Tornadoes · United States · Georgia · 2017

EF1 tornado, Graham to Baxley, Georgia, January 22, 2017

From Graham to Baxley, this EF1 tornado ran 11.1 miles across Appling County on January 22, 2017, touching down at 5:52 AM EST and reaching 1,900 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
January 22, 2017
Touchdown
5:52 AM EST (10:52 UTC)
Lifted
5:58 AM EST (10:58 UTC)
On the ground
6 minutes
Path length
11.1 miles (17.9 km)
Path width
1,900 yards (1737 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Appling County
Touchdown point
31.740, -82.543
Lift-off point
31.783, -82.360
Record number
1701220452-01

The damage survey

3 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS JAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 104 mph.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An exceptionally rare high risk of severe storms was issued for the local forecast area with extremely strong shear including a 70 kt 850 mb jet combined with an anomalously deep mid level trough across the Gulf Coast region pumped Gulf of Mexico moisture and instability across the area head of a potent storm system. Two waves of severe storms moved across the forecast area, once during the pre-dawn and early morning hours across SE GA, then another squall line of discrete supercells and leading supercells across both SE GA and NE FL in the afternoon and evening. Three tornado touchdowns were confirmed in SE GA during this time period with 1 fatality in Columbia county Florida due to a tree falling on a mobile home. This was a very unusual strong storm system that brought all modes of severe weather to the Jacksonville Forecast area.

The tornado started in extreme western Appling County, possibly extreme SE Jeff Davis county and tracked NE at 50-60 mph before lifting along the NW part of the town of Baxley. The event occurred mainly along or parallel to Zoar Road. The peak wind was near 110 mph in the vicinity of County Farm Road. The most significant damage was in the area near Zoar Methodist Church where structural damage occurred to the church including roof damage and tilting the steeple and other outbuildings in the area. Extensive tree damage occurred to both hard and softwood trees with trees uprooted, snapped and large limbs twisted.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

9 minutes of warning. NWS JAX issued a tornado warning for this county at 10:43 UTC, 9 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 11:30 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 08:21 UTC and running to 17:47 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:45 UTC19:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAX
18:51 UTC21:31 UTCTornado WatchJAX
19:22 UTC19:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAX
19:32 UTC19:45 UTCTornado WarningJAX
19:57 UTC20:16 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAX
07:48 UTC08:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAX
08:21 UTC17:47 UTCTornado WatchJAX
08:40 UTC09:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAX
09:37 UTC10:15 UTCTornado WarningJAX
10:11 UTC10:36 UTCTornado WarningJAX
10:25 UTC13:30 UTCFlood WarningJAX
10:43 UTC11:30 UTCTornado WarningJAX
12:21 UTC12:45 UTCTornado WarningJAX
13:36 UTC00:00 UTCFlash Flood WatchJAX
17:00 UTC23:00 UTCWind AdvisoryJAX
17:47 UTC23:16 UTCTornado WatchJAX
18:43 UTC00:45 UTCFlash Flood WarningJAX
22:13 UTC22:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAX
22:27 UTC22:49 UTCTornado WarningJAX
22:42 UTC23:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.15 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 06:00 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), 00:00Z

10.9 hours before the tornado, 157 km from the path. January 22, 2017.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2017-01-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 4 joules per kilogram, CIN -160, lifted condensation level 823 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2017-01-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -87 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 72 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-160 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
823 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-87 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
69 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2
0-3 km lapse rate
4.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), 12:00Z

1.1 hours after it, 157 km from the path. January 22, 2017.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2017-01-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 765 joules per kilogram, CIN -40, lifted condensation level 569 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2017-01-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 376 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 50 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
765 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-40 J/kg
Surface CAPE
214 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
569 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
376 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
336 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.8
Supercell composite
8.3
0-3 km lapse rate
5.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Baxley (BHC), 8 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
08:55 UTC64.464.4170° 3 kt1003.4-VCTSRA
09:15 UTC66.266.2160° 6 kt151002.4VCTSRA
09:35 UTC66.266.2180° 6 kt1002.7VCTSRA
09:55 UTC6868200° 7 kt1002.7-VCTSRA
10:15 UTC66.266.2170° 4 kt1002TSRA
10:35 UTC6868190° 11 kt141002VCTS
10:55 UTC6868280° 12 kt181002.7-VCTSRA
11:15 UTC62.662.6280° 4 kt191003.4+TSRA
11:35 UTC62.662.6260° 3 kt1002.7+VCTSRA
11:55 UTC62.662.6240° 5 kt1002.4-VCTSRA
12:10 UTC62.662.6250° 3 kt1002.4+TSRA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
09:35 UTCTSTM WND DMG7 Se DouglasCoffee, GAPOWERLINES DOWNED OFF OF HICKORY LANE IN NICHOLLS GEORGIA.
10:36 UTCTSTM WND DMGDentonJeff Davis, GAEM REPORTED ONE HOME WITH ROOF DAMAGE, AND TREES AND POWERLINES DOWNED IN DENTON. TIMING ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
10:50 UTCTSTM WND DMGNne BaxleyAppling, GAREPORT RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF POWERLINES DOWNED ON US HWY 1 IN BAXLEY.
10:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 N BaxleyAppling, GAPRELIMINARY REPORT- APPLING COUNTY EM REPORTED SEVERAL BUILDINGS WITH SIGNIFCANT DAMAGE NORTH OF BAXLEY INCLUDING THE APPLING COUNTY EOC, AN EMS FACILITY, NUMEROUS HOMES AND TRAILORS, AND ONE HOME DESTROYED.
11:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 N BaxleyAppling, GAMINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AT APPLING COUNTY EOC. TIME ESTIMATED WITH RADAR.
11:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nne BaxleyAppling, GADOWNDED TREES CAUSED MODERATE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND ARE BLOCKING ROADS. TIME OF OCCURANCE ESTIMATED WITH RADAR. RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
11:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nne BaxleyAppling, GADOWNED TREES CAUSED MODERATE STRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND ARE BLOCKING ROADS. TIME OF OCCURANCE ESTIMATED WITH RADAR. RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
11:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nne BaxleyAppling, GASTRUCTURAL DAMAGE AND DOWNED TREES BLOCKING ROADS. TIME OF OCCURANCE ESTIMATED WITH RADAR.
11:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw BaxleyAppling, GAMINOR STRUCTURAL DAMAGE ALONG GOLDEN ISLES PARKWAY. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED WITH RADAR. RCVD VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
11:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 S GrahamAppling, GASEVERAL DOWNED TREES NEAR INTERSECTION OF ZOAR RD AND DON HALL RD. TIME OF EVENT ESTIMATED WITH RADAR. RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2017 tornado in GeorgiaEvery tornado in Georgia since 1950Warnings in force in Georgia nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of January 22, 2017

20 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
January 222:56 AM ESTEF2Thomas, GA18.77003$270,000
January 223:29 AM ESTEF3Brooks, GA24.77001145$2.5 million
January 224:25 AM ESTEF1Liberty, GA0.6250
January 224:47 AM ESTEF1Coffee, GA3.11,200
January 227:00 AM ESTEF1Lowndes, GA4.8400$250,000
January 2212:36 PM CSTEF0Tuscaloosa, AL0.3200
January 221:02 PM CSTEF1Henry, AL5.5100$100,000
January 221:06 PM CSTEF1Bullock, AL2.0320
January 222:38 PM ESTEF2Clay, GA12.04001$650,000
January 221:46 PM CSTEF0Lee, AL4.8200
January 222:50 PM ESTEF1Franklin, FL2.4350
January 222:00 PM CSTEF1Lee, AL3.1540
January 223:15 PM ESTEF3Dougherty, GA70.42,200588$310 million
January 223:52 PM ESTEF1Crisp, GA6.9300$20,000
January 224:00 PM ESTEF1Crisp, GA0.3900$10,000
January 224:15 PM ESTEF1Bleckley, GA2.2100$20,000
January 224:22 PM ESTEF0Bleckley, GA0.650$10,000
January 224:47 PM ESTEF1Atkinson, GA3.11,200
January 226:26 PM ESTEF1Camden, GA16.6120
January 226:29 PM ESTEF1Camden, GA1.6120

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.