Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2021

EF1 tornado, Cumberland City to Cabell, Kentucky, February 28, 2021

From Cumberland City to Cabell, this EF1 tornado ran 3.7 miles across Clinton and Wayne counties on February 28, 2021, touching down at 8:18 PM CST and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $40,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
February 28, 2021
Touchdown
8:18 PM CST (02:18 UTC)
Lifted
8:23 PM CST (02:23 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
3.7 miles (5.9 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$40,000
Counties
Clinton and Wayne counties
Touchdown point
36.792, -85.087
Lift-off point
36.794, -85.020
Record number
2102282018-01

The damage survey

18 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS JKL and NWS LMK, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.

  • Debris from two large barns and our buildings thrown 400 yards down wind to East Northeast
  • This was in along brand new well built barn and moved 30 yards and turned around 180°
  • Two by tens Impaled in ground

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A stalled frontal boundary brought waves of heavy rainfall to central Kentucky from February 26 through February 28. This caused record rainfall, isolated severe winds, and even a tornado. As a result, Bowling Green set a February daily rainfall record with 5.11 on the 28th. The severe winds brought down some trees and a power pole, but the most property damage came from a brief EF1 tornado.

In the midst of a widespread heavy rainfall event, a short-lived tornado produced damage in portions of Clinton and Wayne Counties in southern Kentucky. ||Thunderstorms were embedded in the heavier rainfall throughout the day and evening. A line of storms developed across south-central Kentucky, and began to bow out as it moved eastward across Clinton County. The bow then showed signs of breaking, which results in heightened rotational potential. Damage was then reported in both Clinton and Wayne Counties by local Emergency Management. This prompted the Louisville office to conduct a storm survey. ||From this survey, it was concluded that a short-lived EF1 tornado tracked across portions of Clinton County (Louisville NWS County Warning Area) and then briefly into Wayne County, before dissipating. Debris from Clinton County was also carried over into Wayne County.

The National Weather Service in conjunction with Clinton County Emergency Management conducted the storm damage assessment survey. ||The initial tornado touchdown was on the western edge of Cumberland City, approximately 5 miles northeast of Albany. There were several snapped trees along with roof damage at several homes, before more extensive structural damage occurred at 5250 Hwy 558.||Several large barns were destroyed or had at least 70% of their walls blown out. A brand new (1 month old) 64' x 56' barn was totally destroyed. The debris from the barn was thrown over a quarter of a mile down wind to the northeast. Another 60' x 43' barn that had recently been remodeled and upgraded had three walls blown out. A Kubota UTV weighing 2500 pounds was moved 30 yards and rotated 180 degrees. There was also extensive snapping and uprooting of trees. Winds were estimated to be 110 mph.||Farther to the northeast, a large 50' x 60' barn was destroyed, and debris went at least a half of a mile down wind. A mobile home along Hwy 829 was lifted off its foundation, and there were several trees uprooted and snapped.||The tornado crossed 829 and then crossed 1009 with extensive tree damage along both sides of the road. A large barn on 1009 had two walls blown out with debris thrown over a half of a mile downwind into Wayne county.||The tornado continued into far western portions of Wayne county.||Clinton County Emergency Management Director Lucas Abner and Dr. Bill Fountain, the Extension Specialist from the University of Kentucky Extension helped with the survey.

The tornado narrowed as it crossed from Clinton County (Louisville, KY County Warning Area) into Wayne County, with some straight line wind damage noted. The winds|generally were from the west to southwest surrounding the tornado.|The straight line winds of 65 to 75 mph damaged 2 barns.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 01:11 UTC and running to 02:51 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:20 UTC04:15 UTCFlood WarningLMK
01:11 UTC02:51 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchLMK
01:59 UTC06:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningLMK
02:14 UTC02:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMK
06:01 UTC15:00 UTCFlood WarningLMK
14:55 UTC02:45 UTCFlood WarningLMK

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:55 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

2.3 hours before the tornado, 157 km from the path. March 1, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2021-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 419 joules per kilogram, CIN -8, lifted condensation level 979 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2021-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 220 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 66 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
419 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Surface CAPE
902 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
979 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
66 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
220 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
278 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
4.5
0-3 km lapse rate
6.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

9.7 hours after it, 157 km from the path. March 1, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-03-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -108066, lifted condensation level 1261 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-03-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -154 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 70 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-108066 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1261 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
70 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-154 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-219 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 148 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:20 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:30 UTCFLOOD4 Se EllaRussell, KYWATER OVER THE ROADS IN SEVERAL PARTS OF RUSSELL COUNTY. SOUTH HWY 76 IS FLOODED IN SEVERAL PLACES.
00:48 UTCFLOODEdmontonMetcalfe, KY
01:40 UTCFLASH FLOODTompkinsvilleMonroe, KYWATER OVER WATT BRIDGE ON KY 163.
01:44 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N TompkinsvilleMonroe, KYONE TREE DOWN.
01:52 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ene MarrowboneCumberland, KYHWY 90 W HAD A ROAD CLOSURE DUE TO A DOWNED UTILITY POLE.
02:18 UTCTSTM WND DMGCumberland CityClinton, KYREPORTED SEVERAL STRUCTURES DAMAGED ALONG HWY 558. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
02:18 UTCTORNADO1 Wsw Cumberland CityClinton, KYEF1 TORNADO ON THE GROUND FOR 4 MINUTES, CONTINUING INTO FAR WESTERN PORTIONS OF WAYNE COUNTY. IT CAUSED SEVERAL UPROOTED AND OR SNAPPED TREES AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO SEVERAL HOMES AND LARGE BARNS.
02:22 UTCTORNADO3 Ssw CabellWayne, KYTHE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SURVEY CONCLUDED THAT A TORNADO TRACKED OUT OF CLINTON COUNTY AND BRIEFLY INTO WAYNE COUNTY, BEFORE DISSIPATING. DEBRIS FROM CLINTON COUNTY WAS CARRIED OVER INTO WAYNE COUNTY. THE TORNADO NAR
02:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nw ZulaWayne, KYSUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE ON 1009 N ABOUT 2.5 MILES DOWN FROM HIGHWAY 90. POSSIBLE TORNADO.
02:30 UTCFLASH FLOOD1 Nw MarrowboneCumberland, KYFLOODING ON GRAY GAP ROAD AT TURNER BRANCH ROAD.
02:43 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw Oil ValleyWayne, KYTOP PORTION OF HOUSE BLOWN OFF. REPORTS OF A POSSIBLE TORNADO.
04:00 UTCFLASH FLOODLibertyCasey, KYREPORTS OF SPOTS ALONG US 127 THAT ARE IMPASSABLE DUE TO HIGH FAST MOVING WATER. KY70 E AT 198 REPORTED AS IMPASSABLE. MULTIPLE BUSINESSES IN LIBERTY FLOODED WITH 3+ FEET OF WATER. FIRE AT FLOODED BUSINESS IN LIBERTY. RE

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of February 28, 2021

1 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
February 286:15 PM CSTEF1Caddo Parish, LA1.5165$30,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.