Tornadoes · United States · Florida · 2025
EF1 tornado, Mt Carrie to Olustee, Florida, March 16, 2025
From Mt Carrie to Olustee, this EF1 tornado ran 2.7 miles across Columbia and Baker counties on March 16, 2025, touching down at 11:38 AM EDT and reaching 120 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF1
- Date
- March 16, 2025
- Touchdown
- 11:38 AM EDT (15:38 UTC)
- Lifted
- 11:44 AM EDT (15:44 UTC)
- On the ground
- 6 minutes
- Path length
- 2.7 miles (4.4 km)
- Path width
- 120 yards (110 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Counties
- Columbia and Baker counties
- Touchdown point
- 30.266, -82.488
- Lift-off point
- 30.281, -82.452
- Record number
- 2503160938-01
The damage survey
4 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS JAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 90 mph.
- Damage path approximately 300-400ft wide. Majority pine tree damage.
- Damage path approximately 250ft-300ft wide. Pine trees.
- Damage path width of about 250ft-300ft. Pine Tree damage, mainly snapped trunks.
- Several pine tree trunks snapped. Damage path narrowed to about 100ft.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A strong pre-frontal squall line moved across the region during the day. A slight risk of severe storms was in place for the local area with bulk shear of 45-60 kts phased with diurnal instability and 0-3 km SRH near 300 s2/m2 posing a tornado threat, especially for locations north of the Interstate 10 corridor. A couple of tornadoes impacted the local area with other reports of wind damage.
At approximately 11:38 AM EDT, a tornado with estimated peak winds|of 90 mph touched down over the Osceola National Forest near NE|Olino Rd, just north of Interstate 10 in Olustee, FL. The tornado|broke off many small branches, snapped tree trunks of many small |pines trees, and ripped the bark off of a medium sized pine tree |at NE Olino Rd near NE Gum Swamp Rd before quickly progressing |northeastward into a heavily forested area. The tornado then |proceeded to snap the trunks of many small pine trees on County |Road 250A as well as a service road just off of CR 250A before |continuing into more dense forest to its northeast. The width of |the tornado's track became much more narrow as it crossed into |far western Baker County and ended near Forest Road 211, where |several more small tree trunks were snapped.
At approximately 11:38 AM EDT, a tornado with estimated peak winds|of 90 mph touched down over the Osceola National Forest near NE|Olino Rd, just north of Interstate 10 in Olustee, FL. The tornado|broke off many small branches, snapped tree trunks of many small |pines trees, and ripped the bark off of a medium sized pine tree |at NE Olino Rd near NE Gum Swamp Rd before quickly progressing |northeastward into a heavily forested area. The tornado then |proceeded to snap the trunks of many small pine trees on County |Road 250A as well as a service road just off of CR 250A before |continuing into more dense forest to its northeast. The width of |the tornado's track became much more narrow as it crossed into |far western Baker County and ended near Forest Road 211, where |several more small tree trunks were snapped.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
1 minute of warning. NWS JAX issued a tornado warning for this county at 15:37 UTC, 1 minute before the tornado touched down, in force until 16:00 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 12:05 UTC and running to 18:50 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12:05 UTC | 18:50 UTC | Tornado Watch | JAX |
| 14:38 UTC | 15:15 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX |
| 15:13 UTC | 15:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX |
| 15:37 UTC | 16:00 UTC | Tornado Warning | JAX |
| 15:46 UTC | 16:04 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 12:40 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), 12:00Z
3.6 hours before the tornado, 78 km from the path. March 16, 2025.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 49 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -257 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 196 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 878 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 53 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 41 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 454 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 479 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 3.5 K/km
Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), 00:00Z
8.4 hours after it, 78 km from the path. March 17, 2025.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 687 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -15 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 809 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 571 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 70 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 42 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 408 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 388 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.8
- Supercell composite
- 6.7
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.9 K/km
The surface observations
Lake City (LCQ), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:55 UTC | 71.6 | 68 | 180° 10 kt | 14 | 1010.8 | |
| 14:15 UTC | 71.6 | 68 | 180° 13 kt | 22 | 1011.2 | -RA |
| 14:35 UTC | 71.6 | 68 | 190° 12 kt | 19 | 1011.9 | -RA |
| 14:55 UTC | 69.8 | 68 | 190° 8 kt | 1011.9 | -VCTSRA | |
| 15:15 UTC | 71.6 | 68 | 170° 7 kt | 1012.5 | TSRA | |
| 15:35 UTC | 68 | 64.4 | 240° 11 kt | 30 | 1013.2 | TSRA |
| 15:55 UTC | 66.2 | 64.4 | 0° 0 kt | 1012.2 | -VCTSDZ | |
| 16:15 UTC | 68 | 64.4 | 70° 3 kt | 1011.9 | -RA | |
| 16:35 UTC | 66.2 | 66.2 | 80° 3 kt | 1011.5 | -RA | |
| 16:55 UTC | 68 | 66.2 | 0° 0 kt | 1011.9 | -RA | |
| 17:15 UTC | 69.8 | 68 | 190° 4 kt | 1012.2 | ||
| 17:35 UTC | 69.8 | 68 | 180° 6 kt | 1011.5 |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 77 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 15:39 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:40 UTC | TORNADO | 6 Nnw Olustee | Columbia, FL | Corrects previous tstm wnd dmg report from 6 NNW Olustee to tornado damage based on NWS storm survey. Large tree branches snapped in Osceola forest, picture on social media. Time estimated by radar. |
| 15:43 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 6 Nnw Olustee | Columbia, FL | Large tree branches snapped in Osceola forest, picture on social media. Time estimated by radar. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2025 tornado in FloridaEvery tornado in Florida since 1950Warnings in force in Florida nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of March 16, 2025
14 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 16 | 6:28 AM EDT | EF1 | Mitchell, GA | 5.3 | 1,200 | $300,000 | ||
| March 16 | 7:00 AM EDT | EF0 | Burke, GA | 4.3 | 75 | |||
| March 16 | 7:01 AM EDT | EF0 | Burke, GA | 3.1 | 100 | |||
| March 16 | 8:27 AM EDT | EF0 | Barnwell, SC | 0.3 | 50 | |||
| March 16 | 8:38 AM EDT | EF1 | Lexington, SC | 5.8 | 125 | |||
| March 16 | 10:52 AM EDT | EF0 | Charlton, GA | 6.8 | 10 | |||
| March 16 | 12:44 PM EDT | EF1 | Fayette, PA | 1.6 | 75 | |||
| March 16 | 1:05 PM EDT | EF1 | Fayette, PA | 7.7 | 75 | |||
| March 16 | 1:19 PM EDT | EF1 | Westmoreland, PA | 1.2 | 50 | |||
| March 16 | 1:25 PM EDT | EF0 | Westmoreland, PA | 1.7 | 50 | |||
| March 16 | 1:30 PM EDT | EF1 | Indiana, PA | 1.1 | 50 | |||
| March 16 | 2:22 PM EDT | EF1 | Elk, PA | 0.5 | 200 | $350,000 | ||
| March 16 | 2:48 PM EDT | EF1 | Clinton, PA | 0.7 | 500 | $300,000 | ||
| March 16 | 7:25 PM EDT | EF1 | Pender, NC | 3.1 | 200 | $30,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.