Tornadoes · United States · Michigan · 2012

EF0 tornado, Yargerville to Lulu, Michigan, March 15, 2012

From Yargerville to Lulu, this EF0 tornado ran 0.6 miles across Monroe County on March 15, 2012, touching down at 6:50 PM EDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $50,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
March 15, 2012
Touchdown
6:50 PM EDT (22:50 UTC)
Lifted
6:52 PM EDT (22:52 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
0.6 miles (0.9 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$50,000
County
Monroe County
Touchdown point
41.862, -83.567
Lift-off point
41.869, -83.561
Record number
1203151650-01

What the Weather Service recorded

An amplified, upper level weather pattern allowed for an unseasonably warm and humid air mass to infiltrate the southern Great Lakes region. Highly anomalous for the month of March, surface dew points climbed into the lower 60 degree range across much of Southeastern Michigan. This rich moisture combined with an upper level disturbance tracking northward through Lower Michigan to fuel a long duration severe thunderstorm event across Southeastern Michigan. The primary severe weather type observed with these storms was very large hail, along with 3 tornadoes.

A tornado was confirmed in central Monroe county. The tornado was rated an EF0, with maximum wind speeds of 85 mph. The estimated path length of the tornado is 0.5 miles with a maximum width of 50 yards. Damage occurred along Ida Center Road just east of Lewis Rd. The damage consisted of siding and shingles blown off a house, a tipped car, a shed destroyed and trees blown down.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 20:28 UTC and running to 03:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:28 UTC03:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchDTX
21:33 UTC23:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTX
21:45 UTC22:01 UTCTornado WarningDTX
22:58 UTC23:45 UTCTornado WarningDTX
23:47 UTC00:39 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTX
00:02 UTC04:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningDTX
01:11 UTC02:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 20:04 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Detroit, MI (KDTX), 12:00Z

10.8 hours before the tornado, 96 km from the path. March 15, 2012.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2012-03-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2007 joules per kilogram, CIN -65, lifted condensation level 802 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2012-03-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 78 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 18 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2007 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-65 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
802 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
78 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
66 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Detroit, MI (KDTX), 00:00Z

1.2 hours after it, 96 km from the path. March 16, 2012.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2012-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1537 joules per kilogram, CIN -34, lifted condensation level 984 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2012-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 143 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 40 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1537 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1463 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
984 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
143 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
11.2
0-3 km lapse rate
6.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Monroe (TTF), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
20:51 UTC75.262.6190° 12 kt181014.6
21:11 UTC73.462.6180° 11 kt181014.2
21:31 UTC71.662.6180° 12 kt1014.6
21:51 UTC71.662.6170° 7 kt1014.6
22:11 UTC69.862.6160° 9 kt141014.2-RA
22:31 UTC6864.4150° 6 kt1014.9-RA
22:52 UTC66.266.2140° 4 kt1014.9RA
23:12 UTC62.662.6210° 13 kt201015.2+RA
23:32 UTC60.853.6100° 12 kt1015.2+RA
23:52 UTC62.655.4100° 12 kt151016.3+RA
00:12 UTC5959100° 14 kt1014.9-RA
00:32 UTC60.857.2180° 5 kt1015.2-RA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 93 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:49 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:19 UTCHAIL 14 Se ChelseaWashtenaw, MI
21:40 UTCHAIL 1.752 Ne DexterWashtenaw, MI
21:40 UTCTORNADO2 Ne DexterWashtenaw, MIMULTIPLE REPORTS OF TORNADO ON THE GROUND WITH DAMAGE TO TREES, POWERLINES, AND A SHED
21:42 UTCHAIL 1.256 W Ann ArborWashtenaw, MI
22:00 UTCHAIL 1.5DexterWashtenaw, MI
22:10 UTCHAIL 0.75Ann ArborWashtenaw, MI
22:20 UTCHAIL 11 W Ann ArborWashtenaw, MI
22:20 UTCHAIL 1Ann ArborWashtenaw, MI
22:20 UTCHAIL 22 S Ann ArborWashtenaw, MI
22:25 UTCHAIL 0.88Ann ArborWashtenaw, MI
22:25 UTCHAIL 15 Sse DundeeMonroe, MI
22:30 UTCFLOODAnn ArborWashtenaw, MI3-4 FEET OF WATER COVERING SEVERAL ROADS IN THE ANN ARBOR AREA
22:30 UTCHAIL 1Ann ArborWashtenaw, MI
22:50 UTCTORNADO2 Sse IdaMonroe, MINUMEROUS REPORTS OF A TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR IDA
22:51 UTCTORNADO3 S IdaMonroe, MIA TORNADO WAS CONFIRMED IN CENTRAL MONROE COUNTY. THE TORNADO WAS RATED AN EF0...WITH MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OF 85 MPH. THE ESTIMATED PATH LENGTH OF THE TORNADO IS 0.5 MILES WITH A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 50 YARDS. DAMAGE OCCURRED
22:53 UTCHAIL 13 Ene BrittonLenawee, MI
22:57 UTCHAIL 14 Wsw MonroeMonroe, MI
23:09 UTCHAIL 11 N DundeeMonroe, MI
00:06 UTCHAIL 1.753 Ese Ottawa LakeMonroe, MI
00:19 UTCHAIL 11 N TemperanceMonroe, MI
01:17 UTCHAIL 12 Se BlissfieldLenawee, MI

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2012 tornado in MichiganEvery tornado in Michigan since 1950Warnings in force in Michigan nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 15, 2012

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 155:18 PM EDTEF3Washtenaw, MI7.6800$12 million
March 156:49 PM EDTEF2Lapeer, MI4.6400$500,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.