Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2015
EF1 tornado, Dalesburg, Kentucky, July 14, 2015
This EF1 tornado ran 0.5 miles across Fleming County on July 14, 2015, touching down at 5:38 PM EDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $50,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- July 14, 2015
- Touchdown
- 5:38 PM EDT (21:38 UTC)
- Lifted
- 5:39 PM EDT (21:39 UTC)
- On the ground
- 1 minutes
- Path length
- 0.5 miles (0.8 km)
- Path width
- 200 yards (183 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $50,000
- County
- Fleming County
- Touchdown point
- 38.458, -83.697
- Lift-off point
- 38.462, -83.689
- Record number
- 1507141538-01
The damage survey
17 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS JKL, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 100 mph.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
The second of three rounds of severe weather arrived shortly after midnight on July 14th as a complex of thunderstorms barreled southeastward into east Kentucky. This complex of storms produced sporadic wind damage and some flash flooding through the morning hours, hitting the Upper Cumberland region of south central and southeast Kentucky the hardest. ||Round three arrived as a line of strong to severe storms dropped southward across the region during the late afternoon and evening hours of the 14th. Once again, wind damage was widespread and numerous locations experienced flash flooding due to torrential rainfall rates and already saturated ground. ||A 6.5 mile long swath of concentrated wind damage occurred north of Flemingsburg during the late afternoon of the 14th. This demolished a mobile home and injured four people as winds reached 100 mph. An EF1 tornado touched down briefly inside this larger path of damaging straight-line winds. ||All in all, there were around 200 different severe weather (flash flood, wind damage, hail greater than 1 in diameter, and/or tornado) reports called into the National Weather Service office in Jackson, KY for the 36 hour period ending midnight Tuesday night. At one point, over 50,000 east Kentucky households were without power due to the storms with many remaining without power through Friday July 17th.
An EF1 tornado with 100 mph winds touched down on a farm off Harn Road around 3 miles northeast of Flemingsburg. The tornado damaged or destroyed barns and shoved a mobile home several feet off its foundation while ripping the roof off of the structure. The tornado touched down within a 6.5 mile swath of 80-100 mph straight line winds.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.
The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 21:10 UTC and running to 01:01 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05:13 UTC | 11:15 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | JKL |
| 05:53 UTC | 11:45 UTC | Flash Flood Warning | JKL |
| 11:45 UTC | 14:45 UTC | Flood Advisory | JKL |
| 21:10 UTC | 01:01 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | JKL |
| 21:16 UTC | 22:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL |
| 21:29 UTC | 23:30 UTC | Flood Advisory | JKL |
| 21:45 UTC | 22:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL |
| 21:54 UTC | 22:27 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JKL |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:55 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 12:00Z
9.6 hours before the tornado, 108 km from the path. July 14, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 444 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -243 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 234 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 981 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 23 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 185 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 246 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.9 K/km
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 00:00Z
2.4 hours after it, 108 km from the path. July 15, 2015.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 31 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -8 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 895 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1232 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 20 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -13 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 13 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- -0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.8 K/km
The radar
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 102 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 21:37 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:32 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Ewing | Fleming, KY | LARGE TREE LIMBS WERE BLOWN DOWN. |
| 21:37 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Nne Flemingsburg | Fleming, KY | *** 4 INJ *** WIND DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOME ON 2512 CHERRY GROVE ROAD NEAR MOUNT CARMEL...MOBILE HOME WAS MOVED 60 FEET BY WIND...HITTING A GARAGE/BARN. 4 PEOPLE WERE INSIDE AND INJURED...NO FATALITIES. |
| 21:38 UTC | TORNADO | 3 Ne Flemingsburg | Fleming, KY | EF1 TORNADO WITH WINDS UP TO 100 MPH TOUCHED DOWN ON A FARM OFF HARN ROAD SEVERELY DAMAGING OR DESTROYING FOUR BARNS AND SHOVING A MOBILE HOME SEVERAL FEET OFF THE FOUNDATION WHILE RIPPING THE ROOF OFF. THE TORNADO TOUCH |
| 21:51 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Camp Dix | Lewis, KY | SEVERAL TREES AND TREE LIMBS DOWN ACROSS SOUTHERN LEWIS COUNTY, INCLUDING NEAR CAMP DIX. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR. |
| 22:00 UTC | TSTM WND GST 51 | 3 Nw Morehead | Rowan, KY | MEASURED AT KY MESONET SITE IN ROWAN COUNTY. |
| 22:02 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Ne Morehead | Rowan, KY | STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS OF 80 TO 90 MPH CAUSED DAMAGE ALONG US 60E. MULTIPLE TREES DOWN...UNDERPINNING BLOWN OUT FROM MULTIPLE TRAILERS...DAMAGE TO CARS...AND TOPS OF TREES BLOWN OFF AT LEAST 30 INCHES IN DIAMETER. |
| 22:02 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Morehead | Rowan, KY | MULTIPLE AREAS OF WIND DAMAGE ON 60 E IN MOREHEAD. MULTIPLE TREES DOWN...UNDERPINNING BLOWN OUT FROM MULTIPLE TRAILERS...DAMAGE TO CARS...TOPS OF TREES BLOWN OFF AT LEAST 30 INCHES IN DIAMETER...TREE IS WRAPPED AROUND TE |
| 22:05 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Morehead | Rowan, KY | TREES AND POWER LINES ARE DOWN NEAR THE STATE POLICE POST, CAUSING SOME POWER OUTAGES NEARBY. |
| 22:05 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Salt Lick | Bath, KY | TREES WERE REPORTED TO HAVE BEEN BLOWN DOWN. |
| 22:20 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Preston | Bath, KY | TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN. |
| 22:20 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Zilpo | Bath, KY | TREES WERE BLOWN DOWN. |
| 22:25 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Morehead | Rowan, KY | TREES AND POWER LINES ARE DOWN NEAR THE STATE POLICE POST, CAUSING SOME POWER OUTAGES NEARBY. |
| 22:35 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Frenchburg | Menifee, KY | A TREE WAS BLOWN DOWN. |
| 22:37 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 Nne Flemingsburg | Fleming, KY | WIND DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOME ON 2512 CHERRY GROVE ROAD NEAR MOUNT CARMEL...MOBILE HOME WAS MOVED 60 FEET BY WIND...HITTING A GARAGE/BARN. 4 PEOPLE WERE INSIDE AND INJURED...NO FATALITIES. |
| 22:37 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 2.03 | 5 Ne Olive Hill | Carter, KY | TRAINED SPOTTER MEASURED 2.03 INCHES OF RAIN IN 1 HOUR. STILL RAINING HEAVY. NUMEROUS ROADS IN COUNTY CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. |
| 23:00 UTC | FLASH FLOOD | Olive Hill | Carter, KY | WATER OVER ROADS. PEOPLE STRANDED IN HOUSES. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2015 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of July 14, 2015
9 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 14 | 1:46 PM CDT | EF1 | Pickett, TN | 12.4 | 300 | $60,000 | ||
| July 14 | 2:49 PM CDT | EF1 | Putnam, TN | 2.8 | 150 | $100,000 | ||
| July 14 | 4:55 PM EDT | EF1 | Monroe, TN | 7.8 | 200 | |||
| July 14 | 6:00 PM CDT | EF1 | Colbert, AL | 9.1 | 150 | |||
| July 14 | 6:14 PM CDT | EF1 | Lawrence, AL | 11.4 | 250 | |||
| July 14 | 6:18 PM CDT | EF0 | Lawrence, AL | 2.7 | 50 | |||
| July 14 | 6:35 PM CDT | EF0 | Madison, AL | 0.9 | 75 | |||
| July 14 | 6:48 PM CDT | EF0 | Morgan, AL | 0.8 | 100 | |||
| July 14 | 6:59 PM CDT | EF1 | Morgan, AL | 4.9 | 300 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.