Tornadoes · United States · Arizona · 2019

EF0 tornado, Stanfield, Arizona, September 23, 2019

This EF0 tornado ran 0.5 miles across Pinal County on September 23, 2019, touching down at 6:23 PM MST and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
September 23, 2019
Touchdown
6:23 PM MST (01:23 UTC)
Lifted
6:25 PM MST (01:25 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
0.5 miles (0.9 km)
Path width
50 yards (46 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Pinal County
Touchdown point
32.870, -111.880
Lift-off point
32.876, -111.874
Record number
1909231923-01

What the Weather Service recorded

Significant amounts of tropical moisture spread north and into south central Arizona on September 23rd; the moisture interacted with a strong upper low west of Phoenix to produce numerous showers and thunderstorms during the morning and afternoon hours. Many of the storms generated very heavy rain which led to multiple episodes of flash flooding. However, there were a few storms that became severe, due to favorable environmental conditions including elevated instability and strong wind shear with height. In addition to the typical monsoonal weather hazards such as gusty outflow winds, one of the storms managed to produce a weak tornado, which is very unusual for southern Arizona. The tornado formed near New River around noon, and actually produced modest damage. The tornado stayed on the ground for nearly one mile. No injuries were reported but the tornado generated significant media attention due to its rarity.

Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms continued to develop across the central deserts during the afternoon hours on September 23rd. In addition to producing very heavy rain, one exceptionally strong storm actually produced a weak tornado between Stanfield and Casa Grande during the late afternoon. Atmospheric conditions were especially favorable for weak tornadoes, given the elevated instability combined with much stronger than normal wind shear with height. In this case, a trained spotter viewed the weak landspout tornado over an open field; it quickly dissipated near State Route 84 and Midway Road. The tornado occurred at approximately 1825MST. Fortunately the tornado did not produce any damage or injuries.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 16:52 UTC and running to 03:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
12:00 UTC18:00 UTCFlash Flood WatchPSR
12:15 UTC16:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryPSR
12:41 UTC16:45 UTCFlash Flood WarningPSR
13:01 UTC17:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningPSR
13:01 UTC17:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryPSR
13:09 UTC17:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningPSR
15:36 UTC19:30 UTCFlash Flood WarningPSR
16:52 UTC03:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchPSR
21:28 UTC22:30 UTCDust Storm WarningPSR
21:32 UTC23:00 UTCDust Storm WarningTWC
21:41 UTC22:45 UTCDust Storm WarningPSR
22:51 UTC23:45 UTCDust Storm WarningTWC
03:25 UTC06:15 UTCFlood AdvisoryTWC
04:25 UTC05:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningTWC

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 00:29 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), 00:00Z

1.4 hours before the tornado, 63 km from the path. September 24, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2019-09-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 161 joules per kilogram, CIN -184, lifted condensation level 1857 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 00:00Z on 2019-09-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -79 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 52 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
161 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-184 J/kg
Surface CAPE
317 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1857 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-79 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.9
0-3 km lapse rate
6.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), 12:00Z

10.6 hours after it, 63 km from the path. September 24, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2019-09-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -7920, lifted condensation level 1920 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2019-09-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -74 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 44 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-7920 J/kg
Surface CAPE
105 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1920 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-74 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Maricopa - Ak-chin (A39), 14 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
23:35 UTC82.460.810° 22 kt1013.5
23:55 UTC82.460.810° 21 kt1013.5
00:15 UTC80.65910° 21 kt241013.2
00:35 UTC80.659360° 18 kt1013.2
00:55 UTC80.660.810° 17 kt1013.2
01:15 UTC78.862.6360° 14 kt1013.2
01:35 UTC7760.8340° 11 kt1013.2
01:55 UTC7762.6340° 13 kt1013.5
02:15 UTC7760.8350° 16 kt1013.9
02:35 UTC7760.810° 17 kt1014.2
02:55 UTC75.260.8360° 16 kt1014.9
03:15 UTC75.25920° 16 kt1015.2

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Phoenix radar (KIWA), 50 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 01:25 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:40 UTCDUST STORMEloyPinal, AZDRIVER MOVING THROUGH THE ELOY AREA REPORTS DENSE DUST IN THE AREA. ROUGHLY 10 FEET OF VISIBILITY ESTIMATED.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in ArizonaEvery tornado in Arizona since 1950Warnings in force in Arizona nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of September 23, 2019

2 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
September 2312:06 PM MSTEF0Maricopa, AZ1.0100$20,000
September 239:23 PM MSTEF1Cochise, AZ1.75805$250,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.