Tornadoes · United States · Georgia · 2021
EF1 tornado, Temple to Villa Rica, Georgia, December 31, 2021
From Temple to Villa Rica, this EF1 tornado ran 2.8 miles across Carroll County on December 31, 2021, touching down at 5:32 PM EST and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- December 31, 2021
- Touchdown
- 5:32 PM EST (22:32 UTC)
- Lifted
- 5:45 PM EST (22:45 UTC)
- On the ground
- 13 minutes
- Path length
- 2.8 miles (4.4 km)
- Path width
- 150 yards (137 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Carroll County
- Touchdown point
- 33.737, -85.000
- Lift-off point
- 33.763, -84.963
- Record number
- 2112311632-01
The damage survey
13 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS FFC, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 93 mph.
- Numerous trees snapped more than 1/2way down and significant damage to carport/barn (due to trees).
- Carport detached from main home.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
Low-level shear with moderate instability resulted in a rare Low-Precipitation (LP) supercell event across portions of central Georgia during the evening of 31 December 2021. A low to mid-level cap was in place, only allowing for the development of very shallow cells, however enough low-level shear along an old boundary was in place for two separate tornadoes to touch down in Newton and Carroll counties. Radar returns showed less than 20dbz during the event given lack of growth of the supercell in combination with an overshooting radar beam.
A tornado from a rare LP supercell touched down near US-|78 between Temple and Villa Rica in far northern Carroll County|during the late afternoon/early evening hours of New Year's Eve.|Initially, several trees were noted snapped or uprooted between|Wilton Smith Road to Old Villa Rica Road. As the tornado moved|northeast, it appeared to strengthen as more numerous trees were|seen either uprooted or snapped along Long Branch Road and across|Cown Road. The number of large pines uprooted along Long Branch|Road supports an EF-1 rating here with max winds around 90 mph.|On the east side of Long Branch Road and just before Cown Road, a|barn was ripped apart along with a carport seen detached from a|well-built manufactured home that remained intact. This along|with the surrounding tree damage supported 95 mph max winds|(still an EF-1 rating). As the tornado crossed Cown Road and then|Astin Creek Road, additional large pines were snapped or|uprooted. A home sustained roof damage due to a falling tree and|a medium-sized shed was rolled up on the side of the house about|20 yards from its original location. A few more trees were seen|snapped or uprooted along N Van Wert Road, just south of Wert|Road where the tornado appeared to weaken and eventually lift|just past this location as no notable damage was reported or|seen. [12/31/21: Tornado #1, County #1/1, EF-1, Carroll, 2021:27].
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08:48 UTC | 15:00 UTC | Dense Fog Advisory | FFC |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:34 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), 12:00Z
10.5 hours before the tornado, 61 km from the path. December 31, 2021.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -77135 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1182 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 62 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 134 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 234 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.8 K/km
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), 00:00Z
1.5 hours after it, 61 km from the path. January 1, 2022.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 547 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -16 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1200 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 936 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 58 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 27 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 271 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 382 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.0
- Supercell composite
- 6.5
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.4 K/km
The surface observations
Dallas (PUJ), 18 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:35 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 210° 3 kt | 1013.2 | BR | |
| 20:55 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 200° 3 kt | 1013.5 | ||
| 21:15 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 190° 3 kt | 1013.9 | ||
| 21:35 UTC | 68 | 68 | 0° 0 kt | 1013.5 | ||
| 21:55 UTC | 68 | 68 | 200° 3 kt | 1013.5 | ||
| 22:15 UTC | 68 | 68 | 0° 0 kt | 1013.5 | ||
| 22:35 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 0° 0 kt | 1013.5 | BR | |
| 22:55 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 0° 0 kt | 1013.5 | BR | |
| 23:15 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 0° 0 kt | 1013.5 | BR | |
| 23:35 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 0° 0 kt | 1013.5 | BR | |
| 23:55 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 0° 0 kt | 1013.5 | ||
| 00:15 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 160° 3 kt | 1013.5 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 58 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:32 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:41 UTC | TORNADO | 4 Wnw Villa Rica | Carroll, GA | CARROLL COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED NUMEROUS TREES BLOWN DOWN ALONG COWN ROAD BETWEEN LONG BRANCH ROAD AND VAN WERT ROAD. AT LEAST ONE TREE FELL ONTO A HOME. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in GeorgiaEvery tornado in Georgia since 1950Warnings in force in Georgia nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of December 31, 2021
2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 2:49 PM CST | EF1 | DeKalb, AL | 0.9 | 50 | |||
| December 31 | 5:39 PM EST | EF1 | Newton, GA | 2.5 | 75 | 6 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.