Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2020

EF1 tornado, Marshes Siding, Kentucky, March 12, 2020

This EF1 tornado ran 1.7 miles across McCreary County on March 12, 2020, touching down at 10:07 PM EDT and reaching 175 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $150,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 12, 2020
Touchdown
10:07 PM EDT (02:07 UTC)
Lifted
10:09 PM EDT (02:09 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
1.7 miles (2.7 km)
Path width
175 yards (160 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$150,000
Crop damage
$55,000
County
McCreary County
Touchdown point
36.730, -84.480
Lift-off point
36.730, -84.450
Record number
2003122007-01

The damage survey

1 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS JKL, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Severe thunderstorms downed trees and powerlines, while also causing damage to some buildings and homes across McCreary County during the late evening hours of March 12th.||One of these storms produced an EF-1 tornado just north of downtown Whitley City. A supercell thunderstorm tracked across McCreary County during the late evening hours of March 12th. A National Weather Service Jackson survey team found intermittent damage along the entire path. There were three distinct areas of damage where the tornado touched down. On Chitwood Ridge Rd, several hardwood trees were snapped off. There was also a house that sustained some roof damage. The next area of tornado damage was on the northern side of Whitley City along north Highway 1651, where more hardwood trees were snapped off along with some damage to a few two-story buildings. Finally, the third area of tornado damage was northeast of Whitley City on Stephens Farm Rd. A tree landed on a house, leading to major damage. There were also several more houses with roof damage and additional trees snapped off.||Large hail was also reported in McCreary and Wayne Counties as these strong to severe thunderstorms moved through. Additionally, periodic heavy and training rainfall led to flooding in portions of Floyd and Pike Counties as localized amounts of 2-3 inches fell early on March 13th. Floyd County was forced to declare a State of Emergency as low-lying portions of Abbott Creek along Kentucky Highway 1427 and Middle Creek Levisa Fork along Kentucky Highway 114 were hit hard.

A supercell thunderstorm tracked across McCreary County during the late evening hours of March 12th. A National Weather Service Jackson survey team found intermittent damage along the entire path. There were three distinct areas of damage where the tornado touched down. On Chitwood Ridge Rd, several hardwood trees were snapped off. There was also a house with some roof damage.||The next area of tornado damage was on the northern side of Whitley City along north Highway 1651, where more hardwood trees were snapped off along with some damage to a few two-story buildings.||Finally, the third area of tornado damage was northeast of Whitley City on Stephens Farm Rd. A tree landed on a house, leading to major damage. There were also several more houses with roof damage and additional trees snapped off.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 22:10 UTC and running to 03:26 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:10 UTC03:26 UTCTornado WatchJKL
02:02 UTC02:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKL
02:29 UTC02:35 UTCTornado WarningJKL
03:01 UTC06:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryJKL

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:59 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

2.1 hours before the tornado, 202 km from the path. March 13, 2020.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2020-03-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 130 joules per kilogram, CIN -136, lifted condensation level 1005 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2020-03-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 550 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 54 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
130 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-136 J/kg
Surface CAPE
420 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1005 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
550 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
879 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.9
0-3 km lapse rate
5.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

9.9 hours after it, 202 km from the path. March 13, 2020.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2020-03-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -96340, lifted condensation level 759 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2020-03-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -9 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 63 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-96340 J/kg
Surface CAPE
9 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
759 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-9 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Williamsburg (BYL), 25 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:15 UTC62.659140° 4 kt1008.5
00:35 UTC62.659140° 7 kt1008.1
00:55 UTC62.659140° 6 kt1007.5
01:15 UTC62.660.8130° 8 kt1007.5
01:35 UTC62.660.8150° 9 kt1006.8
01:55 UTC62.660.820° 4 kt1007.5
02:15 UTC62.662.6360° 6 kt1008.1
02:35 UTC60.860.8170° 11 kt1008.1
02:55 UTC60.860.8350° 6 kt1009.1
03:15 UTC60.860.80° 0 kt1009.1
03:35 UTC60.860.80° 0 kt1009.8
03:55 UTC60.860.80° 0 kt1010.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 114 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 02:05 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
01:22 UTCTSTM WND DMGCumberland CityClinton, KYTREES DOWN ON MILL ROAD.
01:35 UTCHAIL 0.751 Se MonticelloWayne, KYREPORT FROM MPING: DIME-SIZE HAIL (0.75 IN.).
01:38 UTCFLASH FLOODCumberland CityClinton, KYFLASH FLOODING REPORTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF COUNTY AND STATE ROADS IN THE NORTHERN PART OF CLINTON COUNTY.
02:03 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw Whitley CityMccreary, KYTREES DOWN ON HOLLAWAY CEMETERY RD.
02:03 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ssw StearnsMccreary, KYTREES DOWN ON JOURNEYS END RD.
02:03 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sw Whitley CityMccreary, KYTREES DOWN ON PINE RIDGE RD.
02:03 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 E Whitley CityMccreary, KYTREES DOWN ON ROSE OF SHARON DR.
02:07 UTCTORNADO1 Nw Whitley CityMccreary, KYEF-1 TORNADO CONFIRMED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURVEY.
02:20 UTCHAIL 11 Sw HollyhillMccreary, KY2-3 MINUTES OF QUARTER-SIZE HAIL. NUMEROUS LIMBS DOWN.
02:21 UTCHAIL 0.88StearnsMccreary, KYNICKEL-SIZED HAIL. REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
02:29 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ese Marshes SidingMccreary, KYHEAVY DEBRIS EAST OF TRAIN TRACKS AT MEDICAL PLAZA. RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
02:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 E Whitley CityMccreary, KYHOUSES DAMAGED IN THE WILLIAMSBURG STREET/ TROOPER ISLAND AREA. LIVE WIRES DOWN. REPORT RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
02:34 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ne Whitley CityMccreary, KYTREES DOWN ON JENNYS BRANCH RD. REPORTED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2020 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 12, 2020

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 125:17 PM CDTEF0Carter, MO0.475$5,000
March 125:20 PM CDTEF0Butler, MO0.6100$5,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.