Tornadoes · United States · Kentucky · 2012

EF1 tornado, Thixton to Ashville, Kentucky, March 23, 2012

From Thixton to Ashville, this EF1 tornado ran 2.4 miles across Jefferson County on March 23, 2012, touching down at 3:07 PM EDT and reaching 70 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $300,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 23, 2012
Touchdown
3:07 PM EDT (19:07 UTC)
Lifted
3:12 PM EDT (19:12 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
2.4 miles (3.9 km)
Path width
70 yards (64 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$300,000
County
Jefferson County
Touchdown point
38.086, -85.623
Lift-off point
38.117, -85.602
Record number
1203231307-01

The damage survey

36 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LMK, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 104 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A large, nearly cut-off upper closed low located over Kansas brought several bands of convection to Kentucky and Indiana. During the early afternoon, a cluster of low-topped storms developed east of Bowling Green and moved north towards Louisville. This convection, which was barely deep enough to produce any lightning, became surface-based as slightly unstable conditions developed within a clear slot that rotated across the Lower Ohio Valley in the wake of early morning showers. A couple of these cells developed into mini-supercells with rotation. Two weak tornadoes touched down in and just east of the Louisville metro area. Additional thunderstorms with large hail developed later that evening ahead of a final disturbance rotating around the south side of the upper low.

The tornado touched down just north of the intersection of Cedar Creek and Mount Washington Roads, located around one and one half miles southeast of Quail Chase Golf Course in southeast Louisville. It moved north-northeast, crossing Cedar Creek Road several times. Near Brook Chase Court, the tornado totally destroyed one modular home, knocking it off its foundation and pancaking the first floor under the second level. One well-built brick home had it roof taken off. Numerous other homes along the path sustained damage to their roofs, siding and windows. The tornado was rated a strong EF-1, with estimated winds of 105 to 110 mph. The maximum width of the tornado was 70 yards, but during most of its path it was 40-50 yards wide.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:18 UTC18:45 UTCTornado WarningLMK
18:27 UTC18:31 UTCTornado WarningLMK
22:28 UTC03:34 UTCTornado WatchLMK

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:26 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 12:00Z

7.1 hours before the tornado, 216 km from the path. March 23, 2012.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-03-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 233 joules per kilogram, CIN -53, lifted condensation level 1093 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2012-03-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 25 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
233 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-53 J/kg
Surface CAPE
71 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1093 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 00:00Z

4.9 hours after it, 216 km from the path. March 24, 2012.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2012-03-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 672 joules per kilogram, CIN -1, lifted condensation level 552 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2012-03-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 133 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 39 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
672 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1193 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
552 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
155 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
3.2
0-3 km lapse rate
6.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Louisville Intl (SDF), 13 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
17:30 UTC69.862.6160° 9 kt1013.2-TSRA
17:56 UTC6863260° 9 kt1013.5-TSRA
18:07 UTC64.460.8250° 6 kt151013.5+TSRA BR
18:11 UTC62.660.8210° 5 kt1013.5+TSRA FG
18:15 UTC62.660.8230° 7 kt1013.2+TSRA FG
18:18 UTC62.660.8250° 4 kt1013.2+RA FG
18:21 UTC62.660.8250° 5 kt1012.9-RA
18:56 UTC6862130° 3 kt1011.9
19:56 UTC706490° 4 kt1010.8
20:56 UTC7563100° 5 kt1009.8

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 32 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:05 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
18:07 UTCTORNADO4 Ene HillviewJefferson, KYEF1 TORNADO TOUCHDOWN IN THE HERITAGE CREEK AREA. PATH LENGTH 2.5 MI...WIDTH 40 YD. LIFTED AT 212PM EDT
18:14 UTCTORNADOFern CreekJefferson, KYTORNADO TOUCHDOWN IN THE HERITAGE CREEK AREA
18:28 UTCTORNADO2 E FinchvilleShelby, KYEF1 TORNADO DAMAGED BARNS AND UPROOTED TREES ALONG 2.25 MILE PATH

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2012 tornado in KentuckyEvery tornado in Kentucky since 1950Warnings in force in Kentucky nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 23, 2012

13 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 239:26 AM CDTEF1Pike, AL1.7700
March 2311:33 AM CDTEF0Cape Girardeau, MO0.350$10,000
March 2311:38 AM CDTEF1Cape Girardeau, MO0.6300
March 2312:14 PM CDTEF0Jackson, IL1.850
March 2312:24 PM CDTEF1Jackson, IL7.5125$75,000
March 2312:48 PM CDTEF0Geneva, AL1.725$25,000
March 231:26 PM CDTEF2Jefferson, IL2.610012$150,000
March 231:57 PM CDTEF0Marion, IL0.010
March 233:20 PM EDTEF0Early, GA3.525$5,000
March 233:28 PM EDTEF1Shelby, KY2.250$25,000
March 234:30 PM EDTEF0Switzerland, IN0.125
March 237:50 PM EDTEF0Clinton, OH0.450$50,000
March 238:30 PM EDTEF0Warren, OH0.450$20,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.