Tornadoes · United States · Florida · 2007
EF3 tornado, Royal to Wildwood, Florida, February 2, 2007
From Royal to Wildwood, this EF3 tornado ran 5.7 miles across Sumter County on February 2, 2007, touching down at 3:10 AM EST and reaching 335 yards wide. It killed nobody and injured 15, and did $62 million of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mphthis tornado
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF3
- Date
- February 2, 2007
- Touchdown
- 3:10 AM EST (08:10 UTC)
- Lifted
- 3:16 AM EST (08:16 UTC)
- On the ground
- 6 minutes
- Path length
- 5.7 miles (9.1 km)
- Path width
- 335 yards (306 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 15
- Property damage
- $62 million
- County
- Sumter County
- Touchdown point
- 28.881, -82.046
- Lift-off point
- 28.898, -81.954
- Record number
- 0702020210-01
What the Weather Service recorded
A developing area of low pressure over the western Gulf of Mexico on Thursday, February 1 intensified and moved off the mid Atlantic coast Friday. Numerous thunderstorms developed out ahead of and along the associated cold front that pushed into southern Florida late Friday. The first tornado of the year to use the Enhanced Fujita Scale occurred just after 3 AM Friday in The Villages in northeast Sumter County. Several violent tornadoes were reported across central Florida early Friday morning. This violent tornado outbreak was the largest in Florida since the Kissimmee tornadoes of February 22-23, 1998. |In addition to the tornadoes, gusty southwest winds ahead of the cold front combined with high tide to cause areas of minor coastal flooding along west and southwest facing shorelines north of Tampa Bay.
The tornado first touched down near the southeast corner of The Villages south of Lake Miona and moved rapidly to the east northeast at 55 MPH into Lake County. A FEMA report to Sumter County emergency management officials detailed damage to 1,145 homes with 200 destroyed during the 6 minutes the tornado was on the ground. A National Weather Service storm survey estimated maximum winds of 140 MPH. No fatalities were recorded in Sumter County and 15 injuries is a rough estimate.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
8 minutes of warning. NWS TBW issued a tornado warning for this county at 08:02 UTC, 8 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 08:20 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 05:56 UTC and running to 10:58 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05:56 UTC | 10:58 UTC | Tornado Watch | TBW |
| 08:02 UTC | 08:20 UTC | Tornado Warning | TBW |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 06:01 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), 00:00Z
8.2 hours before the tornado, 137 km from the path. February 2, 2007.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 156 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -98 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 433 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 835 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 74 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 424 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 498 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.2
- Supercell composite
- 2.3
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.7 K/km
Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), 12:00Z
3.8 hours after it, 137 km from the path. February 2, 2007.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 997 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -10 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 1375 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 598 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 43 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 345 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 378 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.7
- Supercell composite
- 10.5
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.6 K/km
The radar
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 137 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 08:10 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:11 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 6 | Lowell | Marion, FL | SPOTTER MEASURED 6.0 INCHES OF RAIN FROM 2/1 THORUGH 1 AM 2/2/07 NEAR BAKERSFIELD IN NW MARION COUNTY. |
| 08:10 UTC | TORNADO | 6 Ne Wildwood | Sumter, FL | LIKELY TORNADO. SIGNIFICANT STRUCTURAL DAMAGE IN NORTHERN SUMTER COUNTY. AREA GENERALLY BETWEEN OXFORD AND THE VILLAGES CONTINUING INTO LAKE COUNTY. AN NWS SURVEY TEAM WILL BE ENROUTE BY MID MORNING. |
| 08:15 UTC | TORNADO | Lady Lake | Lake, FL | PRELIMINARY REPORT. DOWNED TREES, POWER LINES AND DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES IN LADY LAKE AREA VICINITY HWY 27 AND OAK HILL ROAD |
| 08:20 UTC | TORNADO | Lady Lake | Lake, FL | HIGH END ENHANCED F-3 TORNADO...EF-3...REPORTED BY NWS MELBOURNE SURVEY CREW. ESTIMATED WINDS OF 155 TO 160 MPH. |
| 08:20 UTC | TORNADO | The Villages | Lake, FL | POSSIBLE TORNADO. LAKE COUNTY E. M. REPORTS EXTENSIVE DAMAGE TO HOMES AND MOBILE HOMES IN THE VILLAGES AND LADY LAKE AREAS WITH AT LEAST ONE POSSIBLE FATALITY. ADDITIONAL DAMAGE REPORTED IN LAKE MACK NEAR HWY 42 AND 44. |
| 08:30 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 Sw Weirsdale | Marion, FL | POSSIBLE TORNADO DAMAGE. FENCING SHATTERED IN NEIGHBORHOOD. |
| 08:45 UTC | TORNADO | Paisley | Lake, FL | *** 11 FATAL *** |
| 08:48 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Ssw Forest Hills | Lake, FL | *** 11 FATAL *** LAKE MACK. SURVEY CREW FOUND HIGH END EF3 TORNADO DAMAGE AT THIS SITE WITH WINDS ESTIMATED AT 160 TO 165 MPH. |
| 08:50 UTC | TORNADO | 9 E Paisley | Lake, FL | *** 3 FATAL *** AT FOREST DRIVE AND STATE ROAD 44 IN LAKE COUNTY. SURVEY REPORTS HIGH END EF3 DAMAGE WITH WINDS 150 TO 154 MPH. |
| 09:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 7.68 | Salt Springs | Marion, FL | 24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL. |
| 11:00 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 7 | Ocala | Marion, FL | HAM OPERATOR RECEIVED REPORTS OF 5 TO 7 INCHES OF RAIN OVERNITE IN THE OCALA AREA. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2007 tornado in FloridaEvery tornado in Florida since 1950Warnings in force in Florida nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of February 2, 2007
4 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 2 | 3:17 AM EST | EF3 | Lake, FL | 10.5 | 450 | 8 | 10 | $52 million |
| February 2 | 3:37 AM EST | EF3 | Lake, FL | 26.0 | 450 | 13 | 51 | $98 million |
| February 2 | 4:22 AM EST | EF1 | Volusia, FL | 3.1 | 100 | $6.0 million | ||
| February 2 | 8:00 AM EST | EF0 | Polk, FL | 0.5 | 50 | $2,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.