Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2018

EF0 tornado, Belltown to Calvary, Kentucky, November 5, 2018

From Belltown to Calvary, this EF0 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Marion County on November 5, 2018, touching down at 11:40 PM EST and reaching 60 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $35,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
November 5, 2018
Touchdown
11:40 PM EST (04:40 UTC)
Lifted
11:42 PM EST (04:42 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
2.0 miles (3.2 km)
Path width
60 yards (55 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$35,000
County
Marion County
Touchdown point
37.525, -85.305
Lift-off point
37.526, -85.269
Record number
1811052240-01

The damage survey

18 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LMK, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 85 mph.

  • small trees (Bradford Pears?) snapped
  • multiple small tree trunks snapped (pears)
  • Older wooden barn flattened, collapsing to the SE. Cyclonic debris pattern of roofing debris wraps around to the NE-N-NW.
  • antenna tower collapsed to the NNE; no evidence of being struck by any debris.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A potent low pressure system moved through the Midwest Monday, November 5, 2018. Showers and thunderstorms formed out ahead of the cold front trailing from the center of the system. Central Kentucky saw mainly heavy rain, but as the warm front lifted into southern Kentucky, a few storms became severe, causing damage. Three weak tornadoes were confirmed. Flooding was a minor issue as well, as saturated soils continued to allow water to pool from heavy rain events.

This very small tornado touched down on top of an older wooden barn on state highway 289 just south of the intersection with U.S. Highway 68. It flattened the structure, collapsing it to the southeast, while the metal roofing was distributed in a circulating pattern around it - from southeast to northeast to northwest, with the bulk being to the northeast. A 3-legged TV tower next to the adjacent home was crumpled to the north-northeast. Other than mud spattering from the south-southwest on the back corner of the brick one-story home, no other evidence of wind was observed, as no shingles were damaged.||The tornado immediately lifted over the home and nearby trees, then passed over a wooded area and open farmland, setting back down in a subdivision on the west side of New Calvary Road, about a mile east. Several small tree trunks were snapped in the subdivision, but no visible structural damage occurred. The tiny twister then continued to the northeast, causing other minor tree damage to the south of Probus Lane. The last tree damage was observed near a small pond near the end of Probus Lane. Maximum wind speeds were estimated at 80-85 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 04:31 UTC and running to 05:10 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
03:00 UTC09:10 UTCFlood WatchLMK
04:31 UTC05:10 UTCTornado WatchLMK
04:41 UTC05:00 UTCTornado WarningLMK

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:40 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

4.7 hours before the tornado, 194 km from the path. November 6, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2018-11-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -87561, lifted condensation level 711 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2018-11-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 521 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 75 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87561 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
711 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
75 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
521 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
667 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

7.3 hours after it, 194 km from the path. November 6, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-11-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -94642, lifted condensation level 880 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-11-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -99 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 90 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-94642 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
880 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
90 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-139 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 76 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 04:41 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
04:38 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sse HobsonTaylor, KYRELAYED REPORT ON DRAGWAY LANE, WITH PICTURES, OF A SOFTWOOD TREE DOWN ON A VEHICLE AND ANOTHER TREE SPLIT. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
04:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nne New MarketMarion, KYBARN DESTROYED ALONG HWY 289. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
04:40 UTCTORNADO2 Nne New MarketMarion, KYAN EF-0 TORNADO 2 MILES LONG AND 60 YARDS WIDE WITH MAX WIND SPEEDS OF 80-85 MPH TOUCHED DOWN SOUTHWEST OF LEBANON, KY DAMAGING A BARN, TV TOWER, AND TREES.
04:46 UTCFLOOD3 W GreensburgGreen, KYWATER ACROSS SEVERAL ROADWAYS REPORTED AT GREEN COUNTY KY.
04:50 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 W ColumbiaAdair, KYTREE ACROSS ROADWAY AT GREENSBURG RD AND PETTYS FORK CREEK.
04:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGCane ValleyAdair, KYTREE BLOCKING ROADWAY.
04:52 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sse CoburgAdair, KYCORRECTS PREVIOUS TSTM WND DMG REPORT FROM 1 SSE COBURG FOR INCORRECT TIME. 3 TO 4 BARNS DAMAGED NEAR MT CARMEL RD AND MILKY WAY LN.
04:52 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sse CoburgAdair, KYMULTIPLE TREES DOWN NEAR MT. CARMEL AND MILKY WAY LN.
04:52 UTCTORNADOCane ValleyAdair, KYAN EF-1 TORNADO 3.8 MILES LONG AND 150 YARDS WIDE WITH MAX WIND SPEEDS OF 100-105 MPH TOUCHED DOWN NORTH OF COLUMBIA, KY DAMAGING POWER LINES, TREES, AND SEVERAL BARNS/OUTBUILDINGS.
04:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Se CoburgAdair, KYLARGE TREE DOWN ACROSS ROADWAY AT BUTLER CREEK AND HOLMES BEND RD.
04:55 UTCTSTM WND GST 573 N ColumbiaAdair, KYMEASURED GUST AT KENTUCKY MESONET SITE.
07:00 UTCHEAVY RAIN 2.032 Nne HammonvilleLarue, KYRAINFALL TOTAL MEASURED AT PRIVATE WEATHER STATION.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2018 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of November 5, 2018

19 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
November 54:11 PM CSTEF1Natchitoches Parish, LA1.7200$50,000
November 54:24 PM CSTEF1Winn Parish, LA3.150
November 54:44 PM CSTEF2Sabine Parish, LA5.8475$125,000
November 54:50 PM CSTEF1Winn Parish, LA0.450
November 55:09 PM CSTEF1Winn Parish, LA3.1100
November 55:25 PM CSTEF2Natchitoches Parish, LA19.6400$150,000
November 55:30 PM CSTEF1Winn Parish, LA1.2300
November 55:35 PM CSTEF1Bienville Parish, LA4.175
November 56:15 PM CSTEF0Okaloosa, FL0.010
November 59:53 PM CSTEF0Edmonson, KY0.365
November 510:52 PM CSTEF1Adair, KY3.8150$750,000
November 510:58 PM CSTEF0Pontotoc, MS0.250$15,000
November 510:59 PM CSTEF2Lee, MS10.2200$3.0 million
November 511:02 PM CSTEF0Hickman, TN2.850$10,000
November 511:09 PM CSTEF0Maury, TN2.175$25,000
November 511:16 PM CSTEF1Lauderdale, AL to TN6.7200$10,000
November 511:19 PM CSTEF1Itawamba, MS5.1300$500,000
November 511:41 PM CSTEF1Lawrence, TN4.4300$100,000
November 511:55 PM CSTEF0Lawrence, TN2.3150$20,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.