Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2021

Unrated tornado, Chandlerville to Newmansville, Illinois, July 10, 2021

From Chandlerville to Newmansville, this Unrated tornado ran 0.1 miles across Cass County on July 10, 2021, touching down at 3:16 PM CDT and reaching 10 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
July 10, 2021
Touchdown
3:16 PM CDT (20:16 UTC)
Lifted
3:17 PM CDT (20:17 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.1 miles (0.1 km)
Path width
10 yards (9 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Cass County
Touchdown point
39.973, -90.045
Lift-off point
39.974, -90.046
Record number
2107101416-01

The damage survey

10 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 95 mph.

  • Damage to bus barn roof and door, also the greenhouse roof at the Virginia High School.
  • Crop damage in the field about a half mile southwest of Virginia.
  • Trees down near the Cass County Courthouse.
  • Damage to the porch of a house.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A Mesoscale Convective Vortex (MCV) generated by prior convection across Kansas and Missouri tracked into west-central Illinois during the afternoon of July 10th. Despite minimal instability, the enhanced low-level vorticity created by this feature was enough to trigger several rotating thunderstorm cells across west-central Illinois. Five brief tornadoes touched down across portions of Schuyler, Cass, and Morgan counties...with minor damage reported. Meanwhile further south, flash flooding occurred across parts of Clay County as thunderstorms with torrential rainfall skirted well south of I-70 during the evening.

A tornado touched down about 3.5 miles south-southwest of Chandlerville at 2:44 PM CDT. The tornado tracked northeastward along Illinois Route 78 from Palmerton Road to Philadelphia Road causing heavy tree and agricultural damage. A barn was flattened east of Palmerton Road. The tornado dissipated 1.2 miles south of Chandlerville at 2:51 PM CDT.

A tornado briefly touched down near the intersection of Newmansville Road and Cox Creek Road about 5.1 miles northeast of Philadelphia at 3:16 PM CDT. The tornado dissipated by 3:17 PM CDT with no damage occurring.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

31 minutes of warning. NWS ILX issued a tornado warning for this county at 19:45 UTC, 31 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 20:34 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:08 UTC20:00 UTCTornado WarningILX
19:45 UTC20:34 UTCTornado WarningILX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:10 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z

8.3 hours before the tornado, 125 km from the path. July 10, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2021-07-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -89150, lifted condensation level 952 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2021-07-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 68 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 23 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-89150 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
952 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z

3.7 hours after it, 125 km from the path. July 11, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2021-07-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 152 joules per kilogram, CIN -5, lifted condensation level 588 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2021-07-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 211 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 40 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
152 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Surface CAPE
358 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
588 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
211 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
226 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.3
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Jacksonville (IJX), 28 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
18:35 UTC7773.2160° 11 kt151011.2
18:55 UTC77.273160° 11 kt161010.8
19:15 UTC77.273.2160° 11 kt161010.5
19:35 UTC76.673.4170° 11 kt181010.2
19:55 UTC77.274.5190° 7 kt1010.5
20:15 UTC76.574260° 6 kt141010.2
20:35 UTC7572250° 14 kt181009.8
20:55 UTC75.670.5250° 12 kt151009.8
21:15 UTC75.671.4260° 9 kt161009.5
21:35 UTC74.870.5270° 12 kt151009.5
21:55 UTC74.369.8270° 9 kt151009.1
22:15 UTC7470.3280° 14 kt201009.1

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 63 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 20:13 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
19:00 UTCTORNADO4 Ene MeredosiaMorgan, ILDELAYED REPORT. CROPS DAMAGED, POWER POLES SNAPPED, AND TREE LIMBS BROKEN NEAR INTERSECTION OF ARENZVILLE RD. AND CHURCH RD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
19:10 UTCTORNADO2 Nne LittletonSchuyler, ILDELAYED REPORT. HOMEOWNER WITNESSED TORNADO WHICH DAMAGED A POLE BARN AND CARRIED DEBRIS INTO A TREE LINE. BROKEN TREE TOPS ALSO REPORTED.
19:31 UTCTORNADO3 Wnw VirginiaCass, ILBRIEF TOUCHDOWN IN OPEN AREA.
19:40 UTCTORNADO2 N VirginiaCass, ILBRIEF TOUCHDOWN.
19:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGChandlervilleCass, ILDELAYED REPORT. TREE BLOWN DOWN ACROSS ROAD.
20:10 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD4 Ne PhiladelphiaCass, IL
20:16 UTCTORNADO3 Sw NewmansvilleCass, ILBRIEF TOUCHDOWN.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 10, 2021

7 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 101:55 PM CDTEF1Morgan, IL0.975
July 102:00 PM CDTEF0Schuyler, IL0.150
July 102:22 PM CDTEF0Cass, IL3.275
July 102:44 PM CDTEF1Cass, IL2.475
July 105:01 PM MSTEF1Coconino, AZ1.3300
July 107:25 PM CDTEF1Payne, OK1.4100$50,000
July 108:18 PM CDTEF2Stoddard, MO5.8175$2.0 million

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.