Rivers in Pennsylvania
Conodoguinet Creek near Hogestown
Below flood stage
2.96ftStage
Observed Wed, Sep 23, 2:30 PM EDT
- Flood stage
- 8.00 ft
- Forecast crest
- 3.00 ftWed, Sep 23, 8:00 PM EDT
- Record crest
- 17.01 ft1972
Flood stages and impacts
| Category | Stage |
|---|---|
| Major flood | 12.00 ft |
| Moderate flood | 10.00 ft |
| Minor flood | 8.00 ft |
| Action | 6.00 ft |
- 18.50 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 0.2% Annual Chance Flood level (500-year flood). Flood waters are expected to reach the bottom of the Sample Bridge Road Bridge near the river gage.
- 16.00 ftMost homes near the creek are affected by flooding. Most secondary roads across the creek will be closed due to high water.
- 15.60 ftMaximum recordable gage height (stage sensor operational limit). Water levels above this stage are not reported in real time.
- 15.50 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 1% Annual Chance Flood level (100-year flood).
- 14.50 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 2% Annual Chance Flood level (50-year flood).
- 14.00 ftHomes along the entire length of the creek are affected by high water.
- 12.20 ftApproximate level of the FEMA 10% Annual Chance Flood level (10-year flood).
- 12.00 ftNumerous homes are affected by high water all along the creek. The approaches to the bridges on Erb's Bridge Road, Sample Bridge Road, and Oyster Mill Road are inundated.
- 10.00 ftSome residences in the vicinity of Erb's Bridge Road, Prowell Drive, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are flooded.
- 8.00 ftLow lying areas in the vicinity of Erbs Bridge Road, Prowell Drive, Stone Spring Lane, and Oyster Mill Road are flooded.
Flood outlook
Chance of flooding, September to November
| Category | Chance |
|---|---|
| Minor flooding | 28% |
| Moderate flooding | 9% |
| Major flooding | Under 5% |
The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued August 28, 2026.
Crest history
88 crests on NOAA’s list since 1932.
| # | Date | Stage |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | June 23, 1972 | 17.01 ft |
| 2 | September 26, 1975 | 12.56 ft |
| 3 | February 15, 1984 | 12.50 ft |
| 4 | March 12, 1952 | 12.16 ft |
| 5 | September 19, 2004 | 11.35 ft |
| 6 | December 2, 1934 | 11.32 ft |
| 7 | December 26, 2020 | 11.04 ft |
| 8 | October 23, 1952 | 10.90 ft |
| 9 | October 10, 1976 | 10.84 ft |
| 10 | August 24, 1933 | 10.66 ft |
| 11 | September 8, 2011 | 10.53 ft |
| 12 | March 13, 1936 | 10.37 ft |
| 13 | September 8, 1996 | 10.32 ft |
| 14 | January 25, 1979 | 10.30 ft |
| 15 | July 26, 2018 | 10.10 ft |
| 16 | March 12, 2011 | 10.07 ft |
| 17 | June 28, 2005 | 10.05 ft |
| 18 | February 26, 1979 | 9.93 ft |
| 19 | April 18, 2011 | 9.74 ft |
| 20 | April 27, 1937 | 9.66 ft |
| 21 | April 3, 1970 | 9.64 ft |
| 22 | November 3, 1956 | 9.55 ft |
| 23 | November 28, 1993 | 9.49 ft |
| 24 | November 24, 2011 | 9.48 ft |
| 25 | November 24, 2011 | 9.48 ft |
Most recent crests
- May 16, 2025: 8.73 ft
- April 4, 2024: 9.22 ft
- January 11, 2024: 8.79 ft
- May 8, 2022: 8.91 ft
- September 3, 2021: 8.51 ft
- December 26, 2020: 11.04 ft
- May 1, 2020: 8.70 ft
- September 11, 2018: 9.12 ft
- July 26, 2018: 10.10 ft
- July 25, 2018: 8.16 ft
Nearby
Upstream, downstream and the gauges around this one.
What this means
Forecasts by the Middle Atlantic River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued routinely year-round. Gauge reading may be affected by ice. Forecast flows are unadjusted for ice.
Sources
Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.