Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2020

EF1 tornado, Crofton to Fruit Hill, Kentucky, March 2, 2020

From Crofton to Fruit Hill, this EF1 tornado ran 5.5 miles across Christian County on March 2, 2020, touching down at 8:00 PM CST and reaching 400 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $80,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 2, 2020
Touchdown
8:00 PM CST (02:00 UTC)
Lifted
8:06 PM CST (02:06 UTC)
On the ground
6 minutes
Path length
5.5 miles (8.9 km)
Path width
400 yards (366 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$80,000
County
Christian County
Touchdown point
37.033, -87.501
Lift-off point
37.028, -87.401
Record number
2003022000-01

The damage survey

16 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 94 mph.

  • Empty grain bin lofted a couple hundred feet
  • farm grain structure severely damaged
  • Several large trees uprooted
  • Portable metal garage lofted a couple hundred yards to the SSW.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Severe thunderstorms moved across the region on the evening of March 2. A long-track supercell thunderstorm crossed the Mississippi River from the Cairo, IL area. This storm proceeded east across Paducah and the Kentucky Lake region, where it produced a microburst and accumulating large hail. As the storm crossed the Pennyrile region, it produced an EF-1 tornado just south of Crofton, KY, in Christian County. Later on in the evening and overnight, disorganized clusters of thunderstorms produced a few isolated severe weather reports. This outbreak of storms occurred in a strong west-southwest flow ahead of a 500 mb shortwave over the Plains states. A southwest wind flow up to 30 knot at 850 mb provided some moisture for the storms. At the surface, a low pressure center moved east-northeast from the Ozarks to the lower Ohio Valley. A frontal boundary extending east-northeast from the low provided a focus for the storms.

A National Weather Service damage survey was conducted along the path of this tornado. At least four farm structures were damaged or destroyed, along with a portable garage and a regular constructed garage. Several homes lost siding or shingles. A couple dozen trees were uprooted. One home had six windows shattered or blown out. A cluster of damage survey points was in an area of structures along U.S. Highway 41 just south of Crofton. The tornado was witnessed by a meteorologist. Peak winds were estimated near 90 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

40 minutes of warning. NWS PAH issued a tornado warning for this county at 01:20 UTC, 40 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 02:00 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 23:21 UTC and running to 07:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
23:21 UTC07:00 UTCTornado WatchPAH
01:13 UTC02:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAH
01:20 UTC02:00 UTCTornado WarningPAH
01:55 UTC02:30 UTCTornado WarningPAH
02:22 UTC02:31 UTCTornado WarningPAH
05:11 UTC11:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningPAH
08:14 UTC18:15 UTCFlash Flood WarningPAH
09:10 UTC11:46 UTCFlood WarningPAH
11:46 UTC17:25 UTCFlood WarningPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 01:02 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

2.0 hours before the tornado, 126 km from the path. March 3, 2020.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2020-03-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 346 joules per kilogram, CIN -14, lifted condensation level 559 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2020-03-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 183 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 47 knots.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
346 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-14 J/kg
Surface CAPE
432 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
559 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
183 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
230 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.5
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

10.0 hours after it, 126 km from the path. March 3, 2020.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2020-03-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -82703, lifted condensation level 1286 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2020-03-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -50 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 72 knots.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-82703 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1286 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Greenville (M21), 34 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:15 UTC6052.7150° 4 kt1007.5
00:35 UTC6052.7150° 7 kt1007.1
00:55 UTC6052.5160° 6 kt1006.8
01:15 UTC59.452.7160° 6 kt1007.1
01:35 UTC5953.2150° 7 kt1006.4
01:55 UTC58.653.8140° 7 kt1006.1-RA
02:15 UTC5855220° 5 kt1007.1RA
02:35 UTC56.356.3150° 9 kt1005.8RA
02:55 UTC56.356.3140° 8 kt1005.8RA
03:15 UTC5656140° 4 kt1005.8+RA
03:35 UTC55.455.4130° 5 kt1005.8
03:55 UTC54.354.3160° 4 kt1005.8

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Ft Campbell radar (KHPX), 36 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 01:58 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:40 UTCHAIL 1EddyvilleLyon, KY
00:55 UTCTSTM WND DMGKuttawaLyon, KYNEW MARINA WAS MOVED 20 FEET BY THUNDERSTORM WINDS. A BOAT DOCKED IN THE MARINA WAS DAMAGED. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
01:05 UTCHAIL 13 Nnw CroftonChristian, KY.
01:05 UTCHAIL 13 Nnw CroftonChristian, KY
01:32 UTCHAIL 0.751 Sw Dawson SpringsHopkins, KYREPORT FROM MPING: DIME (0.75 IN.).
02:00 UTCTORNADO1 Sw CroftonChristian, KYNWS STORM SURVEY FOUND AN EF-1 TORNADO WITH ESTIMATED PEAK WINDS OF 90 MPH OCCURRED SOUTH OF CROFTON. THE TORNADO BEGAN AT 800 PM AND ENDED AT 806 PM. THE MAXIMUM TORNADO WITH WAS 400 YARDS, AND THE PATH LENGTH WAS 5.5 M
02:02 UTCHAIL 11 S CroftonChristian, KY
02:02 UTCTORNADO1 S CroftonChristian, KYTORNADO WITNESSED BY METEOROLOGIST JUST SOUTH OF CROFTON. CARPORT DESTROYED. POSSIBLE ROOF AND SIGN DAMAGE.
03:17 UTCHAIL 15 Wsw Sugar GroveButler, KYNEAR DAVIS CROSSROADS. HAIL UP TO QUARTER SIZE, BUT DIME SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND.
03:35 UTCHAIL 1HansonHopkins, KY

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2020 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 2, 2020

5 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 210:12 PM CSTEF1Gibson, TN7.3100$250,000
March 210:15 PM CSTEF0New Madrid, MO3.150
March 210:41 PM CSTEF2Carroll, TN14.8100$500,000
March 211:05 PM CSTEF2Benton, TN18.725012$1.1 million
March 211:42 PM CSTEF0Humphreys, TN4.850$25,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.