Tornadoes · United States · Iowa · 2023

Unrated tornado, Nepas to Donnelly, Iowa, May 13, 2023

From Nepas to Donnelly, this Unrated tornado ran 0.3 miles across Marion County on May 13, 2023, touching down at 6:20 PM CDT and reaching 30 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
May 13, 2023
Touchdown
6:20 PM CDT (23:20 UTC)
Lifted
6:21 PM CDT (23:21 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.3 miles (0.5 km)
Path width
30 yards (27 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Marion County
Touchdown point
41.305, -93.275
Lift-off point
41.309, -93.273
Record number
2305131720-01

What the Weather Service recorded

Convection percolated along a warm front across the area through the morning. By afternoon, storms re-strengthened as as daytime heating helped enhance instability. Despite good instability with MLCAPE over nearing 2000 J/kg, lapse rates were modest and speed shear was weak. Despite this, directional shear was good and when combined with instability for brief stretching, allowed for a number of weak and short-lived tornadoes to develop. While 13 tornadoes occurred, they were confined to two small areas in Iowa where storms trained, resulting in several storms over the same locations. In addition, the training storms made for pockets of heavy rain with three to four inches or more of rain. This did result in flash flooding in Pocahontas County with impacts to homes and businesses.

Brief tornado reported by storm chaser. No damage indicators were impacted, hence the EFU rating.

A brief tornado occurred north of Highway 5 captured by many chasers. There was some tree damage produced by the tornado before dissipating.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

11 minutes of warning. NWS DMX issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:09 UTC, 11 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:45 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 17:54 UTC and running to 01:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
17:54 UTC01:00 UTCTornado WatchDMX
17:57 UTC18:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX
18:02 UTC18:45 UTCTornado WarningDMX
18:42 UTC19:30 UTCTornado WarningDMX
19:25 UTC20:15 UTCTornado WarningDMX
20:21 UTC21:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDMX
20:26 UTC21:03 UTCTornado WarningDMX
20:40 UTC21:10 UTCTornado WarningDMX
23:09 UTC23:45 UTCTornado WarningDMX
23:25 UTC23:46 UTCTornado WarningDMX
23:53 UTC00:17 UTCTornado WarningDMX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:02 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Davenport, (KDVN), 12:00Z

11.3 hours before the tornado, 234 km from the path. May 13, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2023-05-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 102 joules per kilogram, CIN -119, lifted condensation level 570 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2023-05-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 67 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 33 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
102 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-119 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
570 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6
0-3 km lapse rate
4.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Davenport, (KDVN), 00:00Z

0.7 hours after it, 234 km from the path. May 14, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2023-05-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 190 joules per kilogram, CIN -13, lifted condensation level 939 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 00:00Z on 2023-05-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 32 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 34 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
190 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-13 J/kg
Surface CAPE
697 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
939 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
58 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.6
0-3 km lapse rate
6.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Knoxville (OXV), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
21:35 UTC71.664.490° 11 kt171015.9
21:55 UTC71.664.4120° 8 kt171016.6-RA
22:15 UTC71.666.270° 8 kt1015.9
22:35 UTC71.66880° 6 kt1015.9
22:55 UTC73.469.880° 8 kt1015.9
23:15 UTC75.269.8100° 9 kt141015.9
23:35 UTC75.26880° 9 kt151015.9
23:55 UTC75.26880° 10 kt161015.9
00:15 UTC73.46880° 7 kt1016.6
00:35 UTC73.46890° 8 kt1016.6
00:55 UTC73.468100° 15 kt1016.3RA
01:15 UTC71.669.80° 0 kt1016.9

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Des Moines radar (KDMX), 60 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:20 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:24 UTCTORNADO4 Ne KnoxvilleMarion, IA
20:26 UTCHAIL 11 Nnw KnoxvilleMarion, IAFROM KNIA/KRLS RADIO AT THEIR STUDIOS.
20:32 UTCTORNADO5 Wnw HarveyMarion, IAWEAK TORNADO.
20:35 UTCTORNADO4 Wnw HarveyMarion, IADELAYED REPORT. MINOR DAMAGE TO A HOOP BARN AND MACHINE SHED ALONG HIGHWAY T-15. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
20:56 UTCTORNADO1 Wnw HarveyMarion, IA
21:30 UTCHEAVY RAIN 3KnoxvilleMarion, IAOVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN WITH STANDING WATER AND STREET FLOODING IN TOWN.
23:50 UTCTORNADO4 Wnw KnoxvilleMarion, IAMULTIPLE STORM CHASERS REPORT BRIEF TORNADO TOUCHDOWN IN OPEN FIELDS.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2023 tornado in IowaEvery tornado in Iowa since 1950Warnings in force in Iowa nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 13, 2023

20 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 134:06 AM CDTEF1Cameron, TX0.5200111$500,000
May 131:21 PM CDTUnratedBuena Vista, IA0.010
May 131:22 PM CDTEF0Warren, IA1.140$2,000
May 131:36 PM CDTUnratedSac, IA0.330
May 131:50 PM CDTUnratedBuena Vista, IA1.075
May 131:16 PM MDTUnratedMcKinley, NM0.520
May 132:37 PM CDTUnratedMacon, IL0.510
May 133:18 PM CDTEF0Grady, OK0.120
May 133:23 PM CDTUnratedMarion, IA0.530
May 133:29 PM CDTEF0Marion, IA0.550$10,000
May 133:52 PM CDTEF0Marion, IA0.740$1,000
May 134:15 PM CDTUnratedPocahontas, IA1.230
May 134:17 PM CDTEF0Buena Vista, IA2.075
May 134:51 PM CDTUnratedCalhoun, IA0.630
May 135:18 PM CDTUnratedGreene, IA0.440
May 136:22 PM CDTEF0Calhoun, IA1.450$20,000
May 136:26 PM CDTUnratedPocahontas, IA0.540
May 136:52 PM CDTUnratedPocahontas, IA0.530
May 136:52 PM CDTEF0Marion, IA0.950$2,000
May 137:22 PM CDTUnratedPocahontas, IA0.630

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.