Montana drought

Is Pondera County in a drought?

D0 Abnormally dry

No. Pondera County is not in drought on the Drought Monitor map of Sep 15, 2026, but 48.8% of it is abnormally dry (D0), the category before drought.

Map valid Sep 15, 2026, released Thursday, Sep 17, 2026. The next map is due Thursday, Sep 24, 2026. Statewide, 47% of Montana is in drought.

Pondera County forecastWeather alertsLive radar here

This week’s map

The Drought Monitor for Montana, valid Sep 15, 2026. County lines are drawn in; the categories are the same as the national map.

US Drought Monitor map of Montana for Sep 15, 2026, shaded D0 abnormally dry through D4 exceptional drought
  • D0 Abnormally dry
  • D1 Moderate drought
  • D2 Severe drought
  • D3 Extreme drought
  • D4 Exceptional drought

Open the live map with the Drought Monitor

Map courtesy of the US Drought Monitor, NDMC-UNL, with USDA and NOAA. Original at droughtmonitor.unl.edu

This week's map, by category

Percent of Pondera County in each category or worse, the Drought Monitor's own way of counting. In exactly one category this week: D0 48.8%, D1 0%, D2 0%, D3 0%, D4 0%; none 51.2%.

CategoryThis weekSep 15Last weekSep 83 months agoJun 16A year agoSep 16
D0 to D4 Abnormally dry or worse48.8%48.8%85.3%100%
D1 to D4 Moderate or worse0%0%79%100%
D2 to D4 Severe or worse0%0%33.1%4.4%
D3 to D4 Extreme or worse0%0%0%0%
D4 Exceptional drought0%0%0%0%
None51.2%51.2%14.7%0%

The past year

Percent of Pondera County in each category, week by week. Each color includes the worse categories drawn over it.

Percent of Pondera County in drought categories from Sep 16, 2025 to Sep 15, 2026. On the latest map, 0% is in drought (D1 or worse) and 48.8% is abnormally dry or worse.0%25%50%75%100%OctNovDec2026FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep
  • D0 Abnormally dry
  • D1 Moderate drought
  • D2 Severe drought
  • D3 Extreme drought
  • D4 Exceptional drought
Every week in the chart
MapD0+D1+D2+D3+D4+
Sep 15, 202648.8%0%0%0%0%
Sep 8, 202648.8%0%0%0%0%
Sep 1, 2026100%49.1%0%0%0%
Aug 25, 2026100%49.1%0%0%0%
Aug 18, 2026100%49.1%0%0%0%
Aug 11, 2026100%49.1%0%0%0%
Aug 4, 202649.1%0%0%0%0%
Jul 28, 202649.1%0%0%0%0%
Jul 21, 202649.1%0%0%0%0%
Jul 14, 202685.3%45.2%0%0%0%
Jul 7, 202685.3%45.2%0%0%0%
Jun 30, 202685.3%45.2%0%0%0%
Jun 23, 202685.3%79%33.1%0%0%
Jun 16, 202685.3%79%33.1%0%0%
Jun 9, 202685.3%79%33.1%0%0%
Jun 2, 202685.3%79%71.3%31.8%0%
May 26, 2026100%85.1%79%71.3%0%
May 19, 2026100%85.1%79%71.3%0%
May 12, 2026100%85.1%79%66.3%0%
May 5, 2026100%85.1%79%66.3%0%
Apr 28, 2026100%85.1%79%66.3%0%
Apr 21, 2026100%85.1%79%14.1%0%
Apr 14, 2026100%85.2%79%14.1%0%
Apr 7, 2026100%85.1%79%14.1%0%
Mar 31, 2026100%100%79%14.1%0%
Mar 24, 2026100%100%79%14.1%0%
Mar 17, 2026100%100%79%14.1%0%
Mar 10, 2026100%100%79%14.1%0%
Mar 3, 2026100%100%79%14.1%0%
Feb 24, 2026100%100%79%14.1%0%
Feb 17, 2026100%92.4%79%14.1%0%
Feb 10, 2026100%92.4%79%0%0%
Feb 3, 2026100%92.4%79%0%0%
Jan 27, 2026100%92.4%79%0%0%
Jan 20, 2026100%92.4%79%0%0%
Jan 13, 2026100%92.4%79%0%0%
Jan 6, 2026100%92.4%79%0%0%
Dec 30, 2025100%92.4%79%0%0%
Dec 23, 2025100%92.4%88.1%0%0%
Dec 16, 2025100%92.4%88.1%0%0%
Dec 9, 2025100%100%92.4%0%0%
Dec 2, 2025100%100%92.4%0%0%
Nov 25, 2025100%100%100%0%0%
Nov 18, 2025100%100%100%0%0%
Nov 11, 2025100%100%100%0%0%
Nov 4, 2025100%100%84.4%0%0%
Oct 28, 2025100%100%82.2%0%0%
Oct 21, 2025100%100%82.2%0%0%
Oct 14, 2025100%100%82.2%0%0%
Oct 7, 2025100%100%82.2%0%0%
Sep 30, 2025100%100%82.2%0%0%
Sep 23, 2025100%100%75.3%0%0%
Sep 16, 2025100%100%4.4%0%0%

Since 2000

Every weekly map of Pondera County since January 2000.

Percent of Pondera County in drought categories from Jan 4, 2000 to Sep 15, 2026. On the latest map, 0% is in drought (D1 or worse) and 48.8% is abnormally dry or worse.0%25%50%75%100%200420082012201620202024
  • D0 Abnormally dry
  • D1 Moderate drought
  • D2 Severe drought
  • D3 Extreme drought
  • D4 Exceptional drought
Year by year
YearWorst categoryMost in droughtWeek ofWeeks with drought
2026D3 Extreme drought100%Feb 2432 of 37
2025D3 Extreme drought100%Apr 2252 of 52
2024D3 Extreme drought88.7%Jan 1646 of 53
2023D3 Extreme drought100%Jan 3149 of 52
2022D4 Exceptional drought100%Jan 452 of 52
2021D4 Exceptional drought100%Jul 2730 of 52
2020D1 Moderate drought100%Oct 1311 of 52
2019D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 53
2018D1 Moderate drought5.8%Jan 21 of 52
2017D3 Extreme drought100%Aug 2221 of 52
2016D2 Severe drought90.4%Jan 540 of 52
2015D3 Extreme drought100%Jun 3028 of 52
2014None0%0 of 52
2013D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 53
2012D1 Moderate drought14.9%Sep 189 of 52
2011D0 Abnormally dry0%0 of 52
2010D1 Moderate drought88.9%Apr 2018 of 52
2009D2 Severe drought81.1%Jan 635 of 52
2008D2 Severe drought100%Jan 126 of 53
2007D3 Extreme drought100%Jul 3129 of 52
2006D2 Severe drought100%Aug 833 of 52
2005D3 Extreme drought100%Jan 2552 of 52
2004D3 Extreme drought100%Jan 652 of 52
2003D4 Exceptional drought100%Jan 752 of 52
2002D4 Exceptional drought100%Jan 147 of 53
2001D3 Extreme drought100%Jan 252 of 52
2000D3 Extreme drought100%Aug 1528 of 52

Drought history since 2000

Some part of Pondera County was in drought on 57% of the weekly maps since Jan 4, 2000, and exceptional drought (D4) last reached the county the week of Jul 12, 2022.

Weeks with some drought
795 of 1,394 (57%)
Worst category reached
D4 Exceptional drought, last the week of Jul 12, 2022
Most widespread
100% in drought, week of Mar 31, 2026
Longest spell
173 weeks, Nov 12, 2002 to Feb 28, 2006
Last in drought
Week of Sep 1, 2026

Outlook

The Climate Prediction Center's drought outlooks at the center of Pondera County: whether drought is expected to develop, persist, improve or end.

Monthly outlook, Sep 2026
No drought expected
Seasonal outlook, through December 31 (issued Sep 17)
Drought development likely

The monthly outlook is issued on the last day of each month, the seasonal one on the third Thursday. CPC's discussion.

What drought has meant in Montana

The National Drought Mitigation Center's examples of impacts observed in Montana at each level of drought, starting with this week's worst here.

D0 Abnormally dry This week

  • Fire danger increases
  • Soil moisture is low, dryland crop germination is poor, pastures are dry
  • Streamflow is low, affecting recreation fishing

D1 Moderate drought

  • Fire restrictions are implemented
  • Producers feed livestock supplemental hay; crops are stressed and growth is poor

D2 Severe drought

  • Fire count and danger are high; air quality is poor, with dust and smoke
  • Hay and crop yields are low; hay quality is poor; subsoil moisture is nonexistent
  • Livestock ponds are low or dry; water quality is monitored; wells are stressed
  • Trees and landscaping show signs of stress and lose leaves

D3 Extreme drought

  • Agriculture and local business face economic loss
  • Cattle have very little water; water quality is toxic
  • Crops are not harvestable; winter pasture is opened for grazing; producers are hauling water and buying expensive supplemental feed, culling cattle and selling early; soil has large cracks; fields are bare
  • Fire restrictions increase

D4 Exceptional drought

  • Drought hotlines are in place
  • Fire risk is extremely high; fires are widespread
  • Pasture loss is widespread; crops are destroyed
  • Property is closed for hunting

Drawn from the Drought Impact Reporter and local observers.

Burn bans and water restrictions

The Drought Monitor does not issue burn bans or water restrictions. Pondera County's officials, the state forestry or fire agency, and local water utilities set them, often once drought reaches D2 or dry fuels raise the fire danger. Check the county's emergency management office or fire marshal for a ban in force, and the alerts page for red flag warnings and fire weather watches.

This week in the West

The Drought Monitor authors' narrative for the map of Sep 15, 2026, released Sep 17, 2026.

An area from southwestern Oregon to central Washington into northern Idaho and Montana received some welcome rainfall during the week. The rain resulted in regional improvements in drought conditions. One location that just missed out was in northwest Washington on the Canadian border, resulting in a drought degradation, where continued low streamflows were observed. There were also areas on the California-Nevada border and central Arizona with drought degradation that also received little-to-no rainfall. Extreme drought is shown over much of central Oregon, central Utah, southern Idaho down into northern Nevada, and small areas in northern Washington and southern Arizona. Exceptional drought continues in southern Idaho, northern Nevada, and northeastern Oregon.

Looking ahead

Over the next five days leading up to next Tuesday, above normal rainfall is forecast in south Florida as well as a large area in southern Wisconsin and Minnesota into eastern Iowa and northern Illinois. The latter area of forecasted rainfall continues to the east through central Michigan, the southern Great Lakes, Pennsylvania, New York, and much of central and southern New England. Other locations with rainfall in the forecast this week are in the Appalachian Mountains, the western Great Plains, and the Four Corners states. Unfortunately, most of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama are forecast to receive little rainfall. Dry conditions are also forecast in California, Nevada, and Washington. Much above normal temperatures are forecast to continue this week in the central and southern U.S.

The 6- to 10-day outlook (September 22-26, 2026) favors above normal temperatures continuing over nearly all of the continental United States. Areas most likely to be above normal are again the south into the southeast, plus the far north. Hawaii is also likely to be above normal. For precipitation, the Eastern Seaboard is likely to have above normal rainfall as is the Southwest. The central U.S. into the upper Midwest is likely to have below normal rainfall. Hawaii and Alaska are both likely to have above normal rain during this period.

Written by Lindsay Johnson, National Drought Mitigation Center; David Mocko, SSAI, NASA/GSFC. The national narrative.

What this means

The five categories the Drought Monitor draws, and how the map is made.

D0 Abnormally dry
Going into or coming out of drought.
D1 Moderate drought
Some damage to crops and pastures; water shortages developing.
D2 Severe drought
Crop or pasture losses likely; water restrictions imposed.
D3 Extreme drought
Major crop and pasture losses; widespread water shortages.
D4 Exceptional drought
Exceptional and widespread losses; water emergencies.

The US Drought Monitor is drawn every week by authors at the National Drought Mitigation Center, USDA and NOAA, who weigh rainfall, soil moisture, streamflow, groundwater, vegetation health and reports from local observers. Each map shows conditions through Tuesday morning and is released on Thursday. It shows where drought is and how bad it is; it does not forecast it. CPC's outlooks do that.

Nearby

The counties bordering Pondera County, with the worst category on this week's map.

Sources

Statistics and narrative from the US Drought Monitor, courtesy of the National Drought Mitigation Center at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, with USDA and NOAA. Outlooks from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Impacts from NDMC's State Impacts tool.