Tornadoes · United States · Indiana · 2018

EF1 tornado, Mariah Hill to St Meinrad, Indiana, December 31, 2018

From Mariah Hill to St Meinrad, this EF1 tornado ran 2.0 miles across Spencer County on December 31, 2018, touching down at 1:43 PM CST and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $50,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 31, 2018
Touchdown
1:43 PM CST (19:43 UTC)
Lifted
1:45 PM CST (19:45 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
2.0 miles (3.2 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$50,000
County
Spencer County
Touchdown point
38.181, -86.886
Lift-off point
38.201, -86.859
Record number
1812311343-01

The damage survey

9 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 105 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A narrow line of showers and thunderstorms raced east-northeast across western Kentucky and southwest Indiana, producing pockets of damaging wind and a brief tornado. A deepening low pressure system tracked northeast from Arkansas across the St. Louis area to Indiana. To the east of this low, a warm front lifted north across the lower Ohio Valley in the morning, followed by unseasonably warm and moist air. A trailing cold front then moved east, triggering a narrow line of showers and thunderstorms along the Mississippi River by midday. This line of convection became sporadically severe as it raced across southwest Indiana and western Kentucky in the afternoon.

At least three homes sustained minor damage. The damage was mostly to roofs and fascia. One garage door and a window were blown in. A detached garage was destroyed, with the debris thrown at least 300 yards. An outdoor storage shed was pushed several feet off its foundation. Minor roof damage occurred to at least three metal farm buildings. At least two dozen trees and limbs were snapped or uprooted. Peak winds were estimated near 105 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 18:48 UTC and running to 19:51 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
17:00 UTC21:25 UTCWind AdvisoryPAH
18:48 UTC19:51 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 16:31 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

7.7 hours before the tornado, 230 km from the path. December 31, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-12-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -30130, lifted condensation level 470 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-12-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 631 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 58 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30130 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
470 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
631 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
689 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
2.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

4.3 hours after it, 230 km from the path. January 1, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2019-01-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -36952, lifted condensation level 1184 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2019-01-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 79 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-36952 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1184 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
79 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 75 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 19:40 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
19:42 UTCTORNADO3 Sse FerdinandSpencer, INA BRIEF EF-1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA IN SPENCER COUNTY INDIANA. IT DAMAGED AT LEAST THREE HOMES. MOSTLY ROOF AND FACIA DAMAGE. ONE GARAGE DOOR AND WINDOW BLOWN IN. A DETACHED GARAGE WAS DESTROYED WITH T
19:43 UTCTORNADO5 Nne Santa ClausSpencer, INEF-1 TORNADO WITH PEAK WINDS ESTIMATED AT 105 MPH TOUCHED DOWN 2.4 MILES ENE OF MARIAH HILL AND LIFTED 1.5 MILES SOUTH OF FERDINAND. PATH LENGTH WAS 2 MILES WITH MAX WIDTH OF 50 YARDS. AT LEAST 3 HOMES WERE DAMAGED, WITH
19:44 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Se Saint HenrySpencer, INPRELIMINARY REPORT. SHED/OUTBUILDING COMPLETELY TORN APART/DESTROYED. SMALL YARDBARN DESTROYED. ROOFING/SHINGLES MISSING FROM HOUSE, FLASHING OFF OF GARAGE AND UNDER PORCH. NEIGHBOR WITH PART OF ROOF TORN OFF OF HOME. DE
19:45 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Se FerdinandSpencer, INDOZENS OF MATURE TREES IN A STAND OF TREES ALONG AN ESCARPMENT WERE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED ALONG A 0.4 MILE WIDE PATH ALONG PART OF COUNTY ROAD 2160 NORTH. MINOR ROOF DAMAGE OCCURRED TO A METAL FARM OUTBUILDING. PATH LENGTH
20:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 50EnglishCrawford, INREPORTED AT ENGLISH, INDIANA.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2018 tornado in IndianaEvery tornado in Indiana since 1950Warnings in force in Indiana nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 31, 2018

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 3112:35 PM CSTEF1Trigg, KY0.8125$55,000
December 313:38 PM ESTEF1Harrison, IN2.2140$20,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.