N Temperance | Monroe, MI | |
| 01:17 UTC | HAIL 1 | 2 Se Blissfield | Lenawee, MI |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2012 tornado in MichiganEvery tornado in Michigan since 1950Warnings in force in Michigan nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of March 15, 2012
2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.