Tornadoes · United States · Florida · 2020

EF2 tornado, Ulmerton to Feather Sound, Florida, December 16, 2020

From Ulmerton to Feather Sound, this EF2 tornado ran 13.1 miles across Pinellas County on December 16, 2020, touching down at 3:49 PM EST and reaching 300 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $16 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF2
Date
December 16, 2020
Touchdown
3:49 PM EST (20:49 UTC)
Lifted
4:11 PM EST (21:11 UTC)
On the ground
22 minutes
Path length
13.1 miles (21.1 km)
Path width
300 yards (274 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$16 million
County
Pinellas County
Touchdown point
27.864, -82.752
Lift-off point
27.934, -82.553
Record number
2012161449-01

The damage survey

19 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS TBW, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF2. The highest wind the damage implies is 121 mph.

  • Heavy damage. Fire Rescue on scene
  • Damage to warehouse, trees down
  • Insulation on fence at KPIE
  • 4 structures damaged in Club Bayou development

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico moved into the Florida Panhandle with a trailing cold front moving through West Central Florida in the afternoon. A surge of moisture ahead of the front created a brief opportunity for strong and locally severe storms. The strongest thunderstorm cell tracked from central Pinellas County to north of Plant City, then into north Lakeland, dropping a tornado sporadically along its path.

Tornado formed near Bayou Club near Pinellas Park, then crossed Belcher Road and hit an industrial park where the greatest damage was observed. Buildings had uplift and removal of roof decking, outer walls collapsed. Two buildings were destroyed and five had major|damage. Several buildings in a boat storage facility had major damage and large 2-ton boats where thrown about. The damage became more spotty as it approached U.S. Highway 19. Insulation debris collected on a fence near the Saint Pete/Clearwater International Airport. Video on social media showed the tornado crossing the Howard Franklin Bridge (Interstate 275) with debris and a light pole dropping in front of the observer. The tornado then weakened and lifted as it reached the eastern edge of the Howard Franklin Bridge with no further damage observed. In total, 4 warehouses were destroyed with 9 receiving major damage and 6 others receiving minor damage. 1 home received major damage and 17 others received minor damage.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

1 minute of warning. NWS TBW issued a tornado warning for this county at 20:48 UTC, 1 minute before the tornado touched down, in force until 21:15 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
17:00 UTC00:00 UTCRip Currents StatementTBW
20:48 UTC21:15 UTCTornado WarningTBW

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:56 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), 12:00Z

8.8 hours before the tornado, 33 km from the path. December 16, 2020.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2020-12-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -72460, lifted condensation level 1041 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2020-12-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 89 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 41 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-72460 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1041 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
89 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
2.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), 00:00Z

3.2 hours after it, 33 km from the path. December 17, 2020.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2020-12-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 42 joules per kilogram, CIN -137, lifted condensation level 862 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 00:00Z on 2020-12-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 199 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 39 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
42 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-137 J/kg
Surface CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
862 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
199 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
166 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 33 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 20:47 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:50 UTCTORNADO2 W Pinellas ParkPinellas, FLAMATEUR RADIO REPORTS POWER POLES SPLIT IN HALF NEAR THE BAYOU CLUB, AND FOUR STRUCTURES DAMAGED WITHIN THE BAYOU CLUB DEVELOPMENT. TIME IS ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
20:53 UTCTORNADO2 Nw Pinellas ParkPinellas, FLMINOR TO MODERATE DAMAGE TO A PRIVATE RESIDENCE. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
20:53 UTCTORNADO2 Nw Pinellas ParkPinellas, FLDAMAGE REPORTED TO VEHICLES AND A WAREHOUSE NEAR BRYAN DAIRY ROAD AND 66TH STREET IN PINELLAS PARK. TIME ESTIMATED BASED OFF RADAR.
20:54 UTCTORNADO2 Wnw Pinellas ParkPinellas, FLREPORTS AND IMAGES OF STRUCTURE COLLAPSE IN AN INDUSTRIAL AREA ON ENDEAVOR WAY IN LARGO. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON RADAR.
20:56 UTCTORNADO2 N Pinellas ParkPinellas, FLMAJOR STRUCTURE DAMAGE REPORTED TO A BUSINESS. TIME ESTIMATED OFF OF RADAR.
20:58 UTCTORNADO2 W Feather SoundPinellas, FLAIRPORT OFFICIALS AT THE ST. PETE-CLEARWATER INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (PIE) REPORTED INSULATION FLOATING IN THE AIR AND COLLECTING IN THE FENCING ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE AIRPORT. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
21:15 UTCTORNADO2 Ssw Tampa InternationHillsborough, FLDELAYED REPORT... TPD RELAYED INFORMATION THAT A LINE WAS BLOWN OFF A POWER POLE IN THE VICINITY OF CYPRESS AND WEST SHORE. POSSIBLY CAUSED BY A TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
21:18 UTCTORNADO1 N TampaHillsborough, FLDELAYED REPORT... TPD RELAYED THAT A TENT BLEW AWAY AND LANDED ON ELECTRICAL WIRES. POSSIBLY CAUSED BY A TORNADO. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
21:59 UTCTORNADO5 Sw KathleenHillsborough, FLSOCIAL MEDIA PHOTO SHOWING MOBILE HOME DAMAGE WITH SHEET METAL DEBRIS LOFTED AROUND POWER POLES AND UTILITY LINES. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2020 tornado in FloridaEvery tornado in Florida since 1950Warnings in force in Florida nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 16, 2020

1 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 164:53 PM ESTEF1Hillsborough, FL12.9250$280,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.