Tornadoes · United States · Georgia · 2021

EF1 tornado, Temple to Villa Rica, Georgia, December 31, 2021

From Temple to Villa Rica, this EF1 tornado ran 2.8 miles across Carroll County on December 31, 2021, touching down at 5:32 PM EST and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 31, 2021
Touchdown
5:32 PM EST (22:32 UTC)
Lifted
5:45 PM EST (22:45 UTC)
On the ground
13 minutes
Path length
2.8 miles (4.4 km)
Path width
150 yards (137 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Carroll County
Touchdown point
33.737, -85.000
Lift-off point
33.763, -84.963
Record number
2112311632-01

The damage survey

13 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS FFC, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 93 mph.

  • Numerous trees snapped more than 1/2way down and significant damage to carport/barn (due to trees).
  • Carport detached from main home.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Low-level shear with moderate instability resulted in a rare Low-Precipitation (LP) supercell event across portions of central Georgia during the evening of 31 December 2021. A low to mid-level cap was in place, only allowing for the development of very shallow cells, however enough low-level shear along an old boundary was in place for two separate tornadoes to touch down in Newton and Carroll counties. Radar returns showed less than 20dbz during the event given lack of growth of the supercell in combination with an overshooting radar beam.

A tornado from a rare LP supercell touched down near US-|78 between Temple and Villa Rica in far northern Carroll County|during the late afternoon/early evening hours of New Year's Eve.|Initially, several trees were noted snapped or uprooted between|Wilton Smith Road to Old Villa Rica Road. As the tornado moved|northeast, it appeared to strengthen as more numerous trees were|seen either uprooted or snapped along Long Branch Road and across|Cown Road. The number of large pines uprooted along Long Branch|Road supports an EF-1 rating here with max winds around 90 mph.|On the east side of Long Branch Road and just before Cown Road, a|barn was ripped apart along with a carport seen detached from a|well-built manufactured home that remained intact. This along|with the surrounding tree damage supported 95 mph max winds|(still an EF-1 rating). As the tornado crossed Cown Road and then|Astin Creek Road, additional large pines were snapped or|uprooted. A home sustained roof damage due to a falling tree and|a medium-sized shed was rolled up on the side of the house about|20 yards from its original location. A few more trees were seen|snapped or uprooted along N Van Wert Road, just south of Wert|Road where the tornado appeared to weaken and eventually lift|just past this location as no notable damage was reported or|seen. [12/31/21: Tornado #1, County #1/1, EF-1, Carroll, 2021:27].

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
08:48 UTC15:00 UTCDense Fog AdvisoryFFC

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:34 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), 12:00Z

10.5 hours before the tornado, 61 km from the path. December 31, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2021-12-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -77135, lifted condensation level 1182 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2021-12-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 134 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 62 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-77135 J/kg
Surface CAPE
7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1182 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
134 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
234 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1
0-3 km lapse rate
3.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), 00:00Z

1.5 hours after it, 61 km from the path. January 1, 2022.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2022-01-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 547 joules per kilogram, CIN -16, lifted condensation level 936 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2022-01-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 271 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 58 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
547 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-16 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1200 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
936 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
271 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
382 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
6.5
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Dallas (PUJ), 18 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
20:35 UTC66.266.2210° 3 kt1013.2BR
20:55 UTC66.266.2200° 3 kt1013.5
21:15 UTC66.266.2190° 3 kt1013.9
21:35 UTC68680° 0 kt1013.5
21:55 UTC6868200° 3 kt1013.5
22:15 UTC68680° 0 kt1013.5
22:35 UTC66.266.20° 0 kt1013.5BR
22:55 UTC66.266.20° 0 kt1013.5BR
23:15 UTC66.266.20° 0 kt1013.5BR
23:35 UTC66.266.20° 0 kt1013.5BR
23:55 UTC66.266.20° 0 kt1013.5
00:15 UTC66.266.2160° 3 kt1013.5

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 58 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:32 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:41 UTCTORNADO4 Wnw Villa RicaCarroll, GACARROLL COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED NUMEROUS TREES BLOWN DOWN ALONG COWN ROAD BETWEEN LONG BRANCH ROAD AND VAN WERT ROAD. AT LEAST ONE TREE FELL ONTO A HOME.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in GeorgiaEvery tornado in Georgia since 1950Warnings in force in Georgia nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 31, 2021

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 312:49 PM CSTEF1DeKalb, AL0.950
December 315:39 PM ESTEF1Newton, GA2.5756

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.