Tornadoes · United States · Florida · 2019

EF1 tornado, St Johns Park to Bulow, Florida, December 14, 2019

From St Johns Park to Bulow, this EF1 tornado ran 19.4 miles across Flagler County on December 14, 2019, touching down at 5:14 AM EST and reaching 880 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
December 14, 2019
Touchdown
5:14 AM EST (10:14 UTC)
Lifted
5:40 AM EST (10:40 UTC)
On the ground
26 minutes
Path length
19.4 miles (31.2 km)
Path width
880 yards (805 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Flagler County
Touchdown point
29.399, -81.427
Lift-off point
29.440, -81.108
Record number
1912140414-01

The damage survey

29 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS JAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 110 mph.

  • first visible damage near RR tracks
  • northern most damage (width)
  • older wood frame. not to current code.
  • blown roofing and snapped softwood branches

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

On Friday, 13 December 2019, a warm front lifted and lingered across northeast Florida with surface dew points rising into the mid to upper 60s generally along and south of a line from St. Augustine to Gainesville. A strong upper level trough deepened across the central Gulf Coast region with a resultant surface low positioned over the northeast Gulf of Mexico coast just south of Panama City that evening around 10 pm EST. As the upper level trough axis started to lift and becoming positively tilted overnight into 14 December, the surface low edge farther east northeast and tracked over southeast Georgia then offshore of the local Atlantic coast through 4 am EST. The corridor of unstable low-level air remained across our southern Florida zones with surface-based CAPE values rising into the 1000-1300 J/kg range per LAPS analysis while aloft strong directional (0-6 km) bulk shear near the mid/upper level trough axis increased to 50-70 kts. The phased low-level instability, plentiful deep layer moisture and strong dynamical lift under the upper low and just south of the surface low spawned a couple of persistent supercells with long-lived mesocyclones.

A long-lived EF1 tornado tracked west to east across Flagler county during the pre-dawn hours. The tornado entered the west side of the county near Mud Lake within the Haw Creek Preserve around 5:15 am and continued a steady east to northeast track across the central part of the county and impacted Korona and then exited offshore of the local coast near Gamble Rogers Memorial State Recreation Area, about 1 mile south of Flagler Beach around 5:40 am. The storm survey revealed the most substantial damage within the Korona city limits where EF1 damage occurred. Numerous trees, powerlines and structures were damaged. One masonary structure had its roof blown off in Korona. The following are timing of reports to relayed to the NWS from Flagler County EM: 530 am 2 SSW Flagler Beach a tree was blown down through a roof of a home along Creek Bluff Run in Bulowville, 532 am many roads were closed near Korona and County Road 330 due to widespread tree damage, 532 am several structures had damage behind the White Eagle Lounge in Korona, 536 am a motorhome was flipped and had roof and deck damage along South 28th Street in Flagler Beach, 536 am oak trunks were twisted and trees heavily damaged along Creek Bluff Run, 540 am debris was across the roads and street lights were damaged between South 23rd Street and South 28th Street in South Flagler Beach, and at 540 am some structural damage was reported between south Flagler Beach and Bulowville.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
09:57 UTC10:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningJAX
10:17 UTC10:45 UTCTornado WarningJAX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 05:43 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), 00:00Z

10.2 hours before the tornado, 127 km from the path. December 14, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2019-12-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 651 joules per kilogram, CIN -3, lifted condensation level 624 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2019-12-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 80 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
651 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Surface CAPE
184 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
624 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
4.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), 12:00Z

1.8 hours after it, 127 km from the path. December 14, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2019-12-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -75108, lifted condensation level 1268 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2019-12-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -207 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 65 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-75108 J/kg
Surface CAPE
481 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1268 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
65 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3
0-3 km lapse rate
5.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 126 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 10:12 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
09:10 UTCTSTM WND DMGW InterlachenPutnam, FLPOTENTIAL TORNADO DAMAGE IN WEST INTERLACHEN. WIDESPREAD REPORTS OF TREES DOWN, POWER LINES DOWN AND EXTERIOR BUILDING STRUCTURE DAMAGE. TIME OF DAMAGE WAS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.
09:25 UTCTSTM WND GST 02 Nne InterlachenPutnam, FLPOSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE JUST NNE OF INTERLACHEN ALONG MALTAS AVENUE IN THE INTERLACHEN LAKE ESTATES AREA. REPORTS OF STRUCTURAL AND TREE DAMAGE. WITNESSES REPORTED LOAD ROADING TRAIN SOUND. TIME OF DAMAGE WAS BASED ON RA
09:30 UTCTSTM WND DMGPalatkaPutnam, FLWIND DAMAGE IN PALATKA INCLUDING TREES DOWN AND POWERLINES DOWN. TIME OF EVENT BASED ON RADAR.
09:35 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nne InterlachenPutnam, FLPOSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE ALONG MARION AVENUE NNE OF INTERLACHEN NEAR THE FOLWER AREA INCLUDING TREES DOWN AND SOME STRUCTURE DAMAGE NOTED TO FENCES. TIME OF DAMAGE WAS BASED ON RADRA.
10:05 UTCTORNADOElktonSt. Johns, FLTRAINED STORM SPOTTER REPORTED ABOUT A 50 YARD TORNADO ON THE GROUND NEAR STATE ROAD 207 AND COUNTY ROAD 305 IN ELKTON. TREE DEBRIS, SHINGLES AND TIN ROOF REPORTED IN TREES AND ACROSS THE GROUND.
10:06 UTCTSTM WND DMGN ElktonSt. Johns, FLPOSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. KITCHEN AND BATH STORE SUSTAINED ROOF DAMAGE AS WELL AS DAMAGE TO THEIR SUPPLIES INCLUDING SOLID SURFACE COUNTERTOPS.
10:20 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD5 Wsw Saint Augustine BSt. Johns, FLFUNNEL CLOUD WAS REPORTED OVER 762 GILDA DRIVE.
10:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ssw Flagler BeachFlagler, FLPOTENTIAL TORNADO DAMAGE. TREE DOWN THROUGH ROOF OF HOME ALONG 20 CREEK BLUFF RUN IN BULOWVILLE.
10:30 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Se BunnellFlagler, FLTREES DOWN NEAR US-1 AND SEMINOLE WOODS BLVD. RADAR ESTIMATED TIME.
10:32 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Se BunnellFlagler, FLPOSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. MANY ROADS ARE CLOSED NEAR KORONA INCLUDING COUNTY ROAD 330 DUE TO WIDESPREAD TREE DAMAGE.
10:32 UTCTSTM WND DMG6 Se BunnellFlagler, FLPOSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. SEVERAL STRUCTURES WITH DAMAGE IN KORONA BEHIND THE WHITE EAGLE LOUNGE.
10:33 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 Se BunnellFlagler, FLPOSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. ROOF OFF AND WINDOWS BLOWN OUT ON HOUSE. NO INJURIES.
10:36 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Sse Flagler BeachFlagler, FLPOTENTIAL TORNADO DAMAGE. SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE INCLUDING A FLIPPED MOTORHOME, DECK AND ROOF DAMAGE AND TWISTED DEBRIS AROUND TREES ALONG SOUTH 28TH STREET IN FLAGLER BEACH. TIME OF DAMAGE WAS BAS
10:36 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 S Flagler BeachFlagler, FLPOSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE INCLUDING TWISTED OAK TRUNKS AND TREES DOWN ALONG CREEK BLUFF RUN. TIME OF DAMAGE WAS BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.
10:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Sse Flagler BeachFlagler, FLPOSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF TREES DOWN, POWER LINES AND SOME STRUCTURAL DAMAGE BETWEEN SOUTH FLAGLER BEACH AND BULOWVILLE. TIME OF DAMAGE BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.
10:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Sse Flagler BeachFlagler, FLPOTENTIAL TORNADO DAMAGE. NUMEROUS REPORTS OF DEBRIS ACROSS ROADS AND STREET LIGHT DAMAGE BETWEEN S 23RD STREET AND S 28TH STREET IN SOUTH FLAGLER BEACH. TIME BASED ON RADAR IMAGERY.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in FloridaEvery tornado in Florida since 1950Warnings in force in Florida nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of December 14, 2019

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
December 143:53 AM ESTEF0Alachua, FL0.245
December 145:05 AM ESTEF0Saint Johns, FL0.3325

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.