Tornadoes · United States · Arkansas · 2016

EF1 tornado, Sensation to Winfield, Arkansas, March 13, 2016

From Sensation to Winfield, this EF1 tornado ran 4.8 miles across Scott County on March 13, 2016, touching down at 3:56 PM CDT and reaching 850 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $150,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 13, 2016
Touchdown
3:56 PM CDT (20:56 UTC)
Lifted
4:07 PM CDT (21:07 UTC)
On the ground
11 minutes
Path length
4.8 miles (7.7 km)
Path width
850 yards (777 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$150,000
County
Scott County
Touchdown point
34.853, -94.245
Lift-off point
34.904, -94.188
Record number
1603131456-01

The damage survey

27 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LZK, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.

  • about 6 pine trees uprooted with a few limbs down as well.
  • about 6 oak trees uprooted in a northerly direction with treetops snapped north of the damage point.
  • several trees uprooted around home. minor damage to structure.
  • trees branches broken. Tin roof peeled up. roof removed

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Severe thunderstorms produced very large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes during the afternoon and evening.

The tornado uprooted trees and caused damage to several buildings, including 7 to 8 homes.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 19:10 UTC and running to 00:14 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
19:10 UTC00:14 UTCTornado WatchLZK
20:30 UTC21:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK
20:38 UTC21:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK
20:40 UTC21:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK
21:01 UTC21:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK
21:04 UTC21:30 UTCTornado WarningLZK
21:33 UTC22:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZK

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:46 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 12:00Z

8.9 hours before the tornado, 228 km from the path. March 13, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2016-03-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 53 joules per kilogram, CIN -33, lifted condensation level 568 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2016-03-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -12 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 4 knots.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
53 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-33 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
568 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
4 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Springfield, MO (KSGF), 00:00Z

3.1 hours after it, 228 km from the path. March 14, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2016-03-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 733 joules per kilogram, CIN -4, lifted condensation level 780 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2016-03-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -4 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 17 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
733 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-4 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1057 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
780 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
101 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2
0-3 km lapse rate
6.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Mena Intermountain Municipal (MEZ), 37 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
19:15 UTC71.659150° 6 kt1005.4
19:35 UTC71.659180° 6 kt1005.1
19:55 UTC73.459140° 7 kt1004.4
20:15 UTC71.659150° 6 kt1003.7
20:35 UTC71.659120° 5 kt1002.7VCTS
20:55 UTC71.660.8150° 4 kt1002.7
21:15 UTC71.659140° 5 kt1002.7
21:35 UTC73.459190° 9 kt141002.7
21:55 UTC73.455.4220° 6 kt1003
22:15 UTC73.448.2230° 10 kt171003
22:35 UTC75.250220° 7 kt151003
22:55 UTC73.450240° 6 kt1002.7

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 48 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 20:54 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
20:42 UTCHAIL 13 W MenaPolk, ARPUBLIC REPORTS 1 INCH SIZE HAIL COVERING THE GROUND WEST OF MENA. MPING
20:44 UTCTSTM WND DMGWinfieldScott, AR7-8 HOUSES WERE DAMAGED NEAR WINFIELD.
20:45 UTCHAIL 1.75Lake HinkleScott, ARGOLF BALL SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY FIRE DEPARTMENT IN LAKE HINKLE.
20:56 UTCTORNADO 12 Ese Lake HinkleScott, ARTORNADO UPROOTED TREES AND CAUSED DAMAGE TO SEVERAL BUILDINGS. PATH LENGTH 4.4 MI...MAX WIDTH 850 YDS...MAX WIND 86 TO 110 MPH.
21:02 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ese HonScott, ARHALF A DOZEN PINE TREES WERE KNOCKED DOWN...AS WELL AS SOME LARGE TREE LIMBS.
23:00 UTCHAIL 0.75Fort SmithSebastian, AR

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in ArkansasEvery tornado in Arkansas since 1950Warnings in force in Arkansas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 13, 2016

10 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 134:48 PM CDTEF1Montgomery, AR1.7180$200,000
March 136:15 PM CDTEF0Perry, AR1.750$10,000
March 136:32 PM CDTEF0Jefferson, AR0.650$8,000
March 137:00 PM CDTEF0Arkansas, AR1.350
March 137:32 PM CDTEF0Arkansas, AR1.250$8,000
March 137:54 PM CDTEF0Phillips, AR2.9100$25,000
March 138:16 PM CDTEF0Phillips, AR3.8125$35,000
March 139:10 PM CDTEF1Cross, AR2.0125$25,000
March 139:15 PM CDTEF1Chicot, AR9.03001$2.5 million
March 1310:13 PM CDTEF0Bolivar, MS0.550$40,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.