Rivers in Virginia
Goose Creek near Leesburg
Below flood stage
1.80ftStage
Observed Tue, Sep 22, 5:45 AM EDT
- Flood stage
- 12.00 ft
- Forecast crest
- 2.80 ftWed, Sep 23, 8:00 AM EDT
- Record crest
- 30.59 ft1972
Flood stages and impacts
| Category | Stage |
|---|---|
| Major flood | 18.00 ft |
| Moderate flood | 15.00 ft |
| Minor flood | 12.00 ft |
| Action | 10.00 ft |
- 23.00 ftHighway 15, Evergreen Mills Road, and Lime Kiln Road are all flooded. Tributary flooding strands residents near Oatlands Mill.
- 20.00 ftHighway 15 is flooded south of Leesburg.
- 18.00 ftWater threatens several homes south of Leesburg. Highway 15 will likely have to be closed.
- 16.00 ftWater reaches Highway 15 near the intersection with Oatlands Mill Road.
- 15.00 ftWater approaches a home near Highway 15 south of Leesburg.
- 14.00 ftWater approaches low spots along State Route 733, Lime Kiln Road. Water is in the backyards of homes near Highway 15, and reaches the underside of two low bridges over the creek at Crooked Bridge Lane.
- 13.00 ftWater reaches backyards near Highway 15 south of Leesburg. A low spot on State Route 650, Oatlands Road, is flooded.
- 12.00 ftThe creek overflows its banks near Oatlands, south of Leesburg. Backwater flooding begins to affect a low spot on State Route 650, Oatlands Road.
- 11.00 ftThe creek reaches bankfull. Some minor overbank flooding is occurring between Middleburg and Oatlands.
- 10.00 ftWater begins to overflow the banks near Evergreen Mill into nearby fields.
Flood outlook
Chance of flooding, September to November
| Category | Chance |
|---|---|
| Minor flooding | 7% |
| Moderate flooding | Under 5% |
| Major flooding | Under 5% |
The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued August 28, 2026.
Crest history
72 crests on NOAA’s list since 1889.
| # | Date | Stage |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | June 22, 1972 | 30.59 ft |
| 2 | June 1, 1889 | 29.00 ft |
| 3 | August 26, 1937 | 26.86 ft |
| 4 | October 9, 1976 | 25.74 ft |
| 5 | September 23, 2003 | 23.32 ft |
| 6 | October 16, 1942 | 22.90 ft |
| 7 | August 23, 1933 | 21.60 ft |
| 8 | July 21, 1956 | 20.90 ft |
| 9 | January 20, 1996 | 20.11 ft |
| 10 | September 24, 1912 | 20.00 ft |
| 11 | October 30, 2012 | 19.82 ft |
| 12 | December 11, 1992 | 19.04 ft |
| 13 | May 12, 2008 | 18.90 ft |
| 14 | December 2, 1974 | 18.84 ft |
| 15 | May 13, 1932 | 18.45 ft |
| 16 | December 4, 1950 | 18.25 ft |
| 17 | January 31, 2013 | 18.24 ft |
| 18 | September 18, 1945 | 18.00 ft |
| 19 | March 21, 1998 | 17.43 ft |
| 20 | December 11, 2003 | 17.31 ft |
| 21 | October 28, 1937 | 17.00 ft |
| 22 | March 5, 1993 | 16.52 ft |
| 23 | February 26, 1979 | 16.36 ft |
| 24 | February 15, 1984 | 16.36 ft |
| 25 | September 7, 1996 | 15.91 ft |
Most recent crests
- January 10, 2024: 12.62 ft
- December 23, 2022: 12.29 ft
- March 22, 2019: 14.17 ft
- December 16, 2018: 14.75 ft
- September 28, 2018: 12.60 ft
- February 4, 2016: 11.50 ft
- September 30, 2015: 12.15 ft
- May 16, 2014: 15.58 ft
- May 1, 2014: 14.07 ft
- January 31, 2013: 18.24 ft
Nearby
Upstream, downstream and the gauges around this one.
What this means
Forecasts by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued routinely year-round. Stage may be affected by ice.
Sources
Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.