Navidad River near Speaks

1. 33.00 ftDisastrous flooding occurs with the lowest homes upstream near Vienna and in the lower part of Lavaca and northern parts of Jackson counties are flooded. Flows are over one mile wide in much of the floodplain and numerous roads and bridges are impassable. Hundreds of head of livestock are cut off and can drown.
2. 29.00 ftMajor lowland flooding continues with the river close to one mile wide near Speaks and FM 530 cutting off large areas of the floodplain. Several roads and bridges near the river are inundated and impassable. Homes in low-lying areas of the floodplain upstream near Vienna and in the lowwer part of Lavaca County are threatened. Hundreds of head of livestock are threatened.
3. 28.00 ftMajor lowland flooding begins with the river several hundred yards wide in the vicinity of the gauge. Approaches to the FM 530 bridge are flooded and impassable. Much of the floodplain is cut off endangering livestock.
4. 27.00 ftModerate lowland flooding begins with the approaches to the FM 530 bridge inundated and the gage cut off. Large areas of the floodplain are cut off potentially isolated and drowning cattle.
5. 24.00 ftMinor lowland flooding begins with the river one hundred yards wide in the vicinity of the gage. The approaches to the FM 530 bridge are flooded.
6. 21.00 ftFlows exceed the lowest sections of both banks.

Chance of flooding, September to November

The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued August 28, 2026.

Most recent crests

• July 10, 2021: 24.87 ft
• December 9, 2018: 23.89 ft
• August 29, 2017: 32.79 ft
• April 20, 2016: 27.73 ft
• June 17, 2015: 27.75 ft
• May 20, 2015: 24.00 ft
• October 5, 2009: 25.03 ft
• April 19, 2009: 28.20 ft
• June 26, 2004: 24.20 ft
• October 18, 1998: 30.24 ft

• UpstreamNavidad River at Sublime
• DownstreamNavidad River at Morales
• Sandy Creek at Cordele
• Lavaca River at Hallettsville
• Navidad River at Strane Park
• Lavaca River at Breslau
• West Mustang Creek at Ganado
• East Mustang Creek at Louise

Forecasts by the West Gulf River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued as needed during times of high water, but are not routinely available. River forecasts for this location take into account past precipitation and the precipitation amounts expected approximately 24 hours into the future from the forecast issuance time.

Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.