Tornadoes · United States · Maryland · 2018

EF2 tornado, Long Corner to Cover, Maryland, November 2, 2018

From Long Corner to Cover, this EF2 tornado ran 5.5 miles across Howard and Carroll counties on November 2, 2018, touching down at 8:19 PM EDT and reaching 400 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $900,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
November 2, 2018
Touchdown
8:19 PM EDT (00:19 UTC)
Lifted
8:26 PM EDT (00:26 UTC)
On the ground
7 minutes
Path length
5.5 miles (8.8 km)
Path width
400 yards (366 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$900,000
Counties
Howard and Carroll counties
Touchdown point
39.348, -77.171
Lift-off point
39.405, -77.109
Record number
1811021819-01

The damage survey

12 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LWX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 100 mph.

  • Highs Diary Story canopy partially blown off
  • Home Goods and TJMaxx (drone footage available)

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A dynamic low pressure system tracked through the Mid-Atlantic states on the evening of November 2nd. A squall line developed along the cold front, and while instability was limited, deep and low level shear were strong enough to support the development of a quasi-linear convective system. The most intense portions of the system were able to generate localized severe damaging winds and tornadoes.

A tornado touched down in extreme northwestern Howard County, Maryland, approximately 1 mile south of Interstate 70/US-40/Baltimore National Pike at 8:19 PM EDT. Several wooden power poles were snapped along Penn Shop Road just east of MD-27/Ridge Road, indicative of winds over 100 MPH. The path continued northeastward into Carroll County.

A tornado moved northeastward from Howard County and entered Carroll County around 8:20 PM EDT on the evening of November 2nd. Several trees were downed along Bennett Road. Numerous trees were downed in the Pheasant Ridge community just south of MD-144/Frederick Road, and several mobile homes were heavily damaged. Several power poles were snapped along MD-144/Frederick Road.||As the tornado crossed Interstate 70/US-40/Baltimore National Pike, numerous trees and branches were downed in the roadway and on vehicles, which appeared to have been pulled off the roadway by the winds. No injuries were reported.||The tornado proceeded to move into the retail area of Mt. Airy, where a canopy over the gas pumps at High's Dairy Store was partially torn off, and the TJ Maxx roof was lifted up and partially removed. There were also numerous trees snapped and uprooted in a convergent manner behind the shopping center to near the Mt. Airy water tower. In the immediate path, virtually no trees were left undamaged, indicative of winds over 100 MPH.||The tornado continued northward from this point, where several outbuildings at the Knills Farm Market just east of MD-27/Ridge Road were severely damaged or completely destroyed, including a metal silo which twisted and collapsed. Nearby along Watersville Road, several more power poles were snapped purely from wind (not from trees falling on power lines). On either side of the farm, virtually all trees in the tornado's path were downed in a convergent manner, including at a residence along Watersville Road, with some showing signs of bark being stripped by the wind. This was one area where maximum winds are estimated to have been near 120 mph.||The tornado continued northeastward, with several residences experiencing shingle and roof damage/removal along Arrowwood Circle, and downed numerous trees and power lines, consistent with winds around 90 MPH.||Numerous hardwood trees, virtually all in the tornado's path, were snapped with signs of stripped bark along the 6000 block of Runkles Road. At Snell's Greenhouses, water was completely removed from a pond, and several greenhouses were destroyed. A nearby home weather station in the tornado's path just to the northeast measured a wind gust of 112 mph. Based on this, it is likely the tornado's maximum winds again approached 120 mph in this area. This occurred at around 825 PM EDT, when the FAA's Terminal Doppler Weather Radar near Washington Dulles International Airport showed it's strongest rotational signature.||The last evidence of tornadic damage was observed on Gillis Falls Road where a few trees were uprooted in convergent fashion just east of Runkles Road. Radar imagery from the FAA's Terminal Doppler Weather Radar near Washington Dulles International Airport showed the tornadic velocity couplet dissipate just north of Gillis Ford Road at about 826 PM EDT.||The damage estimate was provided by Carroll County Emergency Management.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:58 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 00:00Z

0.3 hours before the tornado, 52 km from the path. November 3, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2018-11-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 34 joules per kilogram, CIN -22, lifted condensation level 557 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 00:00Z on 2018-11-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 381 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 70 knots.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
34 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Surface CAPE
196 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
557 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
381 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
603 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2
0-3 km lapse rate
5.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 12:00Z

11.7 hours after it, 52 km from the path. November 3, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-11-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -98707, lifted condensation level 997 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2018-11-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -332 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 123 knots.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-98707 J/kg
Surface CAPE
6 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
997 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
123 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-332 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Frederick Municipal Apt (FDK), 21 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:47 UTC66.264.4160° 3 kt1004.1RA
23:48 UTC64.464.4330° 5 kt1002.4+RA
00:48 UTC57.255.4330° 8 kt161004.1RA
01:00 UTC55.453.6330° 7 kt1004.4RA
01:20 UTC55.453.60° 0 kt1005.1RA
01:40 UTC55.453.60° 0 kt1005.4RA
02:00 UTC55.453.650° 5 kt1004.7

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 54 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:16 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:18 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nne FriendshipHoward, MDMULTIPLE TREES DOWN NEAR THE 19000 BLOCK OF FOREST RD.
00:18 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ssw Mount AiryHoward, MDSTRUCTURAL DAMAGE REPORTED AT THE 1000 BLOCK OF RIDGE RD.
00:19 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S Mount AiryHoward, MDMULTIPLE POWER LINES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF PENN SHOP RD. AND LONG CORNER RD.
00:19 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S Mount AiryHoward, MDTREE DOWN AT THE 800 BLOCK OF BENNETT RD.
00:19 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ssw Mount AiryHoward, MDMULTIPLE TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF PENN SHOP RD. AND RIDGE RD.
00:20 UTCTORNADO1 E Mount AiryCarroll, MDEF-1 TORNADO WITH A START LOCATION IN EXTREME NORTHWEST HOWARD COUNTY AT APPROXIMATELY 8:20 PM EDT. THE TORNADO THEN MOVED RAPIDLY TO THE NORTH ACROSS INTERSTATE 70, WITH THE MAJORITY OF THE DAMAGE IN MT. AIRY IN CARROLL
00:22 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ese Mount AiryCarroll, MDNUMEROUS TREES DOWN. ROOF DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS.
00:53 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 W HighlandHoward, MDTREE DOWN AT THE 7000 BLOCK OF MINK HOLLOW RD.
00:54 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Se DaytonHoward, MDMULTIPLE POWER LINES DOWN NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF TEN OAKS RD. AND LINDEN CHURCH RD.
01:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ssw MarriottsvilleHoward, MDLARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD NEAR THE 1200 BLOCK OF MARRIOTTSVILLE RD.
01:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 711 Sw HampsteadCarroll, MD
01:30 UTCHEAVY RAIN 1.753 Sw WaynesboroFranklin, PA3 HOUR TOTAL.
01:42 UTCTORNADOW BaltimoreBaltimore City, MD*** 2 FATAL, 1 INJ *** EF-1 TORNADO START LOCATION IN THE CITY OF BALTIMORE NEAR THE AMAZON DISTRIBUTION FACILITY AND ENDING AT THE HOLABIRD EAST APARTMENTS IN DUNDALK MD IN BALTIMORE COUNTY. PATH LENGTH 2.5 MILES WITH N
01:44 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ene Fells PointBaltimore City, MDPARTIAL BUILDING COLLAPSE AT WAREHOUSE AT AMAZON FACILITY. SEVERAL TRAILERS OVERTURNED.
01:44 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Wnw DundalkBaltimore, MD*** 1 INJ *** ROOF DAMAGE TO APARTMENT BUILDINGS ON GEORGES COURT. 42 PEOPLE DISPLACED.
01:44 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Wnw DundalkBaltimore, MDROOF DAMAGE TO HOMES
01:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Wnw FallstonHarford, MDTREES DOWN.
02:30 UTCMARINE TSTM WIND 391 W Baltimore Inner HarBaltimore City, MD

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2018 tornado in MarylandEvery tornado in Maryland since 1950Warnings in force in Maryland nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of November 2, 2018

7 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
November 23:13 PM EDTEF1Pinellas, FL1.7751$300,000
November 23:17 PM EDTEF1Pasco, FL0.350$500,000
November 23:22 PM EDTEF1Hernando, FL0.7100$500,000
November 23:24 PM EDTEF1Pasco, FL0.8125$27,000
November 24:22 PM EDTEF1Pasco, FL1.275$100,000
November 27:14 PM EDTEF2Halifax, VA1.7300$500,000
November 29:42 PM EDTEF1City of Baltimore, MD2.715021$15,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.