Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2018

EF0 tornado, Wolf Lake, Illinois, May 31, 2018

This EF0 tornado ran 1.1 miles across Union County on May 31, 2018, touching down at 7:55 PM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $7,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
May 31, 2018
Touchdown
7:55 PM CDT (00:55 UTC)
Lifted
7:59 PM CDT (00:59 UTC)
On the ground
4 minutes
Path length
1.1 miles (1.8 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$7,000
County
Union County
Touchdown point
37.466, -89.456
Lift-off point
37.476, -89.439
Record number
1805311855-01

The damage survey

23 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS PAH, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 97 mph.

  • Roof of barn blown inward on NW side.
  • Trees blown down in numerous directions.
  • dozens of trees uprooted or snapped

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Multiple rounds of thunderstorms impacted the region on the last day of May. Damaging winds, large hail, flooding, and a couple tornadoes were observed in this outbreak. The first round of storms moved through southern Illinois, mainly north of Route 13, during the morning hours. Widespread damaging winds were associated with this line of storms. Scattered thunderstorm development then began by mid to late afternoon, with coverage increasing further into the evening hours. The first round of storms left an outflow boundary across southeast Missouri and the lower Ohio Valley, where scattered thunderstorms developed. Surface dewpoints near the boundary were in the lower 70s, which contributed to moderately strong instability. A subtle shortwave trough across the mid Mississippi Valley and lower Missouri Valley provided large-scale ascent for the evening round of storms. Mid-level winds around 50 knots located just ahead of the shortwave helped to create moderate to strong deep-layer wind shear, favorable for a few supercells.

A storm survey team estimated peak winds up to 95 mph occurred with this tornado, which touched down along the Mississippi River levee. The tornado passed near the community of Wolf Lake before dissipating at the edge of the Shawnee National Forest just east of Route 3. A very large equipment barn collapsed, and another barn was destroyed. A one-story house was partially shifted off its foundation. All structural damage was between Route 3 and the Mississippi River levee. The tornado was witnessed by at least one trained spotter and several other individuals. Prior to spawning this tornado, the parent storm produced a tornado near Trail of Tears State Park in Cape Girardeau County, Missouri about ten minutes earlier.

Peak winds were estimated by a National Weather Service survey team near 75 mph. This weak tornado occurred in close proximity to another tornado about a mile north. Several tree limbs were broken. The roof of a barn was blown in on one side. This tornado also occurred near the Mississippi River between Route 3 and the levee. Prior to spawning this tornado, the parent storm produced a tornado near Trail of Tears State Park in Cape Girardeau County, Missouri about ten minutes earlier.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

11 minutes of warning. NWS PAH issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:44 UTC, 11 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:15 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:00 UTC and running to 00:56 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:00 UTC00:56 UTCTornado WatchPAH
00:44 UTC01:15 UTCTornado WarningPAH
00:56 UTC04:57 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPAH

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 00:00Z

0.9 hours before the tornado, 294 km from the path. June 1, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2018-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 2231 joules per kilogram, CIN -11, lifted condensation level 1014 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 00:00Z on 2018-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 74 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 25 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2231 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-11 J/kg
Surface CAPE
4590 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1014 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
119 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), 12:00Z

11.1 hours after it, 294 km from the path. June 1, 2018.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1 joules per kilogram, CIN -171, lifted condensation level 1029 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2018-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -34 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 22 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-171 J/kg
Surface CAPE
105 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1029 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
87 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Cape Girardeau (CGI), 29 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:55 UTC140° 7 kt1008.5
23:00 UTC140° 7 kt1008.1
23:05 UTC170° 4 kt1008.8
23:10 UTC160° 6 kt1008.5-RA
23:15 UTC160° 5 kt1008.5-RA
23:30 UTC140° 4 kt1008.8
23:35 UTC130° 4 kt1008.8
23:40 UTC120° 6 kt1008.8
23:45 UTC130° 8 kt1008.5
23:50 UTC150° 9 kt1008.1
23:53 UTC8073160° 8 kt1007.8
23:55 UTC160° 9 kt1007.8
00:00 UTC150° 9 kt1007.1-RA
00:05 UTC160° 8 kt1006.8-RA
00:10 UTC180° 12 kt1006.4-RA
00:15 UTC 13 kt1006.4
00:20 UTC220° 12 kt1007.1
00:25 UTC230° 11 kt1007.1
00:28 UTC8370230° 12 kt211007.1
00:30 UTC220° 12 kt191006.8
00:35 UTC220° 14 kt1006.8
00:40 UTC230° 14 kt191007.1
00:45 UTC240° 12 kt1007.8
00:50 UTC230° 12 kt1008.1
00:53 UTC8369230° 11 kt211007.8
01:02 UTC8369240° 10 kt1008.5VCTS
01:05 UTC240° 10 kt1008.5
01:10 UTC230° 8 kt1008.5
01:15 UTC230° 8 kt1008.5
01:18 UTC8269220° 9 kt1008.5
01:20 UTC220° 9 kt1008.8
01:25 UTC220° 8 kt1008.8
01:30 UTC230° 10 kt151008.8
01:35 UTC230° 11 kt1009.1
01:45 UTC230° 11 kt1008.8
01:50 UTC230° 10 kt1009.1
01:53 UTC8370230° 9 kt1009.1
01:55 UTC230° 9 kt1009.1
02:00 UTC240° 7 kt1009.1
02:05 UTC260° 8 kt1009.1
02:10 UTC260° 7 kt1009.1
02:20 UTC250° 7 kt1009.5
02:24 UTC8071240° 8 kt1009.5VCTS
02:25 UTC250° 8 kt1009.5
02:30 UTC250° 8 kt1009.5
02:35 UTC240° 8 kt1009.1
02:40 UTC 1010.5-RA SQ
02:41 UTC7666260° 30 kt451010.5-TSRA SQ
02:45 UTC260° 21 kt1010.2+RA SQ
02:53 UTC7065220° 19 kt311008.8+TSRA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 75 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:55 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:20 UTCHAIL 0.75Creal SpringsWilliamson, IL
00:50 UTCTORNADO5 Nw WareUnion, ILUNCONFIRMED...REPORTED JUST EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER.
00:54 UTCTORNADO1 S Wolf LakeUnion, ILAN EF-1 TORNADO WITH PEAK WINDS UP TO 95 MPH TOUCHED DOWN 2.5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WOLF LAKE AND LIFTED 1 MILE EAST OF WOLF LAKE. PATH LENGTH WAS 3.5 MILES WITH A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 150 YARDS. A VERY LARGE EQUIPMENT BARN COL
00:55 UTCTORNADO2 S Wolf LakeUnion, ILAN EF-0 TORNADO WITH PEAK WINDS OF 75 MPH TOUCHED DOWN 3 MILE SOUTHWEST OF WOLF LAKE AND LIFTED 2 MILES SOUTH OF WOLF LAKE. PATH LENGTH WAS 1.25 MILES WITH A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 50 YARDS. SEVERAL TREE LIMBS, MOSTLY SMALL, W

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2018 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 31, 2018

7 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 311:43 PM MDTEF0Dunn, ND0.350
May 314:00 PM MDTEF1Bingham, ID12.025$300
May 314:19 PM MDTEF0Stark, ND0.450
May 314:31 PM MDTEF0Jefferson, ID3.010
May 316:15 PM CDTEF0Morton, ND0.350
May 317:44 PM CDTEF1Cape Girardeau, MO2.2150$25,000
May 317:54 PM CDTEF1Union, IL3.1150$70,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.